334 claims · page 1 of 4
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic announced that, subject to stockholder approval, it is setting aside at least 5% of its shares to fund projects pursuing its public benefit charter. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Scott Alexander | Promise | 19 Oct 2026 | Scott Alexander will probably publish a post about the Bay Area ACX meetup. Scott Alexander · Promise · 19 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 13 Oct 2026 | Michael Burry swapped common stock for junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Michael Burry · Factual · 13 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 5 Oct 2026 | Rob Ennals, who made this year's ACX book review contest site, has gathered reviews from earlier years into epubs. Scott Alexander · Factual · 5 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Yann LeCun | Factual | 1 Oct 2026 | AMI Labs' work is AI for the physical world and is not language-related. Yann LeCun · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Yann LeCun | Factual | 1 Oct 2026 | AMI Labs builds systems that understand the real world, such as a manufacturing plant or turbojet engine. Yann LeCun · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Factual | 30 Sep 2026 | GiveWell's 2025 fundraising of $616 million was its largest fundraising year to date. GiveWell · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 26 Sep 2026 | Pinker's arguments on AI risk were laid out five years before the release of LLM chatbots. Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Peter Thiel | Factual | 25 Sep 2026 | Thiel said he encouraged the person under discussion to write his book and supported him financially when he ran for the Senate in 2022. Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 18 Sep 2026 | Howard Buffett has been a Berkshire director for 33 years. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Warren Buffett | Promise | 18 Sep 2026 | Warren Buffett becomes Chairman Emeritus of Berkshire and remains a director. Warren Buffett · Promise · 18 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 18 Sep 2026 | Howard Buffett succeeds Warren Buffett as Berkshire's Chairman. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 18 Sep 2026 | Warren Buffett has served Berkshire since 1965. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 15 Sep 2026 | Meta will ship its Watermelon model soon. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 15 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 12 Sep 2026 | Dario Amodei has published a new essay, "We Must Pace the Frontier", arguing the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 4 Sep 2026 | Sam Altman was a sci-fi and AI enthusiast as a child. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Factual | 31 Aug 2026 | Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities. GiveWell · Factual · 31 Aug 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Factual | 31 Aug 2026 | In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024. GiveWell · Factual · 31 Aug 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 13 Aug 2026 | Ørsted's offshore EBITDA excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees was DKK 11.9 billion in H1 2026 versus DKK 10.3 billion in H1 2025, primarily driven by higher wind speeds and higher prices. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 12 Aug 2026 | Pershing Square recently made new investments in Visa, Mastercard, Netflix, S&P Global, Intercontinental Exchange and Alcon. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 27 Jul 2026 | Tesla has a product roadmap. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jul 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 9 Jul 2026 | Michael Burry never said that A100 chips would stop functioning. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 29 Jun 2026 | The majority of Anthropic's revenue comes from businesses. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 29 Jun 2026 | Stripe had about 40 people when Daniela Amodei joined it. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 29 Jun 2026 | Daniela Amodei graduated from college in 2009. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Jun 2026 | On 2026-06-10 Dario Amodei published a new essay titled Policy on the AI Exponential. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will offer Nvidia's models and tooling in Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's OpenShell is open source. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA announced Nemotron 3 Ultra, its next open model, at the keynote. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA is working with Cadence to accelerate Cadence's tools on CUDA. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic incorporated as a public benefit corporation. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Ray Dalio studied roughly the last 500 years of history to find what causes the rise and decline of reserve currencies and empires. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei graduated college in 2009 with a literature degree. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 May 2026 | It has been 10 years since AlphaGo. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted's net profit for Q1 2026 was DKK 2.6 billion, affected by non-cash tax effects and impairments due to higher long-dated US interest rates. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | More than 3.5 billion people use at least one Meta app every day. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Demis Hassabis met South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Seoul. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Mark Zuckerberg said Meta released Ray-Ban MetaOptics glasses "this quarter" (as of April 29, 2026), designed for all-day wear rather than primarily as sunglasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 30 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's conversation with Paul Gillingham was mostly about Mexico. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Harvey Mansfield, published by 2026-03-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's planned conversation with Toby Wilkinson has ancient and Ptolemaic Egypt as its topic. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 10 Mar 2026 | Streetwise is now available for sale as of 2026-03-10. Bill Ackman · Factual · 10 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Jensen Huang | Promise | 25 Feb 2026 | Beginning in Q1 fiscal 2027, NVIDIA will include stock-based compensation expense in its non-GAAP financial measures. Jensen Huang · Promise · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's H20 charges/(releases), net, were $4.5 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026 and ($180 million) in Q2 fiscal 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Guidance | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA expects stock-based compensation in Q1 fiscal 2027 to have a 0.1% impact on non-GAAP gross margin and add $1.9 billion to non-GAAP operating expenses. Jensen Huang · Guidance · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 22 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen recorded a podcast with Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer, mostly on geopolitics, with a transcript available. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 22 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the podcast of Rasheed Griffith and Diego Sanchez de la Cruz, discussing Latin America and Spain. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Joe Studwell, published by 2026-02-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Andrew Ross Sorkin, published by 2026-02-04. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models on Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 80% of the Fortune 500 have active agents built using Microsoft's low-code/no-code tools (Copilot Studio and Agent Builder). Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to start CyberCab production in April 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk has updated Tesla's mission to "amazing abundance". Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Dina Powell McCormick joined Meta as president and vice chairman. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta rebuilt the foundations of its AI program in 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will end the Model S and Model X programs. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | As of January 2026, Meta had been building Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) for about six months. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | GitHub Copilot Pro+ subscriptions for individual developers increased 77% quarter-over-quarter. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to wind down and basically stop Model S and X production next quarter. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 27 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates and Dr. Bill Foege often discussed the future of global health together. Bill Gates · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 26 Jan 2026 | Shikha Dalmia moderated a podcast discussion between Tyler Cowen and Francis Fukuyama, published by 2026-01-26. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 26 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 24 Jan 2026 | The 51st cohort of Emergent Ventures winners was announced by 2026-01-24. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 24 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 21 Jan 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Diarmaid MacCulloch, published by 2026-01-21. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 21 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil predicted in 1999 that AGI would arrive in 2029. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates started Breakthrough Energy about 10 years before 2026. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 9 Jan 2026 | The Gates Foundation has committed $1.4 billion to supporting farmers on the frontlines of extreme weather. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 7 Jan 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Brendan Foody, published by 2026-01-07. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2026 | Anthropic decided not to put ads in Claude, a decision partly based on the belief that AI technology is different because of how personal user conversations are. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2026 | The founders considered the name "Sparrow Systems" before choosing Anthropic. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2026 | The founders named the company Anthropic after rejecting bird-themed name ideas. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Warren Buffett | Promise | 10 Nov 2025 | Greg Abel will become Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive at the end of 2025. Warren Buffett · Promise · 10 Nov 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 3 Oct 2025 | Jeff Bezos started Amazon when he was 30 years old. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 3 Oct 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 3 Oct 2025 | Jeff Bezos finished college. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 3 Oct 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Sep 2025 | NVIDIA announced Dynamo, a disaggregated AI workload orchestration software, and open sourced it. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | NVIDIA is OpenAI's AI infrastructure partner. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | Elon Musk helped start OpenAI. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 14 Aug 2025 | When OpenAI started, it took four and a half years before it had its first product. Sam Altman · Factual · 14 Aug 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 30 Jul 2025 | Meta will share more on these topics, especially its Reality Labs work, at Connect on 17 September 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 30 Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Demis Hassabis worked on the early stages of the game Black & White in the 1990s, which he says had probably the best learning AI in a game. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | Azure annual revenue in fiscal 2025 surpassed $75 billion, up 34%, with growth across all workloads. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | 80% of the Fortune 500 use Azure AI Foundry. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Nate Silver | Promise | 12 May 2025 | The Silver Bulletin will not publish its official 2026 midterms forecast until at least a year after May 2025. Nate Silver · Promise · 12 May 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Dario Amodei | Promise | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic will launch web search for Claude very soon. Dario Amodei · Promise · 28 Feb 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Zuckerberg controls the majority of the voting power at Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Before Meta updated its policies, a statement calling for women to be excluded from certain combat roles could not be posted on its platforms because it called for exclusion of a protected category. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Zuckerberg said that there are emails and that the emails have been published. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 2025 | Warren Buffett received an education at three universities. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 2025 | When buying Forest River, Warren Buffett asked Pete Liegl what his compensation should be and said he would accept whatever Liegl named. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 2025 | In 2024, 53% of Berkshire's 189 operating businesses reported a decline in earnings, yet Berkshire did better than Buffett expected. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 2025 | Scion did not pay $10,000,000 for the credit default swap; that was only its notional value. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 10 Dec 2024 | Last month's issue of Asterisk (November 2024) contains an interview with Skarbek, which Scott thinks will be online shortly. Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 5 Dec 2024 | OpenAI launched ChatGPT Pro at $200/month with unlimited usage and a more capable mode for using o1. Sam Altman · Factual · 5 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Sam Altman | Promise | 4 Dec 2024 | OpenAI will hold a livestream with a launch or demo each weekday during its '12 days of openai' starting 2024-12-05 at 10am Pacific. Sam Altman · Promise · 4 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Demis Hassabis learned to play chess at age four. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft will offer $4 million in rewards in a new hacking event focused on securing cloud and AI, culminating in an in-person event next year. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft is bringing SQL Server natively to Fabric with Microsoft Fabric Databases. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft announced that the Windows App is coming to Android. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic has almost a thousand employees, and its risk policy is meant to make sure they understand that taking these risks seriously is one of the company's highest priorities, if not the highest. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
“In 2025, we directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations. This represents an increase of 8% in funds directed compared to 2024.”
GiveWell 31 August 2026 GiveWell's 2025 Metrics and Impact (The GiveWell Blog)
In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
What would count as true or false
Two parts: about $427M directed in 2025, and an 8% increase over 2024. True: GiveWell's metrics report shows funds directed in 2025 within roughly ±2% of $427M, and growth over 2024 of about 7–9%. Mostly true: one figure is slightly off (for example the growth rounds to 6% or 10%, or the total is within ±5%). Mixed: one part holds and the other is materially wrong. Mostly false: both figures are materially off but there was an increase. False: funds directed were far from $427M and did not increase. Note that 'directed' follows GiveWell's own definition, so the reported figures themselves must be checked against the claim, not only GiveWell's summary of them.
Evidence
- Metrics Report 2025 - files.givewell.org GiveWell Own record
“We also directed more funding to cost-effective organizations and programs: $427 million in 2025 compared to $397 million in 2024.”
- Metrics Report 2025 - files.givewell.org GiveWell Own record
“This funds directed total includes both GiveWell grantmaking and donations made to our Top Charities on the basis of our recommendation.”
- Metrics 2024 - files.givewell.org GiveWell Own record
“We also directed substantially more funding to cost-effective organizations and programs: around $397 million in 2024 compared to around $197 million in 2023.”
Reasoning
GiveWell's 2025 metrics report gives funds directed of $427,260,130 in 2025 against $396,969,264 in 2024 [E1]. That is growth of about 7.6%, which rounds to the claimed 8% and falls within the 7–9% band. The separately published 2024 report confirms the roughly $397 million base [E3], and the stated definition of funds directed matches the claim's usage [E2]. The resolution criteria name GiveWell's metrics report as the reference source, and both reported figures fit the claim.
Cite this claim
GiveWell, “In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024.” (said 31 August 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_91c06b2e7254, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_91c06b2e7254
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.