Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

6,750 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 Jensen Huang has never seen a company whose earnings increased without it hiring more people. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 Nvidia's GPU performs quadrillions of calculations per second. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta is training three Llama 3 versions: 8B and 70B parameter models, released that day, and a 405B dense model still in training. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 AI model scaling is likely enough to keep going that investing tens or hundreds of billions of dollars in infrastructure is worth it, on the assumption that it continues. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 A 70B model trained with the Llama-3 architecture can keep improving with more data. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 With unconnected content recommendations, Meta's pool of candidate content expanded from thousands to hundreds of millions. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Technology
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Zuckerberg said he thinks Meta had the extra GPU capacity because it was working on Reels. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta concluded it must solve general intelligence and increased its investment to do so. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Zuckerberg decided Meta should order enough GPUs for Reels and ranking needs, plus double that amount. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta's ratio of inference compute to training compute is probably much higher than most other AI companies. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Feeding the Llama 3 model more tokens would probably have made it somewhat better. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta started Facebook AI Research (FAIR) about 10 years before 2024. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 A runaway AI intelligence scenario is not particularly likely. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year). Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta AI now generates high-quality images fast enough to generate and update them in real time as the user types. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta's whole GPU fleet is the roughly 350,000 GPUs the interviewer cited as planned by end of year. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta believes Meta AI is now the most intelligent, freely available AI assistant people can use. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 Many people will use off-the-shelf open models, while some bad-faith actors will try to strip out safeguards. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta spends a lot of time trying to make sure Llama-2 does not help people commit violent acts or things like that. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 18 Apr 2024 Meta has a roadmap of new Llama releases bringing multimodality, more multilinguality and bigger context windows. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 There are about 200 million creators on Meta's platforms. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta did not prioritize coding when working on Llama 2. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 AI is unlikely to go from somewhat intelligent to extremely intelligent overnight because of physical constraints. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 ChatGPT and image diffusion models will clearly affect how people interact with every app. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 Zuckerberg said he thinks AI will probably surpass people at most skills at some point, depending on how powerful the models are. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 People will not interact with just one singular AI; each business will want its own AI representing its interests. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta has identified about 18 or 19 categories of harmful activity on social media and built AI systems to detect them. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 AI scaling will run into energy constraints before capital investment stops being worth it. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 The Guns of August describes how the crisis erupted quickly and almost no one grasped the full picture. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Other
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Amodei says he has found a workflow that does not use the models for the part where they help little (in the surrounding text, generating initial ideas), and says they can help with expressing and refining ideas. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Dario Amodei occasionally uses Anthropic's internal models to assist with his strategy writing and thinking. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 By 2026 to 2028, the compute needed for AI will reach levels the semiconductor industry struggles to supply. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic's experiment found its large model nearly matched a hired human team in changing people's views with persuasive essays. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 In Amodei's experience, the company's internal models he occasionally uses can in some respects help conceptualize thinking but are not good at generating initial ideas. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 AI's impact may also show up first in the fields under discussion. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Amodei said Anthropic launched its safety-level framework in September and that about three months later OpenAI launched a similar product. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI policy and governance
Not yet due Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 If a pause in AI development of one year were needed in 2027, it would be feasible. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI policy and governance
Not yet due Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 AI Safety Level ASL-3 capabilities may arrive this year or next (2024 or 2025), and ASL-4 between 2025 and 2028. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 The Star Trek series depicts a highly developed universe in which humans live longer and have expanded into space. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Other
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Dario Amodei said that at Anthropic he writes strategic planning documents or does some new thinking, possibly on directions others have not covered. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic introduced its Responsible Scaling Plan at the end of 2023, setting thresholds for AI system capabilities. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 我们和其他一些研究者发现,模型里有时会有某些特定的神经元和统计指标(这些通常不出现在它的外部反应中),这些指标能够指示模型是在撒谎还是在说真话。 Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 Within three to eighteen months, AI models will perform end-to-end tasks for users, which will fundamentally change how people view AI. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Amodei and colleagues found regular scaling patterns and predicted that raising investment from about $10,000 to hundreds of millions of dollars would bring huge change and economic value. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus reaches roughly 99.9% accuracy on 20-digit addition, well beyond what common internet data would give. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic's models are currently at AI Safety Level ASL-2. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 Amodei said he thinks the cost of training AI models may reach $5 billion to $10 billion in 2025 to 2026. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 A ten-year pause in AI development would be very difficult because other countries would keep developing these models, people might break the law, and the economic pressure would be enormous. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 If human-AI collaboration does not arise naturally, it will eventually be achieved. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Prediction 12 Apr 2024 AI systems may fundamentally change industries and professions one after another, in hard-to-predict ways. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Apr 2024 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic has already secured the compute it needs for 2024, and Amodei expects next year's compute to be sufficient too. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 In Amodei's short-term personal experience, he has always found a workflow in which AI tools assist him. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Apr 2024 Worldwide child mortality was cut by more than half between 1990 and 2019. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Apr 2024 Other
