Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims · page 247 of 286

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not researched Peter Thiel Citation 15 Jun 2012 In Ray Kurzweil's The Singularity Is Near, technological progress follows an exponential growth curve that is presented as a law of nature. Peter Thiel · Citation · 15 Jun 2012 Technology
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 In a very real sense, the life of every person is a singularity. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction 15 Jun 2012 There is a compelling case that extraordinary or accelerated technological progress will very likely occur in the decades ahead. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 15 Jun 2012 Technology
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Every single moment is a possibility to go to these new places and explore them. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Statistical processes, the law of large numbers, and globalization—these things are timeless, probabilistic, and maybe random. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 There is perhaps no specific time that is necessarily right to start your company or start your life. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 But, like technology, your life is a story of one-time events. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 That is selling yourself short. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 The future, we are told, is just probabilities and statistics. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 You are constantly encouraged to play it safe and be conventional. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 The obvious answer, unfortunately, has been to follow the well-trodden path. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 The problem there is that too many milestones make the achievability of the end goal rather speculative. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 There is something importantly singular about each new thing in the world. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 The assumption was that there will always be enough people who try things, so you, as an individual, don’t actually have to do anything and… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Don’t be deterred by notions of luck, impossibility, or futility. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 But the obvious answer is wrong. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 This course has largely been about going from 0 to 1. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Now is such a moment. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Let’s run with some version of Michael’s tribe theory. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 But the big secret is that there are many secrets left to uncover. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 If it’s all crazy science fiction that’s barely plausible, it might not make sense to work on it now. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 But some times and some moments seem more auspicious than others. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 We know that, in practice, timing is very important. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 So perhaps a 20-year goal with lot of milestones along the way would be a good approach. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Get out there and fill in the blank spaces. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 We’ve talked a lot about how to create new technology, and how radically better technology may build toward singularity. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 Choose to do something important and different. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 15 Jun 2012 you’re supposed to be motivating the people in this class Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Jun 2012 taking advantage of the opportunity for long-term profit offered when short-term investors sell due to disappointing short-term macro or… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Jun 2012
Not checkable Tyler Cowen Not checkable Jun 2012 for better or worse, those voters have lost faith in the social returns of these jobs and our ability to afford them. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable Tyler Cowen Not checkable Jun 2012 The reason there is no more expansionary macro policy is a fundamental lack of trust. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Unresolvable Tyler Cowen Factual Jun 2012 Cowen's NY Times column explicitly states he will not address whether state and local spending should have been cut. Tyler Cowen · Factual · Jun 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual Jun 2012 Cowen has repeatedly argued in various forums that the US is spending and borrowing too much. Tyler Cowen · Factual · Jun 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Tyler Cowen Not checkable Jun 2012 It’s not an easy problem to fix, but the place to start is by recognizing it. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable Tyler Cowen Not checkable Jun 2012 My main point is simply how little policymakers can do, compared to the expectations (and demands) of many. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 KEPLER THE WORLD’SFASTEST, MOST EFFICIENT HPC ACCELERATOR Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 “PC as anAPP” Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 The Science ofGTC ADAPTIVE RADIOTHERAPY DENDRITE SIMULATION COLLECTIVE BEHAVIOR COMBUSTION EFFICIENCY AIR TRAFFIC MODELING SEISMIC… Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 Gaikai powered by GeForce GRID Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 CUDA had been downloaded 1.5 million times by 2012, up from 150K in 2008. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 Technology
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 Virtualized GPU Low-Latency Remote Display Super Energy-Efficient Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 NVIDIA VGX GPU-AcceleratedVDI Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 Dynamic Parallelism Toocoarse Too fine Adaptive Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 NVIDIA Cloud GPUEcosystem Enterprise VDI Cloud Gaming Service Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Mixed Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 Kepler is the world's first GPU for cloud computing. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 The Tesla K20 offers 3x double precision performance (baseline not stated). Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 AI compute, hardware and data
Delivered on time Jensen Huang Promise May 2012 NVIDIA will make the Tesla K20 available in Q4 2012. Jensen Huang · Promise · May 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jensen Huang Not checkable May 2012 “BYOD” Windows PCsTablets and Smartphones Macs Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 With Hyper-Q, Kepler supports 32 concurrent work queues versus one on Fermi. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 NVIDIA's Kepler SMX delivers three times the energy-efficient performance of the Fermi SM. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual May 2012 The Tesla K10 offers 3x single precision performance and 1.8x memory bandwidth (the slide does not state the baseline for comparison). Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012 AI compute, hardware and data
