| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
Charlie and I are extraordinarily lucky.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
I knew then that Jack was going to be my kind of manager.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
This viewpoint is too mechanomorphic to be considered as an explanation of priming in humans.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
But I don’t think I could do the management job
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
This is a major expense in programmer effort, but I would argue that it is a necessary expense for the creation of rich concepts with…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
My chosen entry point into deliberation is words
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Knowledge goals (discussed in later sections) are not arbitrary; they derive from real-world goals or higher-level knowledge goals.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
The cumulative pre-tax loss from the derivative operation described in the quote totals $409 million, of which only $5 million occurred in 2006.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
America’s founders enjoyed a freedom of action far surpassing that of America’s subsequent politicians.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
In postulating multiple levels of organization, I am not positing that the behaviors of all higher layers emerge automatically from the…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
Yudkowsky stated that, within the account of visualization as a multistage flow from high-level to low-level feature controllers, the final mental imagery is introspectively visible but the process that creates it is mostly opaque.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Where concepts are building blocks, thoughts are immediate.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
there is no guarantee that the political itself will survive.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
This cannot be done by painting each individual pixel the same shade of red
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not yet due |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
2007 |
Americans will live better ten or twenty years after 2007 than they do today, despite the unwise course of U.S. borrowing.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
I try to keep it both simple and fair.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The concept for “red,” described earlier, is actually a fuzzy percept for degrees of redness.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction |
2007 |
Yudkowsky conjectured that matching imagery against large concept sets will be one of the most computationally intensive subprocesses in AI, perhaps the most expensive subprocess.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The model of deliberation presented in this chapter requires five distinct layers of organization, each layer built on top of the…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Code, when abused, is an excellent tool for creating long-term problems in the guise of short-term solutions.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
Charlie and I believe our four criteria are essential if directors are to do their job
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The non-Western world had not yet seen the Peace of Westphalia.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The presence of an immediate, local test of utility means that observed failures and successes can contribute unambiguously to forming a…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Concepts and thoughts should not break as the result of small changes.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
If the AI takes a relatively fixed amount of time to mentally process each object, then single-feature clustering on the subjectively…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Evolution conserves computing power by complicating the algorithm.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The sensory appearance of a microtask would vary depending on the modality.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
Humans can introspectively perceive only the highest levels of organization of the mind.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
direct imitation of human modalities would not be appropriate.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
Appropriate prices don’t guarantee profits in any given year, but inappropriate prices most certainly guarantee eventual losses.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
Schmitt would not counsel reasoned half-measures.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
how do we know that the property was acquired justly in the first place?
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
These are first steps toward AI, but not the only first steps, and certainly not the last steps.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
Sandberg's communication-delay quantity S is much greater than 1 for clustered computing systems.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
CORT's earnings improved significantly in 2006, and XTRA's earnings stayed at the high level reached in 2005.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
we have long had jobs that we love, in
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The incredibly drastic solutions favored by Schmitt in his dark musings have become impossible after 1945, in a world of nuclear weapons…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
If there is something prophetic about Girard's announcement of the founding murder, then Strauss might note that his situation also…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Introspective concepts can describe beliefs and thoughts and even deliberation
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
one must choose one’s enemies well, for one will soon be just like them.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
Yudkowsky estimated that the whole process of forming the mental image in his example took less than one second.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
Buffett personally manages Berkshire's 62 outstanding derivative contracts, which are free of counterparty credit risk.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
If I had to pick one single mistake that has been the most debilitating in AI, it would be implementing a process too close to the token…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Mixed |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
2007 |
In Girard's view, the Judeo-Western revelation may be slow because humans do not wish to hear its message, but it is not reversible.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
Lou Simpson has an outstanding long-term record managing GEICO's equity portfolio.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction |
2007 |
Cautiously considering what a more foresightful and less accretive design for intelligence might look like, Yudkowsky suggested that in an AI the center of gravity of intelligence, the process humans observe through their internal narrative, would probably become the central supersystem of the mind, to an even greater degree than in humans.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
Ex ante, wealth transfers made a certain amount of sense in the late 1940s.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
Walter and Edwin never came within a mile of inside information.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
I am not sure whether analogous tests have been performed for the lateral geniculate nucleus, but the feedback connections are there.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
Sometimes these delusions are self-serving.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Citation |
2007 |
Maloney (1986) found that natural surfaces have spectral reflectance distributions varying along roughly five to seven dimensions.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007 |
Science and research methods |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The fundamental challenge is not focusing on the numerical facet but rather perceiving a “numerical facet” in the first place.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
a nation whose conception owed so much to Locke that one exaggerates only slightly to describe him as its definitive founder.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Observing that the human body is composed of molecules, proteins, cells, tissues, and organs is not a complete design for a human body, but…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Concept-concept interactions are more readily accessible to introspection and to experimental techniques, and are relatively well-known in…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
By contrast, on the Western side (if it can even be called a side), there is great confusion over what the fighting is for, and why there…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
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| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
Overnight, the fundamentalist civil rights mania of the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), which spoke in the language of inviolable…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Knowing that the task is large does not enable us to meet the challenge just by making our designs larger or more complicated
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The only concept that is pure information-loss is a concept that lies entirely on the surface of a modality; a concept whose satisfaction…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
GEICO's productivity grew 47% between yearend 2003 and yearend 2006 (policies up 42%, employees down 3.5%).
