Claims · Reliability API

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
Verdict	Person	Kind	Said	Claim	Topic
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	Running at the same rate of change in attitude as both the market and general opinion is both frustrating and unproﬁ table. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	Remove the pressure even for a short while and the normal equilibrium will quickly be restored. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	The problem is that they are mostly very expensive and only a little bit helpful. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Prediction	Jul 2010	Some further decline in house prices is probably more than a 50/50 bet in the U.S., and nearly certain in the U.K. and Australia. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Jul 2010	Economics and markets
Mostly true	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Jul 2010	A warmer atmosphere melts glaciers and ice sheets and causes global sea levels to rise. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jul 2010	Other global risks
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	You don’t have to be a passionate follower of Keynes to realize that to rapidly reduce deﬁ cits at this point is at least to ﬂ irt with a… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	Sensing this, these think tanks have allowed their drive for desirable policy to trump science. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	Congress has played the part of the carefree, unprepared grasshopper perfectly. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	All that accumulated ﬁ nancial wealth does is shufﬂ e the accounting claims to determine the pecking order Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	But blue chip stocks are on their own, without any natural offsetting buyers. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Jul 2010	The only way that pensions can be paid is out of the current year’s GDP – the total output of new goods and new services. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Jul 2010
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Prediction	Jun 2010	The US, eurozone, UK and Japan, being heavily indebted, will need to print more and more money and will have sluggish growth rates. Ray Dalio · Prediction · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Ray Dalio	Not checkable	Jun 2010	the European situation is a particularly risky one for a number of reasons. Ray Dalio · Not checkable · Jun 2010
Not checkable	Ray Dalio	Not checkable	Jun 2010	such efforts have become "politically untenable." Ray Dalio · Not checkable · Jun 2010
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	The size of the European sovereign debt dwarfs, that is, is far larger than, that of any other debt crisis. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Ray Dalio	Not checkable	Jun 2010	I want to minimize my exposure to the major developed countries' currencies - the U.S. dollar, the euro, the British Pound, and the yen. Ray Dalio · Not checkable · Jun 2010
Not checkable	Ray Dalio	Not checkable	Jun 2010	They're roaring ahead. Ray Dalio · Not checkable · Jun 2010
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	The subject said that the matter he was describing "dwarfs" the Asian Contagion, meaning it is far larger, and called the amounts involved "enormous." Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	Emerging-market economies are competitive because labor is cheaper and investment levels are high. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Resolved false	Ray Dalio	Prediction	Jun 2010	The next US recession will come sooner than the normal roughly five-year interval, because of the size of the debt. Ray Dalio · Prediction · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Mostly false	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	Government intervention and quantitative easing after 2008 did not produce new financial assets. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Mostly true	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	As of mid-2010, emerging-market economies have not reached their debt limits. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	The European sovereign debt dwarfs, that is, is far larger than, the debt at the centre of the Latin American debt crisis. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Resolved true	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	There has been very little new lending following the 2008 crisis government intervention, as of mid-2010. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Ray Dalio	Not checkable	Jun 2010	These are enormous, enormous amounts. Ray Dalio · Not checkable · Jun 2010
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Factual	Jun 2010	The government stimulus produced very little new economic activity in the US. Ray Dalio · Factual · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Ray Dalio	Prediction	Jun 2010	Money printing will offset the deflation coming from weak demand due to weak credit growth, rather than cause inflation. Ray Dalio · Prediction · Jun 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Prediction	6 Apr 2010	Future generations of Americans will suffer terrible financial consequences from the bailouts and the extended bubble. Michael Burry · Prediction · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Mixed	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	After the crisis became clear in early 2007, the Fed chairman, Treasury secretary, president and senior members of Congress repeatedly underestimated its severity. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Unfortunately, he did not give good advice. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Resolved true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry deliberately avoided Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns as swap counterparties. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	To me, these agencies seemed not to be paying much attention. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Resolved true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry shut down Scion Capital in 2008. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Resolved true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry's prediction of a mortgage market meltdown was based on his research into the residential mortgage market and mortgage-backed securities. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	I knew that would mark the beginning of the end of the housing bubble; it would mean that prices had risen — with the expansion of easy… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Mostly true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry began worrying about the housing market in 2003, when lenders resurrected interest-only mortgages and loosened credit standards. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Scion's credit default swaps covered AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, among other firms that failed or nearly failed. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Yet the tide was about to turn. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	The truth is, he should have seen what was coming and offered a sober, apolitical warning. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Since then, I have often wondered why nobody in Washington showed any interest in hearing exactly how I arrived at my conclusions that the… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	If the mistakes were properly outlined, that might both inform Congress’s efforts to improve financial regulation and help keep future Fed… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Mixed	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	By mid-2005 Michael Burry bought credit default swaps on billions of dollars of subprime mortgage-backed securities and bonds of financial companies. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Because I had been operating in the face of strong opposition from both my investors and the Wall Street community, it took everything I… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	But the signs were all there in 2005, when a bursting of the bubble would have had far less dire consequences, and when the government… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Mostly true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Goldman Sachs and other derivatives dealers did not demand daily collateral settlement from AAA-rated AIG. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Throughout 2004, interest-only mortgages were offered to more and more subprime borrowers with the weakest credit. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	After studying regulatory filings on mortgage-backed securities, Michael Burry waited for lenders to offer the riskiest mortgages to the least qualified buyers. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry said that, during the same period, he also watched ratings agencies vouch for subprime mortgage-backed securities. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	And at this point there is no reason to reflexively dismiss the analysis of those who foresaw the crisis. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Mostly true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry demanded daily collateral settlement on his swaps, with cash posted to Scion's account the next day if positions moved in its favor. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Instead, our leaders in Washington either willfully or ignorantly aided and abetted the bubble. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	By early 2008 Michael Burry exited all remaining credit default positions by auctioning them to Wall Street banks seeking protection. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Burry exited his remaining credit default positions well before the government bailouts of the financial crisis. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	During 2007, under pressure from investors, Michael Burry liquidated most of Scion's credit default swaps at a substantial profit. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	ultimately leaving themselves with only one policy tool — the epic and unfair taxpayer-financed bailouts. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	As a nation, we cannot afford to live with Mr. Greenspan’s way of thinking. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Mostly true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	Michael Burry used six counterparties for his credit default swaps to limit exposure to any one of them. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	It did not have to be this way. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Unresolvable	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	In 2005 and 2006 Michael Burry argued in letters to Scion Capital clients that the mortgage market would melt down in the second half of 2007, badly damaging the economy. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Their own work or organisation
Mostly true	Michael Burry	Factual	6 Apr 2010	By December 2005, subprime mortgages issued six months earlier were already showing atypically high delinquency rates. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Mr. Greenspan should use his substantial intellect and unsurpassed knowledge of government to ascertain and explain exactly how he and… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	Increasingly, lenders concerned themselves more with the quantity of mortgages they sold than with their quality. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	By mid-2005, I had so much confidence in my analysis that I staked my reputation on it. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	But at the time almost no one else thought these trades would work out in my favor. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	6 Apr 2010	I believed that the collapse of the subprime mortgage market would ultimately lead to huge failures among the largest financial… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 6 Apr 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	And yes, I am talking about March 2001, not March 2000. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	Many stocks remain overvalued, and speculative excess – both on the upside and on the downside – is embedded in the frenzy around stocks of… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	The preference, always, would be to buy a long-term franchise at a substantial discount from growing intrinsic value. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	these stocks, having largely missed out on the speculative ride up, have nevertheless frequently been pushed down to absurd levels owing to… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	In essence, the stock market represents three separate categories of business. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	They are, adjusted for inflation, those with shrinking intrinsic value, those with approximately stable intrinsic value, and those with… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	The bulk of the opportunities remain in undervalued, smaller, more illiquid situations that often represent average or slightly… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	I will not label this Fund a “small cap” fund, for this may not be where the best opportunities are next month or next year. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	Hence, the world’s best companies largely remain overpriced in the marketplace. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	it is my feeling that the revisions have not been severe enough, the expectations not yet realistic enough. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	As for the future, I can only say the Fund will always be biased to where the value is. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	When I stand on my special-issue “Intelligent Investor” ladder and peer out over the frenzied crowd, I see very few others doing the same. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	If recent trends continue, it would not be surprising to find the stocks of several larger capitalization stocks with significant long-term… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Not checkable	Michael Burry	Not checkable	4 Mar 2010	the valuations placed on these securities have implied overly rosy scenarios prone to popular revision in times of more realistic… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2010
Unresolvable	GiveWell	Factual	7 Jan 2010	GiveWell's reviews of other organizations tend to focus on the end product and stay agnostic on those organizations' progress and how they can improve. GiveWell · Factual · 7 Jan 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	Is GiveWell’s research process “robust,” i.e., can it be continued & maintained without relying on the co-Founders? GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Mostly true	GiveWell	Factual	7 Jan 2010	GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008. GiveWell · Factual · 7 Jan 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	Our current top priority is assessing the state of GiveWell: what we’ve accomplished, where we stand, and where we should focus our limited… GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	Our self-review won’t be entirely comparable to the reviews we perform of other organizations. GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	When evaluating ourselves, it is essential that we examine “intermediate indicators” as well as our ultimate impact, and think critically… GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	The ultimate goal is to have significant impact on the flow of donations, moving toward a world in which donors reward charities for… GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	The major questions about GiveWell, as I see them, are as follows. GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	GiveWell’s mission is to find outstanding charities and publish the full details of our analysis to help donors decide where to give. GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Not checkable	GiveWell	Not checkable	7 Jan 2010	Does GiveWell provide quality research that highlights truly outstanding charities in the areas it has covered? GiveWell · Not checkable · 7 Jan 2010
Resolved true	GiveWell	Promise	7 Jan 2010	GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010	Their own work or organisation
Resolved true	GiveWell	Promise	7 Jan 2010	GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2010	Too often, a vast collection of possessions ends up possessing its owner. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Bill Gates	Not checkable	2010	But my dream here is that, if you can make it economic, and meet the CO2 constraints Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Yann LeCun	Not checkable	2010	Implementing ConvNets in software is best achieved using the modular, object-oriented approach suggested in [2]. Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2010	In contrast, my family and I will give up nothing we need or want by fulfilling this 99% pledge. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2010	My luck was accentuated by my living in a market system that sometimes produces distorted results, though overall it serves our country… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Yann LeCun	Not checkable	2010	It is clear that abs and normalization are cruciala for achieving good performance. Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not researched	Yann LeCun	Factual	2010	To the authors' knowledge, 0.53% is the lowest error rate reported on the original MNIST dataset without distortions or preprocessing; the best previously reported error rate was 0.60%. Yann LeCun · Factual · 2010	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Yann LeCun	Not checkable	2010	We describe new unsupervised learning algorithms, and new non-linear stages that allow ConvNets to be trained with very few labeled samples. Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2010	My wealth has come from a combination of living in America, some lucky genes, and compound interest. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010

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“GiveWell’s mission is to find outstanding charities and publish the full details of our analysis to help donors decide where to give.”

GiveWell, unsigned blog post 7 January 2010 GiveWell's self-evaluation and plan (The GiveWell Blog)

GiveWell’s mission is to find outstanding charities and publish the full details of our analysis to help donors decide where to give.

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell’s mission is to find outstanding charities and publish the full details of our analysis to help donors decide where to give.” (said 7 January 2010). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_aebfdf5c712b, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_aebfdf5c712b

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