6,750 claims · page 9 of 68
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Dina Powell McCormick joined Meta as president and vice chairman. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta is working on merging LLMs with the recommendation systems that power Facebook, Instagram, Threads and its ad system. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said Tesla would expect, over time, to make far more CyberCabs than all of its other vehicles combined. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will transition the Cybertruck line to a fully autonomous vehicle line. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks that, three or four years out, chip production will be the limiting factor for Tesla's growth. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Long-term, Optimus will move the needle on US GDP significantly. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta expects to roll out its new AI-enabled products and formats over the course of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta rebuilt the foundations of its AI program in 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to operate autonomous service in dozens of major cities by end of 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft's total addressable market will grow substantially across every layer of the tech stack as AI diffusion accelerates. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | In his opening remarks, Zuckerberg outlined themes including personal AI and LLMs combined with recommendation systems. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | In the future, probably less than 5% of miles driven, maybe as low as 1%, will be driven by a human. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | A number of companies that do not make sure they can keep building batteries, robots and AI chips no matter what happens will cease to exist. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Other global risks |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla aspires to release the AI6 chip in under a year after AI5. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg said it is hard to imagine that, in several years, most glasses people wear will not be AI glasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | CyberCab will probably be used fifty or sixty hours a week versus ten or eleven hours for a driven vehicle. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | There will be more immersive and interactive content formats. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft uses software to continuously run even the latest AI models on its aging server fleet, which extends the fleet's useful duration. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg recently announced MetaCompute, Meta's infrastructure initiative. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta's glasses sales more than tripled in 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will end the Model S and Model X programs. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | As of January 2026, Tesla operates cars in Austin with no one inside, no safety monitor and no follow car. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta thinks there will be opportunities to monetize such AI products through subscriptions, advertising and other means. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | China will be Tesla's toughest competition. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said that "this" would probably double every month "type of thing", and described it as being on an exponential curve; the quote does not say what "this" refers to. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Guidance | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta expects Reality Labs losses in 2026 to be similar to 2025, likely the peak, with losses gradually reducing afterwards. Mark Zuckerberg · Guidance · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | People who adopt AI agents are already becoming significantly more productive. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta expects its cost per gigawatt of compute to decrease significantly over time through optimizing technology and supply chain. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | As of January 2026, Meta had been building Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) for about six months. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft's latest SQL Server is growing as an IaaS service in Azure. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will convert the Model S and X production space at Fremont into an Optimus factory with a long-term goal of one million Optimus robots a year. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla's Optimus will be much more capable than any robot under development in China that Tesla is aware of. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks the amount of autonomy will increase dramatically, essentially every month. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks Tesla is ahead of the rest of the world in AI intelligence density by an order of magnitude or more, while acknowledging that this would sound like a bold statement. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | AI inferencing, like AI training, requires a lot of compute and a lot of storage located close to that compute. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta is elevating individual contributors and flattening its teams. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | The Tesla CyberCab has no steering wheel or pedals. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | To Tesla's knowledge, it has no significant competitors outside China. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta will roll out its initial set of new AI models, products and businesses over the coming months. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | GitHub Copilot Pro+ subscriptions for individual developers increased 77% quarter-over-quarter. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to wind down and basically stop Model S and X production next quarter. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Anthropic achieved its revenue growth using a fraction of the compute its competitors have. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | SpaceX and Tesla teams are each working to build up to 100 GW a year of US solar manufacturing, which will probably take about three years. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Many of the remarkable future developments in global health will bear the imprint of Dr. Bill Foege's career. Bill Gates · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Everyone on Earth will have a humanoid robot and will want one. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Open AI models may be about a year behind closed AI models. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Dr. Bill Foege saved the lives of hundreds of millions of people through his global health work. Bill Gates · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Ubiquitous, nearly free AI and ubiquitous robotics will cause an expansion of the global economy beyond all precedent. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Within 2 years, maybe 3 at the latest, space will be the lowest-cost place to put AI. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thought Tesla would probably be selling humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Aging is a solvable problem. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | There are about 9,000 SpaceX satellites in orbit, and none has ever had to maneuver around an alien spaceship. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates and Dr. Bill Foege often discussed the future of global health together. Bill Gates · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks it is highly likely that ways will be found to extend life and maybe even reverse aging. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Anthropic is structured so that research, product and policy are integrated, with model builders working closely with those studying how to make models safer. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | AI smarter than any human might exist by the end of 2026, and no later than 2027. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Own records only | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Healthcare practitioners using Claude are not handing decisions off to it. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | SpaceX will launch solar-powered AI satellites within a few years. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Tesla hopes to get European regulatory approval for supervised full self-driving in February 2026. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | SpaceX hopes to prove full reusability of Starship in 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Very soon, possibly later in 2026, more chips will be produced than can be turned on, except in China. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | AI access will naturally be very broad because AI companies will seek as many customers as possible. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Buybacks, a board reorganization and the sale of Spring Wireless for cash were activist successes with concrete results but had zero impact on price or short interest. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | Tesla's Robotaxi service, now in a few cities, will be very widespread in the US by the end of 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Own records only | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Practitioners use Claude in specific workflow tasks such as synthesizing literature, drafting patient communications and pressure-testing reasoning, then apply their own judgment. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2026 | Musk said that probably by the end of 2026, in his view, Tesla Optimus robots would be doing more complex tasks, still deployed in industrial environments. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 26 Jan 2026 | Michael Burry put together a Microsoft Word analyst template for his Scion analysts in early 2006. Michael Burry · Factual · 26 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 26 Jan 2026 | Shikha Dalmia moderated a podcast discussion between Tyler Cowen and Francis Fukuyama, published by 2026-01-26. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 26 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 24 Jan 2026 | The 51st cohort of Emergent Ventures winners was announced by 2026-01-24. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 24 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Promise | 22 Jan 2026 | Michael Burry said he was actively working on posts readers were expecting: GME Part 2, the Heretic's Guide Part 3, and the LULU and Palantir pieces. Michael Burry · Promise · 22 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Promise | 22 Jan 2026 | On February 1, 2026, the Cassandra Unchained subscription rate for new subscribers will move to $49/month or $439/year. Michael Burry · Promise · 22 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 21 Jan 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Diarmaid MacCulloch, published by 2026-01-21. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 21 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil predicted in 1999 that AGI would arrive in 2029. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | People won't necessarily have jobs as such in future, and how to deal with that is unclear. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil said he thinks that by 2029 everyone will accept that AGI has been achieved. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Humanity will reach longevity escape velocity by 2032, with medical advances giving back a year for each year aged. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Society will be able to produce enough that everyone is wealthy by today's standards. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Within the next 10 years humans will reach Kurzweil's definition of the singularity, being at least a thousand times more intelligent. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Own records only | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 20 Jan 2026 | People Kurzweil spoke to who a year earlier dismissed AI as not very good have completely changed their views in the last year. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Humans will merge with AI so that biological and computational intelligence become the same thing. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil said he thinks that in 2026 there will be many things that remind people of AGI, but that people will not be convinced AGI has arrived in 2026. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | People will not be able to tell whether an idea comes from biological or computational intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Mixed | Michael Burry | Factual | 20 Jan 2026 | The US already has the right to place military installations across Greenland. Michael Burry · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 12 Jan 2026 | Joe Studwell has a new book titled How Africa Works. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 12 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates said he thinks the impact of AI on the job market will grow over the next five years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly false | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | Over the last decade the world has cut projected emissions by more than 40 percent. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Of all things humans have created, AI will change society the most. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | By the 2040s, new innovations could virtually eliminate deaths from HIV/AIDS. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates said he believes AI and robot advances will not plateau before exceeding human levels. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | The number of deaths of children under 5 worldwide rose in 2025, going backwards on a key metric of progress. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | Deaths of children under 5 rose for the first time this century, from 4.6 million in 2024 to 4.8 million in 2025, driven by less support from rich to poor countries. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | AI will soon let poor farmers get better advice on weather, prices, crop diseases and soil than even the richest farmers get today. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly false | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | AI makes software developers at least twice as efficient. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates started Breakthrough Energy about 10 years before 2026. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | The Gates Foundation has committed $1.4 billion to supporting farmers on the frontlines of extreme weather. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | Thanks to treatments, a person with HIV today can expect to live almost as long as someone without the virus. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | The rise in child deaths will continue unless progress is made in restoring aid budgets. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | If health funding for poor countries decreases by 20 percent, 12 million more children could die by 2045. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities will allow far more goods and services to be made with less labor. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
“This is why I started Breakthrough Energy 10 years ago and why I will continue to put billions into innovation.”
Bill Gates, author of his annual letter 9 January 2026 Read Bill Gates's 2026 annual letter in full (Fortune)
Bill Gates started Breakthrough Energy about 10 years before 2026.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
What would count as true or false
True: dated records show Bill Gates founded or launched Breakthrough Energy (including the Breakthrough Energy Coalition, announced in November 2015) between about 2015 and 2017, which is roughly 10 years before January 2026. Mostly true: Gates was the founder, and the founding was 8 to 12 years before 2026. Mostly false: Gates co-founded it as one of several founders in a way that undercuts 'I started', or the founding date was more than 12 years earlier or less than 8 years earlier. False: Gates did not start Breakthrough Energy, or it was founded at a date far from the one claimed, for example within the last 5 years.
Evidence
- Tech billionaires team up for clean energy coalition at Paris climate talks Grist (reproducing a Guardian story, Climate Desk collaboration) · 1 December 2015
“The Breakthrough Energy Coalition, made up of more than 25 investors from 10 countries, launched in Paris on Monday as part of the U.N. talks where nations are thrashing out an agreement”
- Gates Leads Big Investors and UC in New Climate Effort Institutional Investor · 22 December 2015
“Led by Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, the group, comprising 28 deep-pocketed individuals and the University of California, pledged to invest more than $2 billion over the next five years”
- Bill Gates on getting billionaires behind clean energy Marketplace (American Public Media) · 23 February 2016
“And Bill Gates, the Coalition’s founder, is writing about it in his yearly letter to followers of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.”
- Breakthrough Energy Ventures - Gates Notes Gates Notes (Bill Gates) · 12 December 2016 Own record
“We formed the Breakthrough Energy Coalition, a group of entrepreneurs, business leaders, and institutional investors committed to help bring promising new zero-emissions energy technologies to market.”
Reasoning
A news report from December 2015 says the Breakthrough Energy Coalition launched in Paris during the UN climate talks (E1). That is about 10 years before January 2026. Independent outlets say Gates led the coalition (E2) and call him its founder (E3). More than 25 investors belonged to the coalition, but no source names anyone else as a founder, so that does not undercut "I started" under the criteria.
Cite this claim
Bill Gates, “Bill Gates started Breakthrough Energy about 10 years before 2026.” (said 9 January 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_93cb0e4de58b, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_93cb0e4de58b
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.