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 In the heat of the battle, his memory of longer-term performance and job descriptions fades, Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 the extra risk, I believe, is career risk, or benchmark risk, not real risk. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 But Keynes knew, as I know, that in a 1999-type frenzy it would be all too easy to imagine someone at the client end looking down the… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 In his 1998-1999 survey, over 99% of about 1100 analysts and portfolio managers believed there would be a major bear market, with only 7 voting that the P/E would not go back to 17. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 It is simple to see what is necessary, but not easy to be willing or able to do it. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's benchmark-free allocation strategy would have been badly beaten by aggressive portfolios during the 2000 tech bubble. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy did very well over the past decade because its big asset class bets won. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's 1999 exhibit showed imputed real returns from its 10-year forecasts of 5% to 6% for its strategy versus 2.2% for the S&P 500. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 It is a reasonable, although short-term, measure of the chance of real loss of money. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy is now available on a stand-alone basis, having been part of GMO's real return strategy for the past 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 We have tried to improve the odds by branding the strategy as benchmark-free. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 Keynes had not seen markets as irrational as the U.S. in 2000 or Japan in 1989, in person or in history books. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 My excuse is that of all of the investment issues close to my heart, this one – career risk – is in my opinion the most important. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 The Sharpe Ratio is a measure of how many units of price volatility an investor has received in the past per unit of return. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 I believe the concept of the Sharpe Ratio is one of the few aspects of “modern portfolio management” that is useful at the level of a… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Thus, because asset class selection packs a more deadly punch in the career and business risk game, the great investment opportunities are… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 Over the last 10 years GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy delivered 1.7 times the yearly return of the Global Asset Allocation Strategy with 10% less volatility. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Well, an accurate answer is that it may not. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy returned 5.4% net of fees with volatility of ±9.2% a year, 20% less than its benchmark. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 Robert Shiller's "fair value" series assumed perfect foresight of all future dividends. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Yet the market often trades as if all value lies within the next 5 years, and sometimes 5 months. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 Grantham said that his firm's not following the crowd in the late-1990s market, when P/E ratios reached 33 times in early 1999, was uncomfortably beyond the tolerance of about 40% of its clients. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 The U.S. growth and technology bubble of 2000 was by far the biggest market outlier event in U.S. market history. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 you did not lose business, you were being too timid in general Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 The views expressed are the views of Jeremy Grantham through the period ending April 18, 2012, and are subject to change at any time based… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 For us agents, he might better have said “The market can stay irrational longer than the client can stay patient.” Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Promise Apr 2012 Ben Inker, leader of GMO's asset allocation group, will take up the role of covering the broad investment outlook in the quarterly letters. Jeremy Grantham · Promise · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2012 Career risk and the resulting herding are likely to always dominate investing. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy has a Sharpe Ratio of 1.1 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 It is the classic failing of value managers (and poker players for that matter) to get impatient and bet too hard too soon. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 My attitude toward work has always been to delegate early and often. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 This obviously makes it commercially dangerous to offer a strategy that can be caught out twice as badly as an existing strategy Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 In his 1998-1999 survey of about 1100 equity professionals, every respondent agreed that S&P P/E falling from 28-35 to 17 would guarantee a major bear market. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 but in real life it has been used to a negligible degree. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Real risk is the risk of a permanent loss of capital as my colleague James Montier likes to call it. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 The benchmark for the Global Asset Allocation Strategy is considered to have had a Sharpe Ratio under 0.25 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Managing Sharpe Ratios at the portfolio level has been Portfolio Management 101 for most of my investment career, Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 It explains the discrepancy between a remarkably volatile stock market and a remarkably stable GDP growth, together with an equally stable… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's asset allocation brainstorming team grew from 4 to 25 members over the five years to April 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 The cardinal rule is to not underperform in bear markets. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's calls on the Japan 65 P/E market and the 2000 U.S. tech bubble were 2 to 3 years early. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 and they only matter because of the pain that accompanies them. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 Picking cash or “conservatism” against a roaring bull market probably lies beyond the pain threshold of any publicly traded enterprise. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy has had a Sharpe Ratio of 0.6 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 GMO's allocation process has always depended on Ben Inker's portfolio management skills, particularly sizing and risk control. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 Keynes explained that to keep your job you must never, ever be wrong on your own. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 We, perhaps fondly, hope that our surviving and eventually winning previous tests might be remembered. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable Jeremy Grantham Not checkable Apr 2012 I believe that clients’ enthusiasm for all long-only investment products has been geared almost entirely to the “raw” return. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2012 In 2008 GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy outperformed its benchmark by 6.9% net of fees. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 Their own work or organisation
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Peter Thiel

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“The assumption was that there will always be enough people who try things, so you, as an individual, don’t actually have to do anything and you can just wait for things to happen.”

Peter Thiel 15 June 2012 Peter Thiel's CS183: Startup - Class 19 Notes Essay (Stagnation or Singularity?) (Blake Masters Tumblr)

The assumption was that there will always be enough people who try things, so you, as an individual, don’t actually have to do anything and…

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “The assumption was that there will always be enough people who try things, so you, as an individual, don’t actually have to do anything and…” (said 15 June 2012). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_b95f92d71b5d, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b95f92d71b5d

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.