28,548 claims · page 48 of 286
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | By default, super intelligences end up wanting to hurt us and it's hard to make them not do that was missing on your list. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | And that's the point where you need to do philosophy in advance that compiles. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | The production of systematic correlations between map and territory, is one way of being more specific about what the word rationality… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Oh, there are technological developments where you can see ways that they would end poorly. It's not every technology that ends up well. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | If you're running the AI that can build the AI that builds that AI and you're not stopping, that's also it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | It's not clear that all the pieces are in place and we just need to pile up more of the same stuff. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | So if you imagine that there's just like generic apocalypses coming at you out of nowhere with a fixed frequency, the longer the history… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | In 2000 Eliezer Yudkowsky believed that a very smart AI would automatically end up very nice. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Those AIs, probably all agree, trees are made of atoms. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | These things are dangerous to the extent that they are planning in the real world and can roll out their own technologies from scratch, or… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | But as long as they find it convincing to say, yeah, somebody else will do it anyway, they are going to do it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | It's this color over here. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I now think that this is actually mistaken, and that's not a vibe shift. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Conversation seems like a much harder problem than writing code, and I would've been wrong. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | AI systems that are very good at chess have not destroyed the world. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | The written book does not cover all objections to its argument; some additional objections are considered in an online supplement. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I wish that it were under better circumstances and I wish the book title were an exaggeration. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | They're like, oh, somebody else will press it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | The speaker says that the person he is describing, who "saw through from there to nuclear weapons", saw that he should not publish his idea because it was a bit dangerous. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | The part where humans need to do philosophy in advance is when there's more than one reflective fix point or self approving… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | There is no physical bar to building a tree that buds off mosquitoes. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | if your virus isn't clever enough, you just need to seed it with more packages. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Yudkowsky said the very first place he carved out an exception to a general view of his was in the discussion about nanotechnology; the surrounding text does not say what that view was. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | A delayed-critical nuclear reactor receiving 0.65% more neutrons would literally explode, not just melt down. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Other global risks |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | If you say that somebody else is gonna press it, instead, let them kill everyone. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | And at least, so far, it seems like in a lot of ways, the person on the street is wiser. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Once you've set the bottom line, once you if you imagine a sheet of paper and then you write at the bottom of the sheet of the paper… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | AI has been used to optimize social media algorithms for outrage and clicks, and arguably contributed to political shifts involving a collapse of the use of expertise in government institutions. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I would normally ask you for a specific example at this point, but probably your viewers have already seen many specific examples, and so I… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Trying to do it inside a human brain is playing on hard mode. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Excellent concrete example. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I realized that my original model of reality had been mistaken. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | You can have things that steer the galaxy toward happily ever after for all life forms. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Here's the thing, this is not that hard. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | It helps discriminate, distinguish. It doesn't nail it down perfectly, but it shifts the probability. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | there is no canonical objection to why we're all going to die. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Leo Szilard foresaw that Hitler was likely to be a problem. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | There's, try to say more narrowly which things count or don't count under your theory. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | The conservation of mass was one of the first hints that things are rearranged rather than created or destroyed. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I mean, everybody literally actually dead as in ceasing to breathe. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Leo Szilard did not foresee that the first atomic bomb would be dropped in August 1945. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | It doesn't matter what you write above the bottom line afterwards, it's already true or already false. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not researched | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Diamond is made out of carbon. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Yes, you should. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Still pro building a whole lot of nuclear power plants. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | Yep, and I stand by that today as well. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | All correct views of cognitive science, computer science are the same. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | I do not quickly expect that we will die before this video releases. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | So your brain is in the middle of a hurricane being buffeted about by many forces that are echoes of past forces. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | They reach around for a reason to say that they can keep going. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | In fact, I'm surprised that there isn't more automatic translation already and have been for a while. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable | Sep 2025 | If you have reason to believe that they're only telling you some of the evidence or even that they're only telling you some of the… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · Sep 2025 | |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Burning a substance inside a sealed glass vessel does not change the total weight. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I certainly have a very negative reaction to people who are projecting certainty and confidence when they don’t really know what’s going to… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | But in the short term, I think you probably have to find some really good partners that know a lot about manufacturing Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | The main thing I would say is using AI itself does not create a defensible business. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | Some of them yes and some of them no. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | We’re going to have to undo some damage, too, even if we got to switch to fusion right away. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 15 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 is not close to human performance at figuring out what questions to ask or working on a task over a very long period. Sam Altman · Factual · 15 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | Maybe the one thing that I think we have done here well is to take a very long time horizon and think very independently. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I certainly remember the time feeling that it was very deeply undeserved, but grateful that he said that. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Prediction | 15 Aug 2025 | Seeing robots walk down the street doing everyday tasks will be one of the most AGI-like experiences. Sam Altman · Prediction · 15 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | So I’m actually not sure they do go down in a deflationary world. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | the best founders that I have watched up close throughout my career have all been more like the sort of quick learning and adapting style. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | If you build a business that gets better when the model gets better, then you should keep doing well if we continue to make progress. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | So 20 kettles doesn’t help you. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | It does seem to me like there are more companies getting created now than in previous technological revolutions that feel like they have a… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | And I think there are a lot of categories where we will find that people can just get much better stuff even if they don’t necessarily get… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I do sort of think that human demand, desire, ability to play status games, whatever is, is it seems pretty limitless. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | Getting good at doing things models can’t do seems like an obvious increase in value. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Factual | 15 Aug 2025 | Selling flashlight apps was not a lasting business because Apple eventually added that function to its operating system. Sam Altman · Factual · 15 Aug 2025 | Technology |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I think that’s also deep in our biology. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | So with GPT-5, you have something that is incredibly smart in a lot of domains. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | one of our strengths as a company is when that happens, we change what we’re going to do. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | It’s really amazing what you can do with a tool like this. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I think it’s a real problem for society that those things have been in retreat. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | People are limited to a degree that they’ve never been before only by the quality and creativity of their ideas. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | You’ve always got to parlay that advantage that comes from using the new technology into a durable business with real value that gets… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | So you can definitely build an amazing thing with AI, but then you have to go build a real defensible layer around it. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Prediction | 15 Aug 2025 | India may become OpenAI's largest market in the world at some point in the not very distant future. Sam Altman · Prediction · 15 Aug 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I would bet they go up, actually. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | People really care about other humans. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Prediction | 15 Aug 2025 | Being a real person will increase in value in a world of unlimited AI content. Sam Altman · Prediction · 15 Aug 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | Yeah, that’s a good point. I think so. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I think that’s really happening already in a big way. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | my own self conception at 19 was deeply unsure of myself and very unimpressive. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | learning how to use AI tools is probably the most important specific hard skill to learn. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | It certainly helps a lot. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | Yeah, generally I agree with that. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | So we’re committed to continuing to work on that. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I am very excited about what AI is going to mean for science Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | A thing I say all the time to people is no one knows what happens next. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I think you could build an entire startup way more efficiently than you ever could before. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | To prove an important new mathematical theorem maybe takes a thousand hours. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | But if you started something that was complicated and the iPhone was just an enabler for it, like Uber, that was a very valuable long term… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I mean certainly real people do screw up. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Unresolvable | Sam Altman | Prediction | 15 Aug 2025 | An AI podcast host is unlikely to become more popular than Nikhil Kamath. Sam Altman · Prediction · 15 Aug 2025 | Technology |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | If you build a business where, when the model gets better, your business gets worse because the wrapper was too thin or whatever, then… Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | I think no one has a plan. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 | |
| Not checkable | Sam Altman | Not checkable | 15 Aug 2025 | It’s just worse at everything. Sam Altman · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2025 |
“So if you imagine that there's just like generic apocalypses coming at you out of nowhere with a fixed frequency, the longer the history you observe for yourself, the more observers like that are in worlds with lower apocalypse background parameters, assuming you know nothing else.”
Eliezer Yudkowsky September 2025 Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky on Rationality and Systematic Misunderstanding of AI Alignment (LessWrong)
So if you imagine that there's just like generic apocalypses coming at you out of nowhere with a fixed frequency, the longer the history…
Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.
Cite this claim
Eliezer Yudkowsky, “So if you imagine that there's just like generic apocalypses coming at you out of nowhere with a fixed frequency, the longer the history…” (said September 2025). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_9dbb25541c4e, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9dbb25541c4e
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.