| Own records only |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said that people in video games have told him that the seminal games are now all a bit old and that it is becoming more derivative.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Prediction |
25 Dec 2024 |
Cowen guessed that Emergent Ventures winners working on aging will simply help people live to 100, rather than stopping or reversing aging, and he called that still a great investment.
Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
On the podcast Cowen was describing, which he contrasted with Conversations with Tyler, neither host interviews the other; they go back and forth.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Prediction |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said that, on their current trajectory, he does not see "that" happening for video games; the surroundings do not say what "that" refers to.
Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly false |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
The Israeli TV show Srugim is now massively popular.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Cowen says the person he is discussing has definitely made many more people vegetarians and probably influenced pro-animal legislation, adding that he has never measured this.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Prediction |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said he would bet against academic economists being highly influential in the Trump administration, except perhaps in very indirect, roundabout ways.
Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
The podcast Cowen was describing, which he said had about seven episodes and in which neither host interviews the other, is all economics, unlike Conversations with Tyler.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said he thinks the episode with Peter is typically the most downloaded episode for many people, and that it is his pick.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Hester Peirce previously worked at Mercatus, where she studied crypto, before becoming an SEC commissioner.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mixed |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Use of Washington DC bike lanes has been declining, according to numbers Cowen has seen.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Prediction |
25 Dec 2024 |
Cowen said he does not think individual humans can live forever.
Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said he stated The Great Stagnation in 2011 and that he thinks it was seen as radical at the time.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Prediction |
25 Dec 2024 |
Cowen guessed that there is some natural limit to human lifespan, due to the brain, somewhere between 100 and 120 years.
Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Of the two films discussed, Cowen said Touch of Sin is the one that has become a big deal.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said he now has an electronic payments network set up.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen said that when he wrote that post he was convinced it was going nowhere, but that it is still a thing.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Blitz was the notable World War II film released in 2024.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Some classical music recordings sell at most 300 to 400 copies.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Tyler Cowen | Factual |
25 Dec 2024 |
Tyler Cowen knows at least five talented people who as teenagers wanted to become economists but chose other paths after learning what the profession involves.
Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 |
Field building and careers |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Prediction |
21 Dec 2024 |
On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction.
Sam Altman · Prediction · 21 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Prediction |
21 Dec 2024 |
Altman said he expects the trend of newer models such as o3-mini outperforming older ones such as o1 at a much lower cost to continue, and that the ability to get marginally more performance for exponentially more money will be really strange.
Sam Altman · Prediction · 21 Dec 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Promise |
21 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI is giving all Plus users unlimited Sora access via the relaxed queue over the 2024 holidays.
Sam Altman · Promise · 21 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Factual |
17 Dec 2024 |
On 2024-12-17 OpenAI released o1 in the API with structured outputs and function calling, plus realtime API updates and preference fine-tuning.
Sam Altman · Factual · 17 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
12 Dec 2024 |
On 2024-12-12 OpenAI began rolling out video input, including screenshare, for ChatGPT voice mode.
Sam Altman · Factual · 12 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
10 Dec 2024 |
Scott Alexander tentatively suggested that a realistic version of the scenario might mean roughly a 33% decrease in the crime rate per 600 years.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Scott Alexander cited the superiority of police deterrence over prison as an argument that lets the discussion sidestep the retribution issue.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Canvas became available to all ChatGPT users on 2024-12-10 and can execute code.
Sam Altman · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Scott Alexander limited how much he discussed punishment-as-retribution in his original prison post because it is a culture-war scissor topic.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Solitary confinement for prisoners might be more expensive than standard imprisonment.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Following Roodman, Scott's original cost-benefit analysis of prison gave two conclusions: one counting prisoners' own suffering and one not.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Most of the benefits of prison come from incapacitation rather than deterrence.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Scott Alexander relays that someone with experience in the field told him there are some problems with hiring police, such as requiring everyone who works in law enforcement to start as a beat cop.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
Last month's issue of Asterisk (November 2024) contains an interview with Skarbek, which Scott thinks will be online shortly.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
10 Dec 2024 |
Scott Alexander said, in a conditional aside, that he expects a singularity in the next few decades.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 10 Dec 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI significantly underestimated demand for Sora at its December 2024 launch.
Sam Altman · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
10 Dec 2024 |
In the original post, Scott said that although murder was down in El Salvador, the statistics didn't really show a decline in theft.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
9 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI launched Sora on 2024-12-09 along with a new product, letting Plus and Pro users generate videos.
Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
6 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI announced reinforcement finetuning on 2024-12-06, which makes it easy to create expert models in specific domains with little training data.
Sam Altman · Factual · 6 Dec 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
5 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI launched ChatGPT Pro at $200/month with unlimited usage and a more capable mode for using o1.
Sam Altman · Factual · 5 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time |
Sam Altman | Promise |
4 Dec 2024 |
OpenAI will hold a livestream with a launch or demo each weekday during its '12 days of openai' starting 2024-12-05 at 10am Pacific.
Sam Altman · Promise · 4 Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis's first career was writing AI for commercial computer games.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Little progress was made in CASP protein structure prediction accuracy for a decade before AlphaFold.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
Dec 2024 |
With medium confidence, technical moat will continue to be elusive in 2025, with convergence on broadly similar models across the US and China and some European systems catching up to roughly the same place.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · Dec 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Levinthal's Paradox estimates about 10^300 possible conformations for a typical protein.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mixed |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis's team has practised open science and open access with all of its scientific work.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis was fascinated as a young chess player by the programming of chess computers used at training camps.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Prediction |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis said he thinks AlphaFold's impact on drug design and understanding of biological processes is probably only at its beginning.
