6,750 claims · page 38 of 68
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta plans to introduce room customization (own logos and posters) in Horizon Workrooms later in 2021. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | The company just announced a fundamental change, including looking at and reporting on its business as two segments. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta announced 2D progressive web apps for the Quest Store. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta will bring Messenger calls to virtual reality in 2021. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | In the future people won't need a physical TV, as holograms will replace screens. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | The next computing platform and medium will be a more immersive, embodied internet, which Meta calls the metaverse. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | The metaverse will be built by creators and developers making interoperable experiences and digital items that unlock a much larger creative economy than today's platforms allow. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Facebook is one of the most used products in the history of the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | People will probably have a photorealistic avatar for work, a stylized one for socializing and perhaps a fantasy one for gaming. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Remote work is here to stay for a lot of people. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Taking one less work flight a year is probably better for the environment than almost anything else a person can do. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | The metaverse will be the successor to the mobile internet. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | The metaverse will not be created by one company. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | For the last seven years Meta's research team has worked on a broad array of technologies for next-generation platforms. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Facebook is one of the most used technology products in the history of the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg studied Classics, and the word "meta" comes from the Greek word meaning "beyond". Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg stated a hope, not a firm prediction: that if "we all work at it," within the next decade the metaverse would reach a billion people, host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce and support jobs for millions of creators and developers. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | The company formerly called Facebook, Inc. is now named Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Instead of typing or tapping, people will be able to control devices by gesture, voice or thought. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta will soon start testing support for work accounts on Quest. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | A TV will be available as a $1 hologram made by a high school kid elsewhere in the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta will release Cambria as a Quest-compatible, advanced, high-end headset priced at the higher end of the spectrum. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta is working to let people log into Quest with non-Facebook accounts more broadly within the next year. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | When Zuckerberg started Facebook, people mostly typed text on websites. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg expressed the hope ("Our hope is that...") that within the next decade the metaverse will reach a billion people, host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce, and support jobs for millions of creators and developers. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta's mobile apps are free to use. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Facebook was born on a college campus and on the web. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Teleporting around the metaverse will be like clicking a link on the internet. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg's original founder's letter said: "we don't build services to make money; we make money to build better services." Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Ray-Ban Stories are not full AR glasses but let users take pictures and videos, listen to music and take phone calls. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | The next computing platform will be more immersive, an embodied internet where users are in the experience. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | A lot of the technology shown at Connect 2021 will not be available within the next year or two. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg said that billions of people love the company's services and that hundreds of millions of businesses rely on its tools, and he linked this to its commerce tools being offered at cost or with modest fees. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Development of next-generation AR/VR platforms is still early in a journey that will go on for decades. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta is introducing a new office space in Horizon Home. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | In the future, items like TVs, monitor setups and board games will be holograms designed by creators worldwide instead of physical goods assembled in factories. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | In the future metaverse, people will be able to teleport instantly as holograms to the office, a concert or a parent's living room. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Demis Hassabis gave the Kendrew lecture and visited the MRC Laboratory of Molecular Biology, and the talk has been posted online. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Avatars will become as common as profile pictures are today, as living 3D representations of users. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Oct 2021 | Within five to ten years, much of this metaverse technology will be mainstream and many people will daily create and inhabit detailed, convincing virtual worlds. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Oct 2021 | Over time, Meta's other services will no longer require users to use Facebook. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 21 Oct 2021 | US hypersonics efforts will reach market faster than expected. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 21 Oct 2021 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 20 Oct 2021 | GitLab's outcome produced massive financial returns for Khosla Ventures and other investors. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 20 Oct 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Promise | 17 Oct 2021 | Gary Marcus will give a talk at the AGI21 conference on 2021-10-18. Gary Marcus · Promise · 17 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Oct 2021 | Amazon Web Services launched in 2006 and was not material to Amazon's results until much later. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Oct 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Oct 2021 | Soon after an earlier point in time, a Lehman analyst predicted Amazon (AMZN) would go bankrupt. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Oct 2021 | Amazon's stock price declined 90% over the few years following the dot-com era. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Oct 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 13 Oct 2021 | Demis Hassabis was giving the John Kendrew lecture on AlphaFold at the MRC LMB at 2.30pm UK time on 13 October 2021. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 13 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 11 Oct 2021 | Bezos said this was one of many stories telling Amazon all the ways it was going to fail. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 11 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 6 Oct 2021 | Demis Hassabis is supporting the Alexander Crummell scholarships for students from disadvantaged backgrounds at Queens' College, Cambridge. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 6 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 1 Oct 2021 | After many failures and setbacks in gaming, Jeff Bezos says "we" have had a success, and he praises the team for its persistence. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 1 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 30 Sep 2021 | Sam Altman invested in TrialSpark, announced on 2021-09-30. Sam Altman · Factual · 30 Sep 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 23 Sep 2021 | OpenAI published a paper on summarization on 2021-09-23, and an instruction-following model produced a summary of its first part. Sam Altman · Factual · 23 Sep 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 23 Sep 2021 | OpenAI's book-summarizing system combines reinforcement learning from human feedback and recursive task decomposition. Sam Altman · Factual · 23 Sep 2021 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 23 Sep 2021 | OpenAI created a system that can generate reasonable summaries of entire books. Sam Altman · Factual · 23 Sep 2021 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 21 Sep 2021 | The rosy scenario priced into markets may prove a pipe dream given high debt, supply-side risks and loose policies. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 21 Sep 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 21 Sep 2021 | The end game of the global debt trap will be a stagflationary debt crisis. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 21 Sep 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 21 Sep 2021 | Over time, negative supply shocks could turn mild stagflation into severe stagflation. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 21 Sep 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Marc Andreessen | Promise | 20 Sep 2021 | Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz will host their Clubhouse show "One On One with A & Z" on Wednesday, September 22, 2021 at 5:00 PM Pacific. Marc Andreessen · Promise · 20 Sep 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 14 Sep 2021 | As of 2021-09-14, US equities were down 4% from their peak. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 14 Sep 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 14 Sep 2021 | As of September 2021, Mohamed El-Erian, Ken Rogoff and Larry Summers were talking about rising risks of stagflation. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 14 Sep 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Factual | 8 Sep 2021 | The text linked in Sam Altman's 2021-09-08 post was written by GPT-3. Sam Altman · Factual · 8 Sep 2021 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Marc Andreessen | Promise | 20 Aug 2021 | Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz will host their Clubhouse show "One On One with A & Z" on Monday, August 23, 2021 at 7:00 PM Pacific. Marc Andreessen · Promise · 20 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The NYSE has offered to work closely with PSTH and the SEC to accelerate the necessary rule change for SPARC warrants. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The Sponsor Warrants restrict selling, hedging or transferring for three years after the initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | PSTH's ability to complete a transaction in the required time frame has been impaired by the lawsuit. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Robert Jackson served as an SEC Commissioner between January 2018 and February 2020. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Holding cash and government securities while seeking a business combination does not make PSTH or other SPACs illegal investment companies. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | As of August 2021, PSTH has about 11 months remaining to enter into a letter of intent for its initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Promise | 19 Aug 2021 | PSTH shareholders will receive $20 per share in cash and one SPARC warrant per share owned, following the cash return. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | The time needed to resolve the lawsuit will increase the likelihood that the Sponsor and Director Warrants expire worthless. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Listing SPARC warrants on the NYSE requires an NYSE rule change subject to SEC approval, which is being pursued with the NYSE. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | A successful claim in the lawsuit would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | None of PSTH's directors nor its Sponsor has received or been promised any compensation of any kind. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Had the UMG transaction closed, the Pershing Square Funds would have invested $1.6 billion in PSTH units on the same terms as IPO investors. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The two law professors behind the lawsuit told the press their motivation was to reform the entire SPAC industry. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | The existence of the litigation may deter potential merger partners from working with PSTH until the lawsuit is resolved. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | The lawsuit against PSTH is unlikely to be resolved in the short term. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | Ackman stated that "we expect" all PSTH shareholders would be highly supportive of the rule change needed to replace the Distributable Warrants with SPARC Distributable Warrants. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | The Sponsor Warrants will likely be worthless if PSTH does not complete a high-quality transaction on favorable terms. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | PSTH will secure SPARC's approval, giving a path to mitigate the harm the litigation causes shareholders and warrant holders. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The abandoned PSTH/UMG deal is the only SPAC business combination known to the speaker where the sponsor would have received no additional consideration versus other shareholders. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Promise | 19 Aug 2021 | If SPARC is approved by the SEC and its warrants by the NYSE and PSTH has not entered a merger, Pershing Square intends to seek PSTH shareholder approval to return the $4 billion of cash held in trust. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The SPARC warrants will remove the two-year "shot clock" for a sponsor to complete a transaction. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Marc Andreessen | Promise | 13 Aug 2021 | Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz will host their Clubhouse show "One On One with A & Z" on Monday, August 16, 2021 at 7:00 PM Pacific. Marc Andreessen · Promise · 13 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 10 Aug 2021 | OpenAI launched Codex, an API that uses AI to write code from natural language, on 2021-08-10. Sam Altman · Factual · 10 Aug 2021 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 3 Aug 2021 | The Biden administration's new neo-populist economic doctrine will be risky. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 3 Aug 2021 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | The AlphaFold work represents the culmination of five years of effort by the DeepMind AlphaFold team, including overcoming setbacks and developing new algorithmic innovations. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | When DeepMind announced AlphaFold 2 in December, it was hailed as a solution to the 50-year-old protein folding problem. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | DeepMind and EMBL-EBI launched the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database, the most complete and accurate picture of the human proteome to date, more than doubling known high-accuracy human protein structures. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | Research into the 20 organisms in the database has been the subject of countless papers and major breakthroughs and has deepened understanding of life. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | DeepMind's AlphaFold team worked for five years and closely with EMBL-EBI for the past few months to be able to share the AlphaFold resource. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 22 Jul 2021 | In the coming months DeepMind plans to expand the database to over 100 million structures covering most of the UniProt reference database. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | Through early collaborations DeepMind has seen promising signals from researchers using AlphaFold, including DNDi and the University of Portsmouth's Centre for Enzyme Innovation. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | Besides the ~20,000 human proteins, DeepMind provides open access to proteomes of 20 other organisms, totalling over 350,000 protein structures. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 21 Jul 2021 | On 2021-07-21 the Air Quality Index in New York City was 175, rated unhealthy, due to haze from West Coast fires. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 21 Jul 2021 | Other |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 20 Jul 2021 | Jeff Bezos has stepped down as CEO of Amazon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 20 Jul 2021 | On 2021-07-20 the Bitcoin price was below $30,000, putting most retail buyers who entered after March 2021 at a loss. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 20 Jul 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 20 Jul 2021 | Bitcoin's price should fall much lower than below $30,000 based on fundamentals. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 20 Jul 2021 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 29 Jun 2021 | Microsoft is bringing its OpenAI collaboration to GitHub to help developers write code faster. Satya Nadella · Factual · 29 Jun 2021 | Technology |
“We created a system that can generate reasonable summaries of entire books.”
Sam Altman, OpenAI CEO, on X 23 September 2021 Post by @sama on X, 2021-09-23 (X)
OpenAI created a system that can generate reasonable summaries of entire books.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge said resolved true; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True: as of 2021-09-23, OpenAI had built and described (e.g. in a paper or blog post) a system that produces summaries of whole books, not just passages, and that the published evaluation shows to be reasonable in at least a meaningful share of cases (e.g. human raters judging some summaries comparable to human-written ones). Mostly true: the system existed and summarised entire books, but OpenAI's own results show the summaries were reasonable only in a minority of cases, or a minor detail differs (e.g. it worked only on certain kinds of books). Mixed: a system existed but summarised only long sections or chapters rather than entire books, or its reasonableness is about evenly supported and contradicted. Mostly false: OpenAI had only an early prototype or partial capability that the claim overstates. False: no such OpenAI system existed by that date, or evidence shows its book summaries were generally not reasonable.
Evidence
- Summarizing books with human feedback OpenAI · 23 September 2021 Own record
“Our best model is fine-tuned from GPT‑3 and generates sensible summaries of entire books, sometimes even matching the average quality of human-written summaries: it achieves a 6/7 rating (similar to the average human-written summary) from humans who have read the book 5% of the time and a 5/7 rating 15% of the time.”
- Recursively Summarizing Books with Human Feedback arXiv (ar5iv rendering), OpenAI authors Own record
“Some of these summaries approach human-level quality: over 5% of summaries from the best 175B model were given a score of 6 out of 7, and over 15% were given a 5 out of 7, scores which were also sometimes assigned to human-written summaries (Figure 3).”
- Recursively Summarizing Books with Human Feedback arXiv (ar5iv rendering), OpenAI authors Own record
“However, on average our model summaries are still significantly worse than human-written summaries (Figure 2(a))”
- OpenAI unveils model that can summarize books of any length VentureBeat · 23 September 2021
“OpenAI has developed an AI model that can summarize books of arbitrary length.”
Reasoning
OpenAI's announcement and paper (E1, E2) describe a GPT-3-based model that produces summaries of whole books, and VentureBeat reported independently on the same day that OpenAI had built a model that summarises books of any length (E4). OpenAI's own evaluation shows that only a minority of the summaries came close to human quality. Readers of the book gave a 6/7 rating about 5% of the time and a 5/7 rating about 15% of the time (E1, E2). The paper also says the model's summaries are, on average, significantly worse than human-written ones (E3). This matches the "mostly true" criterion: the system existed and summarised entire books, but its summaries were reasonable only in a minority of cases.
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “OpenAI created a system that can generate reasonable summaries of entire books.” (said 23 September 2021). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_b59e7b714385, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b59e7b714385
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.