Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

340 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly false Dario Amodei Prediction 23 Sep 2026 Amodei said that "we" believe AI for biology is on an exponential trend similar to the one he described for AI in mathematics. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 23 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Mostly true Jensen Huang Prediction 1 Jun 2026 Adobe has re-engineered the core of Photoshop and Premiere and will release it for RTX Spark. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 Technology
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 28 Feb 2026 Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2026 AI policy and governance
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2026 Tesla hopes to get European regulatory approval for supervised full self-driving in February 2026. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 Technology
Mostly false Rodney Brooks Prediction 1 Jan 2026 The Artemis II crewed lunar flyby looks on track to fly in February 2026. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2026 Other
Mostly true Sam Altman Prediction 9 Aug 2025 After GPT-5 launches there will be another big spike in demand that OpenAI will not be able to serve. Sam Altman · Prediction · 9 Aug 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 OpenAI will release GPT-5 imminently. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 GPT-5 will still make a significant number of obvious errors that are hard to predict. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 If the model being discussed has guardrails like ChatGPT's, they will teeter between being too weak (beaten by jailbreaks) and too strong (rejecting some perfectly reasonable requests). Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 Some of GPT-5's advice will be very bad. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 GPT-5 by itself will not be a general-purpose AGI capable of arbitrary tasks. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 GPT-5 will be considerably better than GPT-4. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Prediction 23 Jul 2025 Asked whether it would be nuclear fusion, Demis Hassabis said he thinks fusion and solar are the two energy sources he would bet on. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 23 Jul 2025 Technology
Mostly true Ray Dalio Prediction 10 Jun 2025 If current congressional plans go forward, the US federal deficit will be about 7% of GDP. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 10 Jun 2025 Economics and markets
Mixed Nate Silver Prediction 8 Apr 2025 Children's toys will become much more expensive in the US because they are made in heavily tariffed countries such as Vietnam. Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Apr 2025 Economics and markets
Resolved true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, the government becomes extremely interested in AI and discusses nationalizing the AI companies. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 The authors of the scenario think coding is what will start the intelligence explosion. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, as AI labs become more capable they tell the government, seeking government contracts and support. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, the government sees via cyber warfare that AIs are as capable as the best human hackers but deployable at huge scale. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Dario Amodei Prediction 10 Mar 2025 US export controls may have the effect of stimulating China's chip development. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 AI policy and governance
Resolved false Dario Amodei Prediction 10 Mar 2025 Within three to six months of March 2025, AI will be writing 90 percent of code. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved false Dario Amodei Prediction 10 Mar 2025 Within twelve months of March 2025, AI may be writing essentially all of the code. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 10 Mar 2025 Anthropic's models may reach AI Safety Level 3 in 2025. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 28 Feb 2025 In the short run (about 6 to 12 months), AI will augment and increase coders' productivity rather than replace them. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2025 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Dario Amodei Prediction 28 Feb 2025 By the end of 2025, AI will do very serious things in coding. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Bill Gates Prediction 4 Feb 2025 Some government policies affecting climate work will become less favorable than before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 4 Feb 2025 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Prediction 26 Jan 2025 Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Prediction 26 Jan 2025 The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 10 Jan 2025 Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 10 Jan 2025 Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 AI Safety Institutes will offer guidance in 2025 but have little legal authority to stop truly dangerous models. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Profits from AI models will remain modest or nonexistent in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 Economics and markets
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Lack of reliability will continue to afflict generative AI in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Artificial general intelligence will not be achieved in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Hallucinations will continue to afflict generative AI in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Less than 10% of the workforce will be replaced by AI in 2025, probably less than 5%. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 The US will continue to have very little regulation protecting consumers from generative AI risks in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 A large-scale cyberattack in which generative AI plays an important causal role may well occur in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 Other global risks
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 AI agents will be heavily hyped throughout 2025 but remain far from reliable, except possibly in very narrow use cases. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Rodney Brooks wrote on 2025-01-01 that New Glenn's launch seemed imminent. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 Economics and markets
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 AI power consumption will rise in 2025 and remain a major problem, while few generative AI companies will be transparent about their usage. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Few if any radiologists will be replaced by AI in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 No single AI system will solve more than 4 of the AI 2027 Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 In 2025 humanoid robotics will see a lot of hype, but nobody will release a robot remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Neurosymbolic AI will become much more prominent in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 OpenAI's Sora will continue to have trouble with physics in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 30 Dec 2024 The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election. Elon Musk · Prediction · 30 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Sam Altman Prediction 21 Dec 2024 On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction. Sam Altman · Prediction · 21 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly false Dario Amodei Prediction 11 Nov 2024 Amodei said that, after progress from 3% to 50% on SWE-bench in 10 months, state-of-the-art models would probably be at about 90% in another year, while adding that he did not know and it might be less. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 11 Nov 2024 Amodei guessed that by about November 2025, AI models would be able to perform computer-use tasks very, very reliably. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Dario Amodei Prediction 11 Nov 2024 Dario Amodei said he would not be surprised at all if Anthropic's models hit ASL-3 in 2025. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 AI safety and alignment
Resolved false Dario Amodei Prediction 11 Nov 2024 Amodei guessed that within about 10 months AI models would probably get pretty close on typical real-world programming tasks, reaching at least 90%. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 27 Aug 2024 France may not be able to hold Telegram founder Pavel Durov in custody for long. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 27 Aug 2024 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Nate Silver Prediction 13 Aug 2024 Kamala Harris's bid is inherently difficult and a little bit of a long shot, but her chances of winning the 2024 presidential election are probably better than Joe Biden's were. Nate Silver · Prediction · 13 Aug 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Mixed Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 Howard Hughes' land sales segment is on track to generate nearly $300 million in full-year 2024 profits. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 Chipotle is on track to open approximately 300 new restaurants in 2024 and expects to more than double its store base to at least 7,000 North American locations over time. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Economics and markets
Mixed Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 Chipotle's limited-time Smoked Brisket launch starting in September 2024 should further improve sales trends. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 CPKC expects to exit 2024 with C$800 million of new business from revenue synergies. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 Pershing Square believed Universal Music Group's underperformance in the latest quarter would prove short-term and said it did not change its view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved false Nouriel Roubini Prediction 30 Jun 2024 The RN (Le Pen's party) will win an absolute majority in the 2024 French parliamentary elections, with 60% probability as the baseline scenario. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 30 Jun 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Apple will very likely still be Berkshire's largest common stock holding at the end of 2024, despite Berkshire having sold some shares. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Buffett said he feels very comfortable that the post-Buffett decision will be made by Berkshire's board, which he said has loads of brainpower and a dedication to an unusual institution and will figure things out. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year). Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 Marcus doubted that a mindblowing GPT model would be released in 2024. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 GPT-5 is likely to be even more expensive to train and operate than GPT-4. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Yann LeCun Prediction 8 Mar 2024 Search engines will increasingly be replaced by dialogue systems that answer questions and perhaps point to appropriate references. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 8 Mar 2024 AI capabilities
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 5 Mar 2024 If a rival AI developer beats GPT-4 on general intelligence, OpenAI will be forced to release GPT-4.5. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 5 Mar 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Prediction 28 Feb 2024 Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 28 Feb 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved false Rodney Brooks Prediction 1 Jan 2024 After its first crewed test flight in April 2024, Boeing's Starliner is expected to fly with a crew once a year. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2024 Technology
Mixed Satya Nadella Prediction 15 Nov 2023 Nadella said he hoped calendar year 2024 would be the year of classic commercial enterprise deployment and deployment data for AI Copilots. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly false Nouriel Roubini Prediction 27 Oct 2023 US stocks could see a 10% correction (predicted in a Bloomberg interview in early September 2023). Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 27 Oct 2023 Economics and markets
Mixed Gary Marcus Prediction 26 Oct 2023 With more than 60 elections around the world in 2024, the chance that at least one would be swayed by deepfakes is high. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 26 Oct 2023 Other global risks
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 28 Sep 2023 Zuckerberg said he thinks Quest 3 is going to be the first mixed reality device that millions of people get. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Sep 2023 Technology
Mostly false Nate Silver Prediction 8 Sep 2023 Biden winning the 2024 presidential election is more likely than Trump winning, which is more likely than someone else winning. Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Sep 2023 Other
Mixed Nate Silver Prediction 8 Sep 2023 Most US voters will not start paying attention to the 2024 presidential election until nine months to a year after September 2023. Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Sep 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly false Nate Silver Prediction 8 Sep 2023 If Trump does well in Iowa and New Hampshire and Biden has no snafu, Trump and Biden could become their parties' presumptive 2024 nominees as soon as February 2024. Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Sep 2023 Other
Mostly false Marc Andreessen Prediction 2 Sep 2023 The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 2 Sep 2023 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Prediction 2 Sep 2023 There will be Chinese AI systems that embody Communist ideology. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 2 Sep 2023 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Dario Amodei Prediction 8 Aug 2023 In a year or two (from 2023), AI model consciousness might become a very real concern. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 8 Aug 2023 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 8 Aug 2023 AI models will not have enough autonomy within two years to raise alignment concerns, though that may not be far behind. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 8 Aug 2023 AI safety and alignment
Mixed Marc Andreessen Prediction 12 Jun 2023 Andreessen said he was pretty confident that within roughly two years of June 2023, AI systems' limited persistent memory across sessions would be a solved problem. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 12 Jun 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Prediction 12 Jun 2023 Andreessen said he thought the rate of AI technological improvement from mid-2023 onward would be very rapid. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 12 Jun 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved false Jim Cramer Prediction 24 May 2023 US politicians will cause investors to lose more money as the May 2023 debt ceiling negotiations drag on. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 Economics and markets
Resolved false Jim Cramer Prediction 24 May 2023 If the market follows the 2011 debt ceiling pattern, US stocks will fall about 12% from their level on 2023-05-24 to the bottom. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 Economics and markets
Mostly false Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 Paul Christiano will probably win his forecast disagreement with Yudkowsky on an AI getting IMO gold by 2025, with prediction-market odds then running around 30%. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved false Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 The current AI developers will not try the alignment approach he described (filtering training data to nice examples and training on it). Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 AI alignment will not be solved within a few years. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 GPT-5 will not end the world, with more than 50% of Yudkowsky's probability on that outcome. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 20 Feb 2023 Scaling AI models will continue to produce gains, though less obviously than in the past five years. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Scott Alexander Prediction 20 Feb 2023 Training GPT-4 will cost $100 million. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction Feb 2023 Yudkowsky said he felt quite confident that the upper range of the untapped potential of ChatGPT-style systems is insufficient to outsmart all living humans and carry out the catastrophe scenario he worries about. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · Feb 2023 AI capabilities
Mostly true Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 If 2023 has no major supply chain interruption, Tesla has the potential to produce 2 million cars in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Musk said Tesla was not committing to it, but he thought there would also be demand for the potential of about 2 million vehicles in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Tesla thinks demand for its vehicles will be good despite a probable contraction in the overall automotive market. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Prediction 26 Jan 2023 Hardware 3 will far exceed the safety of the average human driver, though not be as good as Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Prediction 3 Jan 2023 China will respond strongly to US technological and economic containment rather than take it lightly. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 3 Jan 2023 Other global risks
Mostly false Nouriel Roubini Prediction 3 Jan 2023 Faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, central banks will back down from tough talk and not raise rates further. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 3 Jan 2023 Economics and markets
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Prediction 1 Jan 2023 If US electric vehicle sales keep growing at 68% per year, electric cars would be 28% of new US car sales in 2025. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2023 Economics and markets
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Prediction 1 Jan 2023 Brooks said he was concerned that Starship would not be ready for the proposed 2025 crewed lunar landing, and that this would delay humankind's return to the Moon. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2023 Technology
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Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

“I think the next versions of this over the next year, 18 months, we’ll maybe have some contextual understanding of the environment around you through a camera or a phone or some glasses.”

Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind 28 February 2024 Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold (Dwarkesh Podcast)

Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Horizon: by end of August 2025, about 18 months after 2024-02-28. True: by then, a multimodal AI system (from Google or another developer) was released or publicly shown working that understands the user's surroundings in context through a camera, phone or glasses: it sees live or captured views of the environment and answers or acts on them in conversation. Examples would be a phone assistant with a live camera mode, or a glasses assistant. Mostly true: such a capability existed by the deadline but only in a limited form, such as a staged demo or a small tester programme, rather than in users' hands. Mostly false: it first appeared only after August 2025, or what existed by then was only still-image question answering with no understanding of the ongoing environment. False: dated evidence shows that no such system had been released or demonstrated by September 2025.

Evidence

  1. Google rolls out Gemini Live camera and screen sharing to everyone 9to5Google · 30 May 2025
    “Today, Google said the “ability to share your camera & screen in Gemini Live is now available to all Gemini users on Android & iOS.””
  2. Gemini Live’s new camera mode now rolling out to select flagship Android phones Chrome Unboxed · 7 April 2025
    “Similarly, a camcorder button in the Gemini Live interface will activate a live video mode, letting you point your camera at the world around you and ask questions in real-time.”
  3. Google I/O 2025: From research to reality Google (blog.google) · 20 May 2025 Own record
    “Gemini Live now incorporates Project Astra's camera and screen-sharing capabilities.”
  4. Google wants to sell those Project Astra AR glasses some day, but it won't be today | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 12 December 2024
    “I walked around a library on Google’s campus, pointing a phone camera at different objects while talking to Astra.”

Reasoning

E2 (April 2025) reports that Gemini Live's camera mode was rolling out with a live video mode. Users could point a phone camera at their surroundings and ask questions about them in real time. E1 (May 30, 2025) reports that Google made camera and screen sharing in Gemini Live available to all Gemini users on Android and iOS. That puts the capability in users' hands before the August 2025 deadline. E4 (December 2024) independently describes a working demo of Astra answering questions about what a phone camera showed, and E3 confirms the Astra capabilities were added to Gemini Live.

Cite this claim

Demis Hassabis, “Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses.” (said 28 February 2024). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_99f51aeeec4f, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_99f51aeeec4f

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.