Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

25 claims

25 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly false Daniela Amodei Factual 27 Oct 2026 Daniela Amodei said the decision to keep ads out of Claude was an immovable baseline established from day one. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Factual 28 Jan 2026 As of January 2026, Tesla operates cars in Austin with no one inside, no safety monitor and no follow car. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Jeff Bezos Promise 6 Oct 2025 Blue Origin will launch its New Glenn vehicle at the end of October or the first week of November 2025, sending NASA's Escapade satellite into orbit around Mars. Jeff Bezos · Promise · 6 Oct 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Factual 31 Dec 2024 X is the number 1 source of news on Earth. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Factual 30 Dec 2024 Musk said almost every legacy media outlet knowingly falsely described Biden as "sharp as a tack" just before the 2024 presidential debate, at a time when, he said, it was obvious Biden had dementia. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 30 Dec 2024 The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election. Elon Musk · Prediction · 30 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Nate Silver Promise 7 Nov 2024 Silver said he would probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings, with a goal of launching by the end of 2024, if not sooner. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 26 Jan 2023 Tesla is increasing 4680 cell capacity by another 100 gigawatt-hours, as announced at Giga Nevada. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Hardware 3 will far exceed the safety of the average human driver, though not be as good as Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 27 Jan 2022 Tesla will not introduce new vehicle models in 2022. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 28 Mar 2021 SpaceX may fly a Starship on the afternoon of 29 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 6 Mar 2021 Tesla will add a "Download Beta" button for FSD Beta to the Service section of the car display in about 10 days from 6 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 24 Nov 2020 SpaceX aims to fly Starship SN8 on its first flight to about 15 km (~50,000 ft) altitude the week after 2020-11-24. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Nov 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false GiveWell Promise 28 May 2020 GiveWell hopes to conduct in-depth reviews of one to two other charities in 2020, most likely Precision Agriculture for Development and/or Sanku, but may have limited capacity due to COVID-19 work. GiveWell · Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Jeff Bezos Factual 20 Sep 2018 Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket factory in Florida is a 650,000-square-foot manufacturing facility. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Sep 2018 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Satya Nadella Factual Oct 2017 Microsoft is the only cloud provider that operates in China under Chinese law. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Jeff Bezos Factual 17 Apr 2017 Jeff Bezos frequently uses "disagree and commit" on decisions himself. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 17 Apr 2017 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 As the technology matures, all Tesla vehicles will have the hardware necessary to be fully self-driving with fail-operational capability. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 When used correctly, Tesla's Autopilot is already significantly safer than a person driving alone. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla will remove the beta label from Autopilot once it is approximately 10 times safer than the US vehicle average. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla's version 1.0 of its Model 3 factory machine will probably arrive in 2018. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Vinod Khosla has not invested over a billion dollars of his own money into cleantech. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The NVIDIA GRID VCA is the world's first visual computing appliance. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
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Elon Musk

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Prediction Their own work or organisation Political

“AfD is going to win an epic victory!”

Elon Musk on X 30 December 2024 Post by @elonmusk on X, 2024-12-30 (X)

The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election.

Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.

What would count as true or false

Judge against the result of the next German federal (Bundestag) election after the claim, held 23 February 2025. To 'win' means the AfD finished first in second-vote (party list) share or became the largest party in the Bundestag. TRUE: the AfD finished first, by a clear or large margin. MOSTLY TRUE: the AfD finished first, but narrowly. MOSTLY FALSE: the AfD did not finish first but made a large gain, such as a record national result or a big rise in vote share. This is a real gain overstated as a victory. FALSE: the AfD neither finished first nor made a substantial gain.

Evidence

  1. Topics Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiterin) · 24 February 2025
    “| | 2025 Bundestag election | 2021 Bundestag election | | CDU | 22.6 % | 19.0 % | | AfD | 20.8 % | 10.4 % |”
  2. Themen Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiterin) · 14 March 2025
    “| CDU | Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | 22,6 % | 19,0 % | | AfD | Alternative für Deutschland | 20,8 % | 10,4 % |”
  3. German Bundestag - CDU/CSU to be the largest group in the new Bundestag German Bundestag · 24 February 2025
    “According to the official provisional result of the Bundestag election, Alternative for Germany (AfD) managed to double its share of the second votes cast; after receiving 20.8 per cent, it will now be the second-largest group in the German Bundestag for the first time (2021: 10.4 per cent).”
  4. German Bundestag - CDU/CSU to be the largest group in the new Bundestag German Bundestag · 24 February 2025
    “The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be the largest parliamentary group in the Bundestag in the 21st electoral term.”

Reasoning

The Federal Returning Officer's provisional and final results put the AfD at 20.8% of second votes, behind the CDU on its own at 22.6% (E1, E2). The Bundestag reports that the CDU/CSU will be the largest group and the AfD the second-largest (E3, E4). So the AfD did not finish first under the criteria. Its vote share did double from 10.4% in 2021 (E3), which is the large gain the criteria rate as mostly false: a real gain overstated as a victory.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election.” (said 30 December 2024). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_9c7f14d15b21, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9c7f14d15b21

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.