18 claims
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved false | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 20 May 2026 | Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Warren Buffett | Promise | 5 May 2024 | Poor Charlie's Almanack will be the only book at the Berkshire meeting bookstore next year. Warren Buffett · Promise · 5 May 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 24 Jan 2024 | Musk said he thinks Tesla has a good chance of shipping some number of Optimus units in 2025, and he called Optimus a brand-new product. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 24 Jan 2024 | Musk said Tesla's current schedule is to start production toward the end of 2025, sometime in the second half, while noting that he is often optimistic regarding time. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Guidance | 27 Jan 2022 | Tesla expects growth in 2022 over 2021 comfortably above 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Guidance | 27 Jan 2022 | If able to respond to demand, Tesla's energy business might grow by about 200% to 300% in 2022 rather than about 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 3 Mar 2021 | SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am. Elon Musk · Promise · 3 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2021 | Tesla Semi will likely be the first vehicle to achieve full autonomy. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Guidance | 27 Jan 2021 | Tesla targets 100 gigawatt-hours of Tesla-produced cells in 2022. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Prediction | Feb 2018 | Ørsted expects gross investments in 2018 of DKK 16-18 billion, covering offshore wind projects, the Asnæs Power Station biomass conversion and smart meter installation. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Prediction | Feb 2018 | Ørsted expects 2018 EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements of DKK 12-13 billion, compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 16 Jun 2017 | SpaceX plans to send a Dragon 2 propulsive lander to Mars in about two years, and probably another Dragon mission in 2020. Elon Musk · Promise · 16 Jun 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Promise | 2017 | DONG Energy will stop using coal altogether at its power plants from 2023. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Prediction | 2017 | DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017. Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla plans to create an integrated solar-roof-with-battery product and scale it throughout the world. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | Apr 2007 | GMO's 7-year forecast implies U.S. equities would return minus 1.4% real per year as P/Es and profit margins revert to long-term averages. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 | Their own work or organisation |
“And that will be the only book next year.”
Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman 5 May 2024 Transcript: Berkshire's 2024 annual shareholder meeting (Steady Compounding)
Poor Charlie's Almanack will be the only book at the Berkshire meeting bookstore next year.
Resolved false The record shows it did not happen or was not so.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True: evidence from the 2025 annual meeting (held May 2025) shows that Poor Charlie's Almanack was the only book sold at the meeting's bookstore. Mostly true: it was the only book title, with trivial exceptions such as different editions or formats of the same book. Mostly false: Poor Charlie's Almanack was sold or featured, but one or more other book titles were also sold. False: other books were sold and Poor Charlie's Almanack was not the sole or featured book, or no such bookstore arrangement existed.
Evidence
- annual letters Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Own record
“Again, we will have only one book for sale. Last year we featured Poor Charlie’s Almanack and sold out – 5,000 copies disappeared before the close of business on Saturday.”
- annual letters Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Own record
“This year we will offer 60 Years of Berkshire Hathaway.”
- 2025Annual Meeting berkshireletters.com (transcript of the 2025 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting) · 3 May 2025 Own record
“Yesterday we sold about 4,400 books. We printed 8,000 – we intended to print 5,000 – so we have roughly 3,600 left for today.”
Reasoning
Berkshire's shareholder letter released before the 2025 meeting says the meeting would again offer only one book (E1). It names that book as "60 Years of Berkshire Hathaway" and refers to Poor Charlie's Almanack only as last year's book (E1, E2). The 2025 meeting transcript confirms books were sold that weekend but does not name a different title (E3). Berkshire's own pre-meeting letter says a different book, 60 Years of Berkshire Hathaway, would be the only book offered at the 2025 meeting instead of Poor Charlie's Almanack [E1][E2], so the claim resolves false on that record; the meeting transcript does not name the title actually sold [E3]. This rests only on Berkshire's own official records, not on an independent source.
Cite this claim
Warren Buffett, “Poor Charlie's Almanack will be the only book at the Berkshire meeting bookstore next year.” (said 5 May 2024). Verdict: resolved false. Reliability API, claim c_8e83bbc93cce, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8e83bbc93cce
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.