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Khosla Ventures holds a CEO Summit for its founders every year in May. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 After moving to America, Khosla got to know Andy Grove fairly well and told him the story of reading about him in magazines. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 While growing up, Vinod Khosla basically never met anyone outside the Indian Army. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 In 2007 Khosla called Andy Grove and asked him to speak to Khosla Ventures' founders. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Andy Grove was an immigrant who founded a cutting-edge technology company in America. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Technology
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Used magazines rented in old Delhi during Khosla's youth came from the U.S. and Europe and were therefore dated. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 During Khosla's youth, nobody he knew had a business or tech background and India had no such role models. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Vinod Khosla calls himself a "venture assistant", which used to annoy his former colleague John Doerr. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 As of 2024, Microsoft, Google, IBM and Adobe have Indian CEOs. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Technology
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 When Andy Grove said he would talk about why electric vehicles are better than biofuels, Khosla told him to go ahead. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Khosla read about Andy Grove at Intel in magazines as a youth in India and was inspired by his story, and has said so publicly before. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Factual 7 Apr 2024 Reuters' report that Tesla scrapped its low-cost car plans is false. Elon Musk · Factual · 7 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Carl Schmitt became somewhat entangled with the Nazis and later distanced himself from them. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 The word 'apocalypse' in Greek means 'unveiling'. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Not yet due Peter Thiel Prediction Apr 2024 AI models will be able to solve all US Math Olympiad problems within three to five years, as people told Thiel. Peter Thiel · Prediction · Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Anti-communism was in some ways Peter Thiel's formative political idea as a teenager in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Debates about religion in Europe were settled by the 1648 Treaty of Westphalia. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 In discussing the katechon, Thiel said the Roman emperor Nero was the proto-Antichrist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Peter Thiel said the political slogan of the Antichrist is "peace and safety," citing, he thought, 1 Thessalonians 5:3. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction Apr 2024 Thiel said his intuition was that AI would seem much worse for math-oriented people than for verbal (word) people. Peter Thiel · Prediction · Apr 2024 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Peter Thiel was extremely influenced by the 1997 book The Sovereign Individual by Rees-Mogg and Davidson. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mixed Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Satan appears in the Bible as seen by humans only at the very end of the world; elsewhere he only talks to God or Christ. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction Apr 2024 Reliable, trustworthy AI is achievable, but may require going back to the drawing board. Gary Marcus · Prediction · Apr 2024 AI safety and alignment
Mixed Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Thiel said he believed society's bias toward testing math ability began during the French Revolution, because verbal ability was believed to run in families. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Five or six years before 2024, Thiel made the argument that if crypto is libertarian, AI is communist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction Apr 2024 If GenAI enthusiasm dwindles and valuations plummet, AI and LLMs will not disappear and will remain tools for statistical approximation. Gary Marcus · Prediction · Apr 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 René Girard often said that Christ was the first political atheist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction Apr 2024 LLMs' place may be smaller, and LLMs on their own may never live up to the 2023 expectations. Gary Marcus · Prediction · Apr 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 It is much harder to exit the United States than it was 20 to 30 years ago. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Factual Apr 2024 Gary Marcus says that in April, when he first saw what he called direct empirical evidence that "this moment had come", he wrote a passage that he says he still stands by. Gary Marcus · Factual · Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 After 9/11 there was not much terrorism, and instead the US got the Patriot Act, extensive tracking of money flows and monitoring of people. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other global risks
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 If OpenAI releases a truly mindblowing GPT-5 in 2024, the generative AI bubble will not burst soon. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 Marcus doubted that a mindblowing GPT model would be released in 2024. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 In early August 2023 Gary Marcus wrote a piece titled 'What if Generative AI turned out to be a Dud', which was picked up by the Financial Times and other outlets. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 Current-sized LLMs are expensive and not reliable enough for many jobs. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 If OpenAI releases a truly mindblowing GPT-5 in 2024, hype around generative AI will increase further. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 LLMs themselves cannot look things up and reason over what they find. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 Marcus said he would be truly astonished if hallucinations in large language models were brought down to human expert levels by the end of 2024. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 If OpenAI releases a truly mindblowing GPT-5 in 2024, generative AI will live for another day, perhaps imploding only later when people realize there is no killer app to justify the increasingly high costs. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 Hallucinations are inherent to how LLMs make predictions. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 If no company releases a true quantum leap addressing reliability, hallucination, data leakage and security by the end of 2024, the generative AI bubble may start to pop by around March 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 Marcus cited a statistic from a Wall Street Journal piece, "$50B in, $3B out", and said it was obviously not sustainable. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Factual 31 Mar 2024 All the big AI players are converging on systems roughly equivalent to GPT-4, all flawed in essentially the same ways. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 GPT-5 is likely to be even more expensive to train and operate than GPT-4. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Prediction 31 Mar 2024 Generative AI will still exist and find some use, but valuations and excitement may dissipate, returning only once genuine advances are made. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 31 Mar 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 30 Mar 2024 The city of Jerusalem is not mentioned even once in the Pentateuch. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Mar 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 30 Mar 2024 Daniel Kahneman was the only psychologist who acknowledged the problem of fat tails. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Mar 2024 Science and research methods
Back to the list

Factual AI capabilities

“We probably could have fed it more tokens and it would have gotten somewhat better.”

Mark Zuckerberg, Meta CEO 18 April 2024 Mark Zuckerberg - Llama 3, Open Sourcing $10b Models, & Caesar Augustus (Dwarkesh Podcast)

Feeding the Llama 3 model more tokens would probably have made it somewhat better.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Counterfactual about what more training tokens would have done.

Cite this claim

Mark Zuckerberg, “Feeding the Llama 3 model more tokens would probably have made it somewhat better.” (said 18 April 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5523afa4c4d7, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5523afa4c4d7

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.