Demis Hassabis · Prediction · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis ended up wanting to program his own AI systems after encountering chess computers.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
Dec 2024 |
Few companies and even fewer consumers will adopt OpenAI's o3 at wide scale in 2025 because of price and robustness concerns.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · Dec 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold was open sourced and made freely available for the world to use.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Proteins are the building blocks of life.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Over two million researchers have used AlphaFold and its predicted structures.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Theme Park had AI at the heart of its gameplay.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
In nature proteins fold spontaneously within milliseconds.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
In 2016 AlphaGo beat Lee Sedol 4-1 in a match in Seoul.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Hassabis first came across the protein folding problem as an undergraduate at Cambridge in the 1990s.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold2 was re-architected for CASP14 to reach atomic accuracy, leading the CASP organisers to declare the problem solved.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
Demis Hassabis learned to play chess at age four.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Demis Hassabis | Prediction |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold could usher in a new era of 'digital biology'.
Demis Hassabis · Prediction · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Demis Hassabis | Factual |
Dec 2024 |
AlphaFold2 achieved atomic accuracy at CASP14 in 2020.
Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Nissan partnered with Microsoft to create a model predicting EV battery performance over time, improving it by about 80%.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft and Atom Computing will make available a commercial quantum discovery suite combining Azure science solutions and Atom's quantum hardware for companies and labs.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Delivered on time |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft will offer $4 million in rewards in a new hacking event focused on securing cloud and AI, culminating in an in-person event next year.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
A customer using Copilot to draft incident reports now completes analysis in a day that previously took weeks.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
With point-in-time restore, Windows 365 customers can be up and running in minutes and roll back a Cloud PC to its exact earlier state.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Satya Nadella | Prediction |
19 Nov 2024 |
Satya Nadella said he thinks Microsoft Research's AI-driven protein simulation system is a breakthrough that will help biomedical research and advances in drug discovery, protein design and enzyme engineering.
Satya Nadella · Prediction · 19 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Azure Quantum provides virtualization technology that can extend any type of qubit, detect and correct errors in physical qubits.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Own records only |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Copilot responses are more than two times faster on average and response satisfaction has improved nearly threefold.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Satya Nadella | Prediction |
19 Nov 2024 |
Adding 100 reliable logical qubits could achieve scientific quantum advantage.
Satya Nadella · Prediction · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
McKinsey has built an autonomous agent that reduces client onboarding time by as much as 90%.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Windows 365 Link is admin-less and password-less, with security configurations enabled by default that cannot be turned off.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft is bringing SQL Server natively to Fabric with Microsoft Fabric Databases.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft will ship the announced GitHub Copilot agent innovations in the months following the November 2024 keynote.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft announced mobile application management for Windows 365 on iOS and Android.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Satya Nadella | Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft announced that the Windows App is coming to Android.
Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Satya Nadella | Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
The U.S. Navy responded to all the executive orders and mandates and met its zero-trust goals years ahead of schedule.
Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
A gunpowder revolution occurred in the 17th century and changed social and political structures.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly false |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
When people were writing about these things in the 18th and even 19th centuries, the idea was that the world was too big to be destroyed and that God would not do it.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Resolved true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thousands of nuclear weapons, not just dozens, were built in the 1960s and 1970s.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Adam Smith used a pin factory metaphor, in the 19th century, of 100 people doing different tasks where nobody knows how to make a pin.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Nuclear weapons were developed by 1945, making world-ending destruction real in a way that seemed implausible in the 17th and 18th centuries.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
If technology means producing more with less, there should be dramatic economic progress, but there has not been, and millennials are not dramatically better off than their boomer parents.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
People in the 17th and 18th centuries were very optimistic about radical human life extension.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thiel said Greta is concerned only with the climate and is not worried about AI or nuclear weapons, much less the COVID virus that he described as bioengineered in the Wuhan lab "or something like this".
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly false |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thiel said he thinks the classic definition of AI was passing the Turing test, fooling people into thinking it was human 'in some sense', and that ChatGPT passed it in late 2022 or early 2023.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy uses an if-then structure: if models pass a certain capability, Anthropic imposes a set of safety and security requirements.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei guessed that, if the task is kept very narrow to just writing code, AI systems will probably be able to do the kind of task that the vast majority of coders do.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Around 2016 or 2017, Dario Amodei first came to believe in, or confirmed his belief in, the scaling hypothesis.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
With not much additional training, Claude models became quite good at computer use tasks.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Models becoming lazy in coding is not due to Anthropic trying to save on compute or to seasonal effects, but to the difficulty of steering model behaviour.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Powerful AI will most likely arrive with a mild delay relative to the 2026-2027 straight-line extrapolation.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei said that eyeballing the rate at which capabilities are increasing, which he called totally unscientific, does make him think 'we'll get there' by 2026 or 2027, and he added that lots of things could derail it.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
At some point AI systems will become the principal investigators and leaders in research, directing humans or other AI systems.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly false |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei said that, after progress from 3% to 50% on SWE-bench in 10 months, state-of-the-art models would probably be at about 90% in another year, while adding that he did not know and it might be less.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei expects that the same training techniques used for code, image input and voice will scale to this area, which the conversation describes as giving Claude the power of action.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic sandboxes its models during training, for example not exposing the model to the internet.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Anthropic released computer use first in API form rather than to consumers, partly for safety reasons.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
11 Nov 2024 |
Amodei has seen no evidence so far that a new optimization method or technique is needed to unblock AI progress.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 |
AI timelines and forecasting |