| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Within a few years, AI models will exceed the highest professional human level in skill.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Extrapolating the next few points on the capability curve, AI is very quickly approaching human-level ability.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei guessed that by about November 2025, AI models would be able to perform computer-use tasks very, very reliably.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Dario Amodei said he would not be surprised at all if Anthropic's models hit ASL-3 in 2025.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy does not specify ASL-4 requirements until ASL-3 has been reached.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
In the early stages of AI-assisted science, AI systems will act like grad students working on projects given by human scientists.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
In the near term, and maybe even in the medium term of 2, 3 or 4 years, Amodei expects humans to keep a huge role and programming as a job not to change, although the nature of programming will change, with less line-by-line writing and more macroscopic work.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic today makes a model and then deploys thousands, maybe tens of thousands, of instances of it.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
As of late 2024, pre-training accounts for the majority of the cost of building AI models.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
AI disruption of programming will happen fast.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Resolved false |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei guessed that within about 10 months AI models would probably get pretty close on typical real-world programming tasks, reaching at least 90%.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei observed in his early AI work that models performed better with more data, larger size and longer training.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei said that probably by 2027 there will be ambitions to build hundred-billion-dollar compute clusters, and that he thinks this will actually happen.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
On some computer-use benchmarks, previous models succeeded about 6% of the time and Anthropic's new model succeeds 14 or 22% of the time.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Powerful AI's transformative deployment in the world will take more likely five or 10 years than 50 or 100 years.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
For much longer than expected, the small parts of jobs humans still do will expand to fill their whole jobs as AI automates the rest.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic's updated Claude Sonnet 3.5 scores about 50% on SWE-bench.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Dario Amodei said that as a CEO he does not get to program much, and that he felt that if he went back to it six months later, it would be completely unrecognizable to him.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Over the next year or two, even without better models, there would be enormous opportunity to boost productivity by catching mistakes and doing grunt work with current AI models.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic wants to evaluate every new model to see whether it is getting close to dangerous (CBRN) capabilities, and does not think current models yet pose these risks seriously.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Biosecurity |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Scaling up models will enable AI to perform very wide-ranging cognitive tasks.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Eyeballing the rate at which AI capabilities are increasing makes Amodei think "we'll get there" by 2026 or 2027, though he says there are still worlds where it does not happen in 100 years.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei first joined the AI field in late 2014, working at Baidu with Andrew Ng.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Within two to three years, whether or not super powerful AI exists, compute clusters will be large enough to deploy millions of AI model instances.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
AI will disrupt agriculture, though more slowly than skills closer to AI builders.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Running out of training data could become a limit on AI scaling, though Amodei would bet against it.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Dario Amodei said he would suspect that if AI models reach 90-95% on the software-engineering benchmark, that will represent the ability to autonomously do a significant fraction of software engineering tasks.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic has almost a thousand employees, and its risk policy is meant to make sure they understand that taking these risks seriously is one of the company's highest priorities, if not the highest.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
There are probably about 100 people working on the research area being discussed, but not around 10,000.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
For the most part, with some narrow exceptions, deployed models are not changing after release.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei said he would bet on AI scaling laws continuing to hold, though he is not certain of that.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic has never changed the weights of a deployed model without telling anyone.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Within two to three years, compute clusters will be large enough to deploy millions of instances of AI models.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Promise |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic will release models more powerful than the models that exist today.
Dario Amodei · Promise · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
AI scaling will probably continue to produce gains.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Within two to three years, the millions of deployable AI model instances will run faster than humans.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
In 2017, seeing GPT-1 results convinced Amodei that language was probably the area where scaling could work.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
DeepMind's AlphaGo Zero required no example data from humans.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
9 Nov 2024 |
The US's focus on LLMs for AI may prove to be a massive mistake.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 9 Nov 2024 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
9 Nov 2024 |
LLMs will become a commodity and price wars will keep revenue low.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 9 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
9 Nov 2024 |
LLMs will not disappear, but their economics will likely never make sense because training costs rise with scaling.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 9 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
9 Nov 2024 |
Given chip costs, profits from LLMs will be elusive.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 9 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
9 Nov 2024 |
The AI financial bubble may burst quickly once people realize the situation, and Nvidia's valuation may take a hit.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 9 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
9 Nov 2024 |
Melanie Mitchell, Subbarao Kambhampati, Emily Bender, Ernie Davis and others have long emphasized that LLMs have principled limits.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
9 Nov 2024 |
Gary Marcus has for years warned that AI scaling by adding data and compute without architectural changes would not continue forever.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
In Silver Bulletin's final model, Harris won all swing states except Arizona in about 4 percent of simulations.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
7 Nov 2024 |
Noting that many mail votes were still to be counted, Silver guessed that most of the shift toward Democrats in Washington, Oregon and Colorado would hold up.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Mixed |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
Utah has gradually become more politically purple, due to a tech-sector workforce and Mormons not always being keen on Trump.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
7 Nov 2024 |
The model's other 48 of 50 state calls will be right, assuming Trump's leads in Arizona and Nevada hold, which Silver said they almost certainly will.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
7 Nov 2024 |
Utah could become a swing state by 2040.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Promise |
7 Nov 2024 |
Silver Bulletin will publish about 9-12 posts a month after the election wind-down.
Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Nate Silver | Promise |
7 Nov 2024 |
Silver said he would probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings, with a goal of launching by the end of 2024, if not sooner.
Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Promise |
7 Nov 2024 |
Silver Bulletin will make all its posts free during the post-election wind-down period, except a bonus subscriber questions post.
Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
7 Nov 2024 |
Voters leaving deep blue states while Republicans gain surplus voters in Florida and Texas will greatly reduce and perhaps reverse the Electoral College bias favoring Republicans.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Own records only |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
Nate Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
Conservatives leaving blue states tend to move to Florida and Texas, making those states redder, and many polls did not catch up.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Promise |
7 Nov 2024 |
Silver said the plan was for Silver Bulletin to have one paid post and one free post a week, in addition to SBSQ subscriber-questions posts.
Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
In simulations producing the actual map, projected state margins missed actual results by an average of 2.3 points, given results reported so far.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
Nate Silver said Iowa stood apart as its own group because of the Selzer poll, which he said was not highly accurate.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
7 Nov 2024 |
In Silver Bulletin's final model, a Trump sweep of the seven swing states was the most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations.
Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Jeff Bezos | Factual |
28 Oct 2024 |
No quid pro quo of any kind was involved in the Washington Post's decision not to endorse a presidential candidate in 2024.
Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Factual |
28 Oct 2024 |
Jeff Bezos says the Washington Post's late decision to stop endorsing presidential candidates resulted from inadequate planning, not an intentional strategy.
Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Factual |
28 Oct 2024 |
There was no connection between the Trump meeting with Blue Origin executives and the Washington Post's decision not to endorse.
Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Factual |
28 Oct 2024 |
Jeff Bezos did not know beforehand about the Trump meeting with Blue Origin executives held on the day the Post announced its non-endorsement.
Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Jeff Bezos | Factual |
28 Oct 2024 |
Neither presidential campaign nor candidate was consulted or informed about the Washington Post's non-endorsement decision, which was made entirely internally.
Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
21 Oct 2024 |
Around 15 years ago, when DeepMind was founded, almost nobody was working on artificial general intelligence/AI of this kind.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · 21 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
John McCain had periods of strong polling in 2008, especially after the Republican Convention, but Barack Obama won in a landslide.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
Silver said that, if anything, there was too little panic among Democrats about 2016, and that they were dismissive of polls showing a tightening race late in the campaign and a tenuous Hillary Clinton lead in the Electoral College.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
9 Oct 2024 |
Donald Trump's chance of winning the 2024 presidential election in the Electoral College is about even.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
As of early October 2024, the US presidential election is about four weeks away.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
The previous Quinnipiac polls of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania were quite a bit better for Harris than the latest ones.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
Dozens of election polls are released every week.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
9 Oct 2024 |
Since Nate Silver began covering elections in 2008, Democrats have been prone to bouts of panic about the state of the horse race.
Nate Silver · Factual · 9 Oct 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
Silver wrote that Harris's win probability rises from 28 percent to 59 percent if her popular vote lead goes from 2 points (rounded down) to 3 points.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
There are probably about 100 times as many PhDs today as there were in, say, 1924.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Field building and careers |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
The average millennial is having a tougher time economically than their boomer parents did at the same point in life.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
8 Oct 2024 |
Nate Silver said that if he had to bet, he would guess the Silver Bulletin forecast probabilities for the 2024 presidential election would stay somewhere in the 50/50 to 60/40 range through Election Day.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Oct 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
8 Oct 2024 |
Harris will win the 2024 Electoral College about 11 times out of 20 and Trump about 9 times out of 20.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Oct 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
Since the Silver Bulletin forecast relaunch on July 30, 2024, Harris has won 49.4 percent of simulations on average and Trump 50.2 percent.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
The Silver Bulletin win probabilities have moved even though the popular vote forecast has barely moved, because the translation from popular vote to Electoral College follows the baseball game principle.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
The Silver Bulletin popular vote forecast has barely moved, other than when RFK Jr. quit the race and both candidates gained ground.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
After the debate, Harris re-established a consistent lead of about 3 points in national polls, leaving the Electoral College roughly 50/50 or maybe a slight Harris edge.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Nate Silver | Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
In baseball, single-run leads are relatively durable because runs tend to come in bunches and the default outcome is not to score at all.
Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Ray Kurzweil | Factual |
Oct 2024 |
Neuralink has been implanted in two paralyzed patients who can control a computer with their brain.
Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Oct 2024 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Oct 2024 |
By 2045 humans will expand their own intelligence a millionfold.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Oct 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mixed |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
In the early days of robots for hospitals, hotels and managed care facilities, Wi-Fi first had to be installed in buildings so the robots could know what to do next.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly false |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Standard-sized bolts are two to three orders of magnitude cheaper than custom-sized bolts because of their enormous supply chain.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Robust AI uses data collected from its deployed robots to feed learning algorithms.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The term "machine learning" first appeared in 1959 in a paper on checkers by Arthur Samuel.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The web has provided massive amounts of text for machine learning, which has given rise to LLMs.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Own records only |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
iRobot obtained supply chain economies of scale at millions of units that it did not have at tens of thousands.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The Roomba did not require customers to install any infrastructure before use; it needed only a standard electrical outlet for its charger.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Images and movies from the web, and others collected for the purpose, have required human labeling for machine learning.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Rodney Brooks | Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
iRobot reached sales or production of millions of robots per year.
Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Sep 2024 |
During the rewrite, the share of Facebook's traffic that was monetizable shrank as web declined and mobile grew.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Sep 2024 |
Zuckerberg said he did not know, but that something about the way his company shifted its operations around COVID, when tech companies temporarily went remote, might have played a part.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time |
Mark Zuckerberg | Promise |
18 Sep 2024 |
Meta is close to showing off its first prototype of the full AR glasses.
Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
18 Sep 2024 |
Zuckerberg said he told Alex Himel, who he described as running the product group, that he thought they should probably pivot the product to make Meta AI its primary feature.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
18 Sep 2024 |
It will take Meta about another 10 years to fully work through the cycle before its brand recovers to where it might have been.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
18 Sep 2024 |
Glasses, holographic presence and AR will become a completely ubiquitous product.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 |
Technology |