Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

18 claims

18 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved false Demis Hassabis Promise 20 May 2026 Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 28 Jan 2026 Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 28 Jan 2026 Tesla will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Warren Buffett Promise 5 May 2024 Poor Charlie's Almanack will be the only book at the Berkshire meeting bookstore next year. Warren Buffett · Promise · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 24 Jan 2024 Musk said he thinks Tesla has a good chance of shipping some number of Optimus units in 2025, and he called Optimus a brand-new product. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 24 Jan 2024 Musk said Tesla's current schedule is to start production toward the end of 2025, sometime in the second half, while noting that he is often optimistic regarding time. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Guidance 27 Jan 2022 Tesla expects growth in 2022 over 2021 comfortably above 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Guidance 27 Jan 2022 If able to respond to demand, Tesla's energy business might grow by about 200% to 300% in 2022 rather than about 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 3 Mar 2021 SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am. Elon Musk · Promise · 3 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2021 Tesla Semi will likely be the first vehicle to achieve full autonomy. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Guidance 27 Jan 2021 Tesla targets 100 gigawatt-hours of Tesla-produced cells in 2022. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Ørsted Prediction Feb 2018 Ørsted expects gross investments in 2018 of DKK 16-18 billion, covering offshore wind projects, the Asnæs Power Station biomass conversion and smart meter installation. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2018 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Ørsted Prediction Feb 2018 Ørsted expects 2018 EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements of DKK 12-13 billion, compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2018 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 16 Jun 2017 SpaceX plans to send a Dragon 2 propulsive lander to Mars in about two years, and probably another Dragon mission in 2020. Elon Musk · Promise · 16 Jun 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Ørsted Promise 2017 DONG Energy will stop using coal altogether at its power plants from 2023. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Ørsted Prediction 2017 DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017. Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla plans to create an integrated solar-roof-with-battery product and scale it throughout the world. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 GMO's 7-year forecast implies U.S. equities would return minus 1.4% real per year as P/Es and profit margins revert to long-term averages. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
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Promise Their own work or organisation

“And Pro to come…”

Demis Hassabis, Google DeepMind CEO, on X 20 May 2026 Post by @demishassabis on X, 2026-05-20 (X)

Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash.

Resolved false The record shows it did not happen or was not so.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

No deadline given; judged as of the date of evaluation. True: Google or Google DeepMind released a model named Gemini 3.5 Pro after Gemini 3.5 Flash, available to outside users or developers (a public preview or experimental release through the Gemini app, AI Studio or Vertex AI counts). Mostly true: a Gemini 3.5 Pro was released, but under a slightly different name or in a different order from what was implied, or only to a broad paid tier. Mostly false: it was only announced, or shown to a small group of trusted testers, with no wider release. False: Google states it was cancelled or replaced (for example, it went straight to a different model with no 3.5 Pro), or a dated model lineup published well after the claim shows no 3.5 Pro release.

Evidence

  1. Gemini 3.5: frontier intelligence with action Google (blog.google) · 19 May 2026 Own record
    “We’re also hard at work on 3.5 Pro. It's already being used internally, and we look forward to rolling it out next month.”
  2. Google AI Studio Google (ai.google.dev, Gemini API release notes) Own record
    “**Gemini 3.6 Flash and Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite generally available (GA)**: Released stable, production-ready versions of our latest 3.x Flash models:”
  3. Gemini 3.5 Pro: what happened to Google's delayed model AIWIZ Digital Marketing (aiwiz.uk) · 17 July 2026
    “On 30 September a Google spokesperson told Reuters that Google no longer plans to release 3.5 Pro.”
  4. Google AI Studio Google AI for Developers (Gemini API release notes) · 19 May 2026
    “Released `gemini-3.5-flash`, the generally available (GA) version of [Gemini 3.5 Flash](/docs/models/gemini-3.5-flash), our most intelligent model for sustained frontier performance on agentic and coding tasks.”
  5. Google AI Studio Google AI for Developers (Gemini API release notes) · 13 October 2026
    “Released [Gemini 4 Argon](/docs/models/gemini-4-argon) (`gemini-4-argon`), our most capable model built for complex coding, agentic, math, and science tasks.”
  6. Google AI Studio Google AI for Developers (Gemini API release notes) · 18 September 2026
    “For any new projects, use our latest models: 3.5 Flash-Lite or 3.8 Flash.”
  7. DD News DD News (republishing Reuters) · 4 November 2026
    “Google no longer plans to release Gemini 3.5 Pro, which CEO Sundar Pichai originally said would be released in June, according to the company spokesperson.”
  8. Gemini 4 Carbon tops AI index; cyber defenders get it first R&D World · 28 October 2026
    “When Google announced Argon on September 30, a spokesperson told Reuters that the company no longer plans to release 3.5 Pro and that Argon is larger than Google’s earlier Pro models.”
  9. Gemini 4 Carbon tops AI index; cyber defenders get it first R&D World · 28 October 2026
    “At its I/O conference, Google promised Gemini 3.5 Pro in June. That model slipped repeatedly, and Bloomberg reported its coding performance fell short of internal goals.”
  10. Gemini 4 Enters Pre-Training as Gemini 3.5 Pro Stays in Testing WindowsForum · 28 July 2026
    “The current status is clearer than the rumor cycle around it: Gemini 3.5 Pro is still in testing with partners.”

Reasoning

Google's Gemini 3.5 post said 3.5 Pro would roll out the next month (E1), and the API release notes record the release of 3.5 Flash on May 19, 2026 (E4). Independent reports say the model slipped repeatedly and was still in partner testing in July (E10, E11). Reuters, republished by DD News, and R&D World both report that a Google spokesperson said the company no longer plans to release Gemini 3.5 Pro. Google announced Gemini 4 Argon on September 30, when a spokesperson said 3.5 Pro was no longer planned, and released Argon in October (E9, E8, E6). This meets the criterion for cancellation or replacement, so the claim resolved false.

Cite this claim

Demis Hassabis, “Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash.” (said 20 May 2026). Verdict: resolved false. Reliability API, claim c_9ac02f397a48, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9ac02f397a48

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.