| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Little progress was made in CASP protein structure prediction accuracy for a decade before AlphaFold.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold was open sourced and made freely available for the world to use.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Proteins are the building blocks of life.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Over two million researchers have used AlphaFold and its predicted structures.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Theme Park had AI at the heart of its gameplay.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis first came across the protein folding problem as an undergraduate at Cambridge in the 1990s.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold2 was re-architected for CASP14 to reach atomic accuracy, leading the CASP organisers to declare the problem solved.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft and Atom Computing will make available a commercial quantum discovery suite combining Azure science solutions and Atom's quantum hardware for companies and labs.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
With point-in-time restore, Windows 365 customers can be up and running in minutes and roll back a Cloud PC to its exact earlier state.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Azure Quantum provides virtualization technology that can extend any type of qubit, detect and correct errors in physical qubits.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
McKinsey has built an autonomous agent that reduces client onboarding time by as much as 90%.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Windows 365 Link is admin-less and password-less, with security configurations enabled by default that cannot be turned off.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft will ship the announced GitHub Copilot agent innovations in the months following the November 2024 keynote.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft announced mobile application management for Windows 365 on iOS and Android.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
The U.S. Navy responded to all the executive orders and mandates and met its zero-trust goals years ahead of schedule.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
A gunpowder revolution occurred in the 17th century and changed social and political structures.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
If technology means producing more with less, there should be dramatic economic progress, but there has not been, and millennials are not dramatically better off than their boomer parents.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
People in the 17th and 18th centuries were very optimistic about radical human life extension.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic released computer use first in API form rather than to consumers, partly for safety reasons.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei guessed that by about November 2025, AI models would be able to perform computer-use tasks very, very reliably.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy does not specify ASL-4 requirements until ASL-3 has been reached.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic wants to evaluate every new model to see whether it is getting close to dangerous (CBRN) capabilities, and does not think current models yet pose these risks seriously.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Biosecurity |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei first joined the AI field in late 2014, working at Baidu with Andrew Ng.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
Conservatives leaving blue states tend to move to Florida and Texas, making those states redder, and many polls did not catch up.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
Silver said that, if anything, there was too little panic among Democrats about 2016, and that they were dismissive of polls showing a tightening race late in the campaign and a tenuous Hillary Clinton lead in the Electoral College.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
The previous Quinnipiac polls of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania were quite a bit better for Harris than the latest ones.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
Since Nate Silver began covering elections in 2008, Democrats have been prone to bouts of panic about the state of the horse race.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
There are probably about 100 times as many PhDs today as there were in, say, 1924.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Field building and careers |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
The average millennial is having a tougher time economically than their boomer parents did at the same point in life.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
In baseball, single-run leads are relatively durable because runs tend to come in bunches and the default outcome is not to score at all.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
Oct 2024 |
Neuralink has been implanted in two paralyzed patients who can control a computer with their brain.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Oct 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The web has provided massive amounts of text for machine learning, which has given rise to LLMs.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The Roomba did not require customers to install any infrastructure before use; it needed only a standard electrical outlet for its charger.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Images and movies from the web, and others collected for the purpose, have required human labeling for machine learning.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Sep 2024 |
During the rewrite, the share of Facebook's traffic that was monetizable shrank as web declined and mobile grew.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Sep 2024 |
Meta has been working on its AR glasses project for 10 years.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
13 Aug 2024 |
Humans evolved over hundreds of thousands of years in an environment without abundance.
Nate Silver · Factual · 13 Aug 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
13 Aug 2024 |
In August 2024, Silver suggested, as a rhetorical question, that AI still could not fold clothes or do laundry.
Nate Silver · Factual · 13 Aug 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
13 Aug 2024 |
Kamala Harris's bid is inherently difficult and a little bit of a long shot, but her chances of winning the 2024 presidential election are probably better than Joe Biden's were.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 13 Aug 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Balaji Srinivasan | Factual |
Aug 2024 |
The Network School site in Malaysia is less than an hour from Singapore, which has an international airport (Changi).
Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · Aug 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Bill Ackman | Prediction |
Aug 2024 |
Pershing Square believed Universal Music Group's underperformance in the latest quarter would prove short-term and said it did not change its view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects.
Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
Aug 2024 |
Canadian Pacific's 2023 acquisition of Kansas City Southern established the only railroad with a direct route linking Canada, the United States and Mexico.
Bill Ackman · Factual · Aug 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
23 Jul 2024 |
Meta is building internal teams to enable developers and partners to use Llama and is actively building partnerships with ecosystem companies.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
23 Jul 2024 |
In 2024, Llama 3 is competitive with the most advanced models and leading in some areas.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Balaji Srinivasan | Factual |
22 Jul 2024 |
The US bureaucracy has tenure, so its officials cannot be removed by elections.
Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 22 Jul 2024 |
AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true |
Balaji Srinivasan | Factual |
22 Jul 2024 |
America has $175 trillion in debt, which no election can pay off.
Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 22 Jul 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
9 Jul 2024 |
New forms of solar and wind do not use oil and coal or add carbon dioxide.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 9 Jul 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Bill Gates | Factual |
25 Jun 2024 |
At the 2024 Breakthrough Energy Summit in London, a portfolio of clean technologies described as proven and ready for the market today was presented.
Bill Gates · Factual · 25 Jun 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Jensen Huang | Factual |
14 Jun 2024 |
The mass production of software led to a $3 trillion industry.
Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Jensen Huang | Factual |
14 Jun 2024 |
The robotics computer NVIDIA has built does not need graphics.
Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
13 Jun 2024 |
Racial and ethnic minorities in the US have had large gains in health care coverage.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 13 Jun 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
5 May 2024 |
Buffett first went to GEICO in 1950.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
5 May 2024 |
Buffett said that the previous year he had said that developing nuclear weapons let a genie out of the bottle, and that the genie has been doing terrible things lately.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
4 May 2024 |
Berkshire has created an insurance structure that did not exist when Ajit Jain joined in 1986.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
4 May 2024 |
Buffett said Berkshire offered a solution within a couple of days to something in Canada that was getting close to the brink.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
4 May 2024 |
Buffett said he feels very comfortable that the post-Buffett decision will be made by Berkshire's board, which he said has loads of brainpower and a dedication to an unusual institution and will figure things out.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Jensen Huang | Factual |
2 May 2024 |
Jensen Huang said he and his two co-founders decided to start the company at this Denny's.
Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Apr 2024 |
Meta AI now generates high-quality images fast enough to generate and update them in real time as the user types.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
12 Apr 2024 |
The Guns of August describes how the crisis erupted quickly and almost no one grasped the full picture.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
12 Apr 2024 |
Anthropic's experiment found its large model nearly matched a hired human team in changing people's views with persuasive essays.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
12 Apr 2024 |
Anthropic introduced its Responsible Scaling Plan at the end of 2023, setting thresholds for AI system capabilities.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Vinod Khosla | Factual |
9 Apr 2024 |
Andy Grove was an immigrant who founded a cutting-edge technology company in America.
Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Vinod Khosla | Factual |
9 Apr 2024 |
Vinod Khosla calls himself a "venture assistant", which used to annoy his former colleague John Doerr.
Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Carl Schmitt became somewhat entangled with the Nazis and later distanced himself from them.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
The word 'apocalypse' in Greek means 'unveiling'.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Anti-communism was in some ways Peter Thiel's formative political idea as a teenager in the late 1970s and early 1980s.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Debates about religion in Europe were settled by the 1648 Treaty of Westphalia.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Peter Thiel said the political slogan of the Antichrist is "peace and safety," citing, he thought, 1 Thessalonians 5:3.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
René Girard often said that Christ was the first political atheist.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
It is much harder to exit the United States than it was 20 to 30 years ago.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
Apr 2024 |
After 9/11 there was not much terrorism, and instead the US got the Patriot Act, extensive tracking of money flows and monitoring of people.
Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
31 Mar 2024 |
Marcus doubted that a mindblowing GPT model would be released in 2024.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
31 Mar 2024 |
In early August 2023 Gary Marcus wrote a piece titled 'What if Generative AI turned out to be a Dud', which was picked up by the Financial Times and other outlets.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
31 Mar 2024 |
Current-sized LLMs are expensive and not reliable enough for many jobs.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
31 Mar 2024 |
Hallucinations are inherent to how LLMs make predictions.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
31 Mar 2024 |
Marcus cited a statistic from a Wall Street Journal piece, "$50B in, $3B out", and said it was obviously not sustainable.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
31 Mar 2024 |
GPT-5 is likely to be even more expensive to train and operate than GPT-4.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Nassim Taleb | Factual |
30 Mar 2024 |
The city of Jerusalem is not mentioned even once in the Pentateuch.
Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Mar 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
About 300 years ago, life expectancy was around 28.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
Eighty years ago, 100 million people died in Europe and Asia in World War II.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
AI progress is advancing very quickly, at an exponential rate.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
Yann LeCun gave a lecture hosted by the Center of Mathematical Sciences and Applications at Harvard on 2024-03-28 to a full house.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
Kurzweil's early computer music program produced melodies recognizable as in the style of Mozart or Chopin, though not quite as good.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
29 Mar 2024 |
People today earn about 10 times as much in constant dollars as 100 years ago.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
25 Mar 2024 |
Yudkowsky was unpleasantly surprised by how well transformers scaled, having believed the human brain is not homogeneous.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 25 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
21 Mar 2024 |
The term "Singularity" was named after the breakdown of physical models at the center of a black hole, not after a physical infinity.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 21 Mar 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Elon Musk | Factual |
19 Mar 2024 |
Political donations from old Twitter were 99% to Democrats.
Elon Musk · Factual · 19 Mar 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
People can still think even if their language abilities are destroyed by a stroke.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Transformers are equivariant to permutations, as ConvNets are equivariant to translations.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
OpenAI chose to publicly discuss GPT-1, 2, 3 and 4 rather than build in secret until GPT-5.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Not long ago, Elon Musk was talking about launching rockets while people laughed at the idea.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Elon Musk wanted total control of OpenAI to turn it around.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Altman said his memory was that Musk's proposal was for OpenAI to be acquired by Tesla, with Tesla having full control, adding that he was "pretty sure" of this.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Nassim Taleb | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Chef Alain Ducasse in France has recently offered a bulgur or quinoa and vegetable dish resembling the "Lent Kibbeh", packaged as a "burger".
Nassim Taleb · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Asked whether OpenAI's compute was in the same nuclear facility, Altman said there is no nuclear facility.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
18 Mar 2024 |
Elon Musk chose to part ways with OpenAI.
Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
14 Mar 2024 |
There are currently no AI systems that can teach themselves to drive a car in about 20 hours of practice, as a 17-year-old can.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 14 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
10 Mar 2024 |
The white-noise-sounding flat-spectrum signal is the pseudo-random bit sequence used to pre-train an adaptive equalizer that cleans up an analog signal into clean bits.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 10 Mar 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
8 Mar 2024 |
Training an encoder to reconstruct images does not lead it to produce good generic image features, though the encoder architecture is good.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 8 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Yann LeCun | Prediction |
8 Mar 2024 |
Search engines will increasingly be replaced by dialogue systems that answer questions and perhaps point to appropriate references.
Yann LeCun · Prediction · 8 Mar 2024 |
AI capabilities |