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The most important reason for decomposability is that concepts with organized internal structures are more mutable.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
AI development is exploratory, parallelized, and large.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Modalities are wired; concepts are learned; thoughts are invented.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
And so, in determining the correct mixture of violence and peace, the Christian statesman or stateswoman would be wise, in every close…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
The author's DGI theory requires sensory modalities with feature controllers that are inverse complements of feature detectors.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Science and research methods |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
Berkshire's annual meeting draws many people from around the globe every year.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
As recent events have illustrated vividly, the real problem with the theory goes much deeper.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
There can be no real accommodation with the Enlightenment, since so many of its easy bromides have become deadly falsehoods in our time.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
If the programmer hardwires a subitizer that outputs numerons (unique number tags) as detected features, the AI may be able to chunk “five”…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The specific example of imposing “triangular” on “light bulb” is a nontrivial feat of mind
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
2007 |
In 2006 Berkshire agreed to enter into a huge retroactive reinsurance contract with Equitas.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
If a CEO bats .300, he gets paid for being a .300 hitter
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
No single criterion is effective in doing these jobs
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
There can be no return to the archaic world or even to the robust conception of the political envisioned by Carl Schmitt.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The saint knew that the opposite had been true of Socrates, who left us no example of weeping, but left us example of laughter.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
We are lucky to have her: She scores very high on our four criteria
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
For the modern world, the death of God was followed by the disappearance of the question of human nature.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
For Strauss as for Nietzsche, the truth of mimesis and of the founding murder is so shocking that most people, in all times and places…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
It may be a valid analytical method but it probably belongs on the deliberation level, not the modality level.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
But the days of lush profits from our newspaper are over.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
The complexity of the thought level of organization arises from the cyclic interaction of thoughts and mental imagery.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
2007 |
For every jihadist killed after September 11, about ten more arose to seek martyrdom.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 |
Other global risks |
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
There are no short cuts in Strauss.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
2007 |
As U.S. trade problems worsen, the dollar is highly likely to weaken over time.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Mental imagery is the active canvas on which deliberative thought is painted—“active canvas” implying a dynamic process and not just a…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
A general intelligence with a visual modality has no need to explicitly store an infinite number of such statements in a theorem-proving…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
The answer is that derivatives, just like stocks and bonds, are sometimes wildly mispriced.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The price of abandoning oneself to such an artificial representation is always too high, because the decisions that are avoided are always…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The fact that these things are hidden does not mean that they do not exist or that they are unknowable.
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Raw code has only a single level of organization, and changing a random instruction on this level usually simply breaks the overall…
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
The three color channels of the human visual system are exactly the number needed to maintain color constancy under natural lighting conditions.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Prediction |
2007 |
The modern age will not be permanent and will ultimately give way to something very different.
Peter Thiel · Prediction · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
The most direct method for comprehending a world in which not all human beings are homo economicus would therefore appear to involve a…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Warren Buffett | Not checkable |
2007 |
We will make many more.
Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Hence, on the whole, sensory modalities are characterized by the smooth flow of information through ascending layers of feature detectors.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Peter Thiel | Not checkable |
2007 |
But we now live in a world where the cat is out of the bag, at least to the extent that we know that the scapegoat really is not as guilty…
Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Mostly true |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
The process of visualizing a triangular light bulb is not really open to human introspection.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
Coding the wrong thing successfully can mess up an AI project worse than any number of programming failures.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not checkable |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Not checkable |
2007 |
These building blocks are learned complexity, rather than innate complexity; they are abstracted from experience.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007 |
|
| Not researched |
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual |
2007 |
Almost all of the internal complexity of concepts is hidden from human introspection.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |