Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

6,750 claims · page 57 of 68

6,750 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 The limitations the questioner pointed out concern not just backprop but all learning algorithms that use gradient-based optimization. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Mostly true Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 The first commercially viable check reading system, deployed by AT&T/NCR in 1996, used a ConvNet rather than an SVM. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Mostly false Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 Convolutional nets were always the record holder on MNIST, and SVMs never really managed to beat them there. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Researchers will eventually figure out how to merge ConvNets and DeconvNets into a feed-forward plus feed-back system trainable supervised or unsupervised. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Mostly true Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 No one uses generalization bounds to do model selection; practitioners use cross-validation. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Now or in the near future, most of the world's knowledge will be extracted by machines and reside in machines. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 As more data becomes available, machine learning methods will increasingly rely on learning. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Mostly true Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 Speech is a domain with access to ridiculously large amounts of data and a very large number of categories. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Natural language processing is the next frontier for deep learning. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Yann LeCun Factual 15 May 2014 Facebook AI Research uses Torch7 for many projects, as do Deep Mind and several groups at Google. Yann LeCun · Factual · 15 May 2014 Technology
Mostly true Bill Ackman Prediction 5 May 2014 Banks are not likely to step back in and provide meaningful mortgage investment. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 5 May 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 5 May 2014 Ackman said he and his firm did not think any investor of consequence in the world would invest in the new version of Fannie and Freddie, likely referring to the Crapo-Johnson bill. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 5 May 2014 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 5 May 2014 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's fixed-income arbitrage activity is a highly-levered, hedge-fund-like business. Bill Ackman · Factual · 5 May 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly false Bill Ackman Factual 5 May 2014 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are more important today in the mortgage market than they have ever been. Bill Ackman · Factual · 5 May 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 3 Apr 2014 NASA called SpaceX to tell it that it had won a $1.5 billion contract. Elon Musk · Factual · 3 Apr 2014 Economics and markets
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 3 Apr 2014 At that point, when a fourth failure would have ended things, the company had virtually no money. Elon Musk · Factual · 3 Apr 2014 Economics and markets
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tony Bates joined Microsoft through the Skype acquisition, where he was Skype CEO, and later led Microsoft's Business Development and Evangelism team. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn will be a member of and advisor to the SLT and continue to report to Satya Nadella. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Chris Capossela will be promoted to EVP, join the SLT, and remain acting lead of the Consumer Channels Group until his replacement is named. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn's work produced Microsoft's 'Honestly' campaign and Super Bowl ad, both widely cited across the industry as examples of high impact advertising. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tami Reller agrees with having a single marketing leader and will support Chris through his transition into his new role. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn will take a new role at Microsoft as EVP, Chief Strategy Officer. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Chris Capossela has served in senior leadership roles across Microsoft's marketing function for many years. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Over the eight months before March 2014, Tami Reller led Microsoft's Marketing Group, combining many distinct teams. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tami Reller has held multiple CFO roles at Microsoft, for Microsoft Dynamics, the Product and Services Division and Windows. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 In the month before 3 March 2014, Satya Nadella talked with many Microsoft employees in person, on Yammer and in groups in Redmond, Boston and Northern California. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Satya Nadella has met with customers and investors in recent weeks. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Eric Rudder will serve as interim leader of Microsoft's Business Development and Evangelism while continuing in his current role. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects FFO to adjusted net debt of around 25% in 2014, assuming the equity injection is completed. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual Feb 2014 Had the DKK 13 billion equity injection been completed in 2013, DONG Energy's rating ratio criteria would have been met for 2013. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual Feb 2014 The DONG Energy Group generated DKK 73 billion (EUR 9.8 billion) in revenue in 2013. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual Feb 2014 DONG Energy's net investments were DKK 5.9 billion in 2013, compared with DKK 13.4 billion in 2012. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Promise Feb 2014 DONG Energy's objective is for FFO to be around 30% of adjusted net debt from 2015 onwards. Ørsted · Promise · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ørsted Factual Feb 2014 With divestments exceeding DKK 15 billion and a DKK 13 billion capital injection in early 2014, DONG Energy's financial platform has been significantly strengthened. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Jonathan Silver, former head of the DOE loan program, expects the program to make money rather than be a subsidy. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 There is $51 billion remaining in DOE loan money. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 The U.S. Department of Energy Loan Guarantee Program has created 55,000 new cleantech jobs. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 A substantial portion of DOE loans is allocated to nuclear energy. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 KiOR and Stion refused federal loan awards at Khosla Ventures' recommendation. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 To the best of Khosla's knowledge, more than 90% of funding for the Khosla Ventures cleantech portfolio has come from private sources. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Vinod Khosla has not invested over a billion dollars of his own money into cleantech. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Oil prospecting has a failure rate greater than 55 percent. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Technology
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Khosla Ventures strongly opposed Range Fuels' decision to take federal loan money. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Khosla Ventures invests in companies with high failure probabilities, but its wins far outweigh its losses. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Vinod Khosla has publicly stated he is against corn ethanol and wind subsidies and in favor of reducing solar and biofuel subsidies over time. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 AI policy and governance
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Khosla Ventures expects 50 percent of its portfolio companies to make money, and its cleantech portfolio is currently profitable. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Weeks before the 60 Minutes program aired, View secured an additional $100 million in private funding to ramp production at its Mississippi manufacturing facility. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Khosla Ventures' returns are significantly above the venture capital average. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 The U.S. spent $502 billion subsidizing fossil fuels in 2011. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 The U.S. DOE loan program has a 97% success rate. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Jan 2014 Cleantech subsidies are a minuscule fraction of one percent of the fossil-fuel subsidy amounts referred to. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 Economics and markets
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 2014 Most YC partners independently told Sam Altman that application quality was much higher for this batch. Sam Altman · Factual · 2014 Economics and markets
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 2014 In 2014, Altman said the batch he was describing drew nearly 20% more applications than a year earlier, and that average application quality was strikingly higher than for any previous batch. Sam Altman · Factual · 2014 Economics and markets
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 2014 Y Combinator has capacity constraints while scaling, which forces it to reject potentially good companies. Sam Altman · Factual · 2014 Economics and markets
Mostly true Sam Altman Factual 2014 Sam Altman experienced plenty of rejection from investors while running his own startup. Sam Altman · Factual · 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Khosla Ventures considers long tenure at a big company such as Hewlett-Packard or Cisco a negative when hiring. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Google made the economics of information free, and Intel made IBM's mainframes much cheaper. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Economics and markets
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Vinod Khosla has never calculated IRR when making an investment. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Square is possibly the most popular payment system, and when Khosla Ventures backed it everybody told Khosla it would take 10-15 years. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable GiveWell Promise 12 Mar 2013 If GiveWell reaches its reserves limit, it would grant out unrestricted funds and count those grants in its money moved. GiveWell · Promise · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 Human intelligence is not particularly dependent on geography. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Science and research methods
Own records only GiveWell Factual 12 Mar 2013 GiveWell currently collects donation information at the individual level and can follow how donors change their giving over time. GiveWell · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 12 Mar 2013 The GiveWell figure in the comparison chart includes only giving processed through its website, not all money moved, to match the online-giving data available for the others. GiveWell · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Prediction 12 Mar 2013 Pinker suspects that the strange problem of consciousness, such as whether an upload of a brain would feel anything, will never be answered, since these puzzles may be artifacts of human intuition. Steven Pinker · Prediction · 12 Mar 2013 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 There is no good evidence that violent video games cause real-life violence. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 12 Mar 2013 GiveWell's website traffic continued to grow in 2012. GiveWell · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 Pinker said his claim was not about hunter-gatherer societies specifically, but about traditional societies living in a state of anarchy, not under the control of a centralized state. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Science and research methods
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 12 Mar 2013 GiveWell's money moved grew robustly in 2012 for every donor size category. GiveWell · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 Pinker said that, as far as he could tell, the conclusion that non-state societies had higher per-capita violence than 20th-century state societies was not controversial among anthropologists who examine quantitative data. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Science and research methods
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 Whatever gender differences exist in abilities are statistical and small and say nothing about any individual. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 The conclusion about high violence in non-state societies is highly controversial among non-quantitative anthropologists, with objections often political and moral rather than empirical. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 There appear to be some small sex differences in the tails of the distributions of spatial and abstract mathematical ability. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Science and research methods
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2013 Rates of violence respond to certain features of the environment, such as the incentives of an effective police and criminal justice system and the surrounding norms of legitimate retaliation, but not to video games. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 12 Mar 2013 As in prior years, search traffic (organic and AdWords) provided the majority of traffic to GiveWell's website. GiveWell · Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 In 2008 there were 100M CUDA-capable GPUs, 150K CUDA downloads, 1 GPU supercomputer, 60 university courses and 4,000 academic papers. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Technology
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 Shazam, which uses GPUs for audio search, handled about 300M user queries per month by 2013. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The NVIDIA GRID VCA MAX model costs $39,900 plus a $4,800/yr software license covering unlimited devices. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The NVIDIA GRID appliance provides a remote GPU-accelerated workspace for up to 16 concurrent users. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The NVIDIA GRID VCA BASE model costs $24,900 plus a $2,400/yr software license covering unlimited devices. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The NVIDIA GRID VCA is the world's first visual computing appliance. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 Piz Daint is Europe's fastest GPU-based supercomputer. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 By 2013 there were 430M CUDA-capable GPUs, 1.6M CUDA downloads, 50 GPU supercomputers, 640 university courses and 37,000 academic papers. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2013 The GRID VCA BASE has 8 Kepler GPUs (4GB each), 16 CPU threads and 192 GB memory; the MAX has 16 GPUs, 32 threads and 384 GB. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 30 Jan 2013 Nick Bostrom does meta-strategy work as well as object-level work on anthropic probabilities and the parliamentary model for normative uncertainty. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Jan 2013 Field building and careers
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 30 Jan 2013 Nick Bostrom hosts researchers such as Anders Sandberg, who write papers about uploading timelines relevant to policy decisions. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Jan 2013 Field building and careers
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 30 Jan 2013 Paul Christiano is working on actual Friendly AI problems while also looking for other promising interventions. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Jan 2013 Field building and careers
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Nassim Taleb spent most of his adult life as an option trader. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Nassim Taleb calls the mistake of applying artificial-lottery logic to real-world randomness the "ludic fallacy". Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Lotteries are artificial, human-constructed randomness with a known upper bound on payoffs. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Top-down centralized decisions tend to fail. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Nassim Taleb says he gave the name "antifragile", for lack of a better one, to the class of phenomena that gain from disorder through a convexity bias. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Strategic planning has never borne fruit in empirical reality. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Theory is born from practice more often than practice from theory, with technology more often preceding science. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Science and research methods
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 At least five millennia passed between the invention of the wheel and the innovation of putting wheels under suitcases. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Technology
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 In research, about 1 in 1000 trials can account for 50% of total contributions, similar to company capitalization where 1 in 1000 companies often make up 50%. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Science and research methods
Mostly false Nassim Taleb Factual 12 Dec 2012 Evidence from the performance of banks shows that in the real world betting against long shots does not pay. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 China will go from 50% capital spending to 30%, if lucky, smoothly over 20 years. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Decent senators won tight races against climate-denier opponents in seven of eight races Grantham's side concentrated on in 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
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Vinod Khosla

Open its page

Factual Economics and markets

“I clearly explained that we expect 50-percent of our portfolio companies to make money and today, our cleantech portfolio is profitable”

Vinod Khosla, Khosla Ventures, in open letter to CBS 14 January 2014 Vinod Khosla hits back at 60 Minutes for cleantech errors (Fortune)

Khosla Ventures expects 50 percent of its portfolio companies to make money, and its cleantech portfolio is currently profitable.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Portfolio profitability and internal expectations are private fund data.

Cite this claim

Vinod Khosla, “Khosla Ventures expects 50 percent of its portfolio companies to make money, and its cleantech portfolio is currently profitable.” (said 14 January 2014). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_80934f2f0305, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_80934f2f0305

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.