Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 The human brain is not end-user-modifiable. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Science and research methods
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 Yudkowsky asks readers to consider how many media stories on artificial intelligence cite the Terminator movies as if they were documentaries, and how many media stories on brain-computer interfaces mention Star Trek's Borg. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 It’s mistaken belief that an AI will be friendly which implies an obvious path to global catastrophe. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 In retrospect this is what one would expect. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 There should be a curriculum for people like ourselves; a list of skills we need in addition to our domain-specific knowledge. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 Intelligence, to be useful, must be used for something other than defeating itself. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 Technical failure is when you try to build an AI and it doesn’t work the way you think it does Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 The lesson of history is that swan happens. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 Homo sapiens represents the first general intelligence. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Science and research methods
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 2008 Most AI researchers will not want to make unFriendly AIs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2008 AI safety and alignment
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 To survive any appreciable time, we need to drive down each risk to nearly zero. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 The human brain cannot release enough neurotransmitters to feel emotion a thousand times as strong as the grief of one funeral. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 To hit such a tiny target in configuration space requires a powerful optimization process. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 Friendly AI is not a module you can instantly invent at the exact moment when it is first needed, and then bolt on to an existing, polished… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 If the augment is substantially smarter than human, this too is a global catastrophic risk. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 You cannot "rationalize" what is not rational to begin with - as if lying were called Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 According to probability theory, adding additional detail onto a story must render the story less probable. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 Generations of investigators tried and failed to understand stars, chemistry and biology, which acquired a reputation of being impossible for science. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Science and research methods
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 People deny being anchored or contaminated even when experiments show they are. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 The answer is that I don’t know because I don’t have eons to ponder. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 Even if you abandoned all thoughts of fun, gave up living to preserve your life, you couldn’t navigate a million-year obstacle course. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 The Kahneman, Slovic and Tversky edited volume helped establish the heuristics and biases field and was written with outside academic readers in mind. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 Not every change is an improvement, but every improvement is necessarily a change. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2008 One path leading to global catastrophe—to someone pressing the button with a mistaken idea of what the button does—is that Artificial… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2008
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 If biomass yields double, the land needed for US biofuel falls to 25 million acres. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he was convinced that green technologies can be made cheaper than oil, describing this as his goal while noting he may or may not be successful at it. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 The U.S. has fallen well behind Europe in recognizing climate change and its implications. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Very few scientists dispute that cellulosic ethanol gives an 80 percent carbon reduction. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Wind power will never scale to more than 10, 15, maybe 20 percent of electricity. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 A good corn ethanol plant can achieve as much as a 40 or 50 percent reduction in carbon. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Biomass yields can increase as corn yields have, and biomass can be cultivated sustainably in a polyculture way. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Utilities are currently forced to take the power the subject was discussing (power he said nobody needs at night), which he described as really just a tax. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 AI policy and governance
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Oil interests are spreading disinformation, seeding doubts and mounting campaigns against first-generation products like corn ethanol. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Strong government signals in Europe have made a big difference in advancing renewables there. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 AI policy and governance
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 US corn yields have increased sevenfold since 1920 due to technology and engineering. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he believed that, once the new fuel technologies are proven, oil companies will be willing and massive participants in this area. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 If newer energy technologies are done poorly, there will be public backlash against them. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Oil interests are running massive PR campaigns against ethanol. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 If solar photovoltaics grew 10,000 percent, they would supply about 4 percent of worldwide electricity. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he thought oil companies at the time did not believe "this" was possible. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Geothermal power works extremely well in certain regions. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he believed there had been relatively little controversy over cellulosic ethanol, and that most of the controversy had focused on corn ethanol. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Cement is one of the biggest producers of greenhouse gases. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Saudi Arabia, with a smaller population than California, gains or loses a trillion dollars in asset values each time the oil price moves by $4. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 The vast majority of scientists will say that these fuels give a 20 to 30 percent carbon reduction. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Pricing carbon and requiring carbon capture and sequestration would probably add about 2 cents per kilowatt hour to the cost of coal power, depending on the carbon price. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he believed a massive amount of PR money was being funded by various oil interests, including oil companies and the American Petroleum Institute. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved false Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Khosla said he believed 50 million acres of US land could supply all US biofuel needs. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Even if Germany switched completely to photovoltaics, climate change's trajectory will not change unless India and China also adopt them. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 There will be a mix of biofuels in the marketplace. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Ethanol will be produced in a way that has a materially positive energy balance and reduces petroleum consumption and greenhouse gases. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 He did not believe clean coal would win in every area, because clean coal technologies would be so expensive that many renewables would come in cheaper. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Over time more people will be willing to pay more for clean energy, a tipping point will be reached, and legislation will then force people to pay more. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 With carbon pricing and capture, coal power would cost between 8 and 10 cents per kilowatt hour. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 There are scientists who are not paid by anybody who believe climate change does not exist, though the speaker immediately added that "plenty" was a bit of a stretch. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Science and research methods
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Carbon capture and sequestration for coal plants will work technically. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 For the first 15 years solar photovoltaic cells were built, they took far more energy to produce than was ever got out of them in their lifetime. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Hybrid cars cost 100 times as much as corn ethanol plants for the same percentage carbon reduction of about 20 percent. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla invests in all energy approaches he thinks might be viable. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Around 2057, the world will probably have moved to all electric cars. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I love getting people excited about software Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 it will be nice to finally have a college degree on my resume. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 Harvard was just a phenomenal experience for me. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I completely disagree. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The magical thing about this network is not just that it collapses distance and makes everyone your neighbor. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I believe we have more caring than we know what to do with. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I’ll be changing my job next year Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 It took me decades to find out. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 This is where I learned the sad lesson that improving your odds doesn’t guarantee success. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I’m a bad influence. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 For every person in the world who has access to this technology, five people do not. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Technology
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 If you believe that every life has equal value, it’s revolting to learn that some lives are seen as worth saving and others are not. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 If we can find approaches that meet the needs of the poor in ways that generate profits for business and votes for politicians, we will… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I left Harvard with no real awareness of the awful inequities in the world Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I do have one big regret. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The highest-leverage approach is prevention. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I left campus knowing little about the millions of young people cheated out of educational opportunities here in this country. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 Cutting through complexity to find a solution runs through four predictable stages Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The final step – after seeing the problem and finding an approach – is to measure the impact of your work and share your successes and… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 These are not rhetorical questions – you will answer with your policies. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The barrier to change is not too little caring; it is too much complexity. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 This task is open-ended. It can never be finished. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Unresolvable Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 The market did not reward saving the lives of children in poor countries from preventable diseases, and governments did not subsidize it. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 We were shocked. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 Interventions costing under a dollar could save lives but were not being delivered. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 We can make market forces work better for the poor if we can develop a more creative capitalism Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The bigger problem is not the plane crash, but the millions of preventable deaths. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 You have to be able to show a decline in the number of children dying from these diseases. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 For Melinda and for me, the challenge is the same: how can we do the most good for the greatest number with the resources we have. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 reducing inequity is the highest human achievement. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 You have more than we had; you must start sooner, and carry on longer. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 After being told to come back in a month, Bill Gates worked day and night on a software project that he said ended his college education and began his journey with Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The defining and ongoing innovations of this age – biotechnology, the computer, the Internet – give us a chance we’ve never had before to… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I learned a lot here at Harvard about new ideas in economics and politics. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I did the best of everyone who failed. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I’ve been waiting more than 30 years to say this Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 I worried that they would realize I was just a student in a dorm and hang up on me. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 though I left early, I was transformed by my years at Harvard, the friendships I made, and the ideas I worked on. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 What I remember above all about Harvard was being in the midst of so much energy and intelligence. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 7 Jun 2007 The media covers what’s new – and millions of people dying is nothing new. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 7 Jun 2007
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Bill Gates

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Not checkable

“These are not rhetorical questions – you will answer with your policies.”

Bill Gates 7 June 2007 Remarks of Bill Gates, Harvard Commencement 2007 (Harvard Gazette)

These are not rhetorical questions – you will answer with your policies.

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Bill Gates, “These are not rhetorical questions – you will answer with your policies.” (said 7 June 2007). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_9a4e01e6d1f4, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9a4e01e6d1f4

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