Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

973 claims · page 1 of 10

973 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 30 Oct 2026 Burry made the case the prior week that the October 6, 2026 S&P 500 record close looks more like the March 2000 top than any other record high since 1980. Michael Burry · Factual · 30 Oct 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 23 Oct 2026 In 2022, Republican Phil Scott won Vermont's gubernatorial race by 47 points while Democrat Peter Welch won the Vermont Senate race by 40 points. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 21 Oct 2026 The dashboards showed more than 6,000 women came for prenatal care but only 1,762 delivered with a healthcare worker present. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 21 Oct 2026 Anthropic asked 81,000 Claude users in 159 countries what they wanted from AI, and many described wanting more time for life outside work. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 21 Oct 2026 Claude-built dashboards for an International Rescue Committee team in Burkina Faso flagged a spike of 25,000 pneumonia cases. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 21 Oct 2026 Anthropic announced that, subject to stockholder approval, it is setting aside at least 5% of its shares to fund projects pursuing its public benefit charter. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 19 Oct 2026 Goodheart Labs is working on Common Notes, described as Twitter Community Notes but for everything. Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 Technology
Delivered on time Scott Alexander Promise 19 Oct 2026 Scott Alexander will probably publish a post about the Bay Area ACX meetup. Scott Alexander · Promise · 19 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 13 Oct 2026 Michael Burry swapped common stock for junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Michael Burry · Factual · 13 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 7 Oct 2026 AlphaGo operated in a closed universe governed by fixed rules, unlike the open-loop real world. Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 5 Oct 2026 Rob Ennals, who made this year's ACX book review contest site, has gathered reviews from earlier years into epubs. Scott Alexander · Factual · 5 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 Howard Hughes was created out of the bankruptcy of General Growth as a spinoff of its other assets. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 1 Oct 2026 AMI Labs' work is AI for the physical world and is not language-related. Yann LeCun · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 1 Oct 2026 The OpenAI agents were supposed to be in sandboxes, but the sandboxes were leaky and "horribly designed". Yann LeCun · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 General Growth emerged from Chapter 11 two years after Pershing Square's investment. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 Howard Hughes Holdings has a market capitalisation of about $4 billion. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 As of the interview, Pershing Square owns Microsoft, Meta and Amazon shares. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 1 Oct 2026 AMI Labs builds systems that understand the real world, such as a manufacturing plant or turbojet engine. Yann LeCun · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Factual Oct 2026 US President Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs of April 2, 2025 were followed in 2026 by the Iran War. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · Oct 2026 AI policy and governance
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 30 Sep 2026 GiveWell's 2025 fundraising of $616 million was its largest fundraising year to date. GiveWell · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 26 Sep 2026 Pinker's arguments on AI risk were laid out five years before the release of LLM chatbots. Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 25 Sep 2026 OpenAI's software attacked Australian government servers. Gary Marcus · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual 25 Sep 2026 Thiel said he encouraged the person under discussion to write his book and supported him financially when he ran for the Senate in 2022. Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 18 Sep 2026 Howard Buffett has been a Berkshire director for 33 years. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Warren Buffett Promise 18 Sep 2026 Warren Buffett becomes Chairman Emeritus of Berkshire and remains a director. Warren Buffett · Promise · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 18 Sep 2026 Howard Buffett succeeds Warren Buffett as Berkshire's Chairman. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 18 Sep 2026 Warren Buffett has served Berkshire since 1965. Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Meta's Watermelon model is bigger than its Avocado model. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Delivered on time Mark Zuckerberg Promise 15 Sep 2026 Meta will ship its Watermelon model soon. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 15 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Meta is building out many gigawatts of compute. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Sep 2026 Dario Amodei has published a new essay, "We Must Pace the Frontier", arguing the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 Altman said that a system "we now have" is capable of discovering new knowledge, doing science, adding huge economic value and creating entire pieces of complex software. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 Sam Altman was a sci-fi and AI enthusiast as a child. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 It is very cheap today to run a 5-watt bulb for an hour. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 31 Aug 2026 GiveWell responded in 2025 to urgent needs generated by foreign aid cuts. GiveWell · Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 31 Aug 2026 Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities. GiveWell · Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 31 Aug 2026 In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024. GiveWell · Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 29 Aug 2026 Leading AI experts are saying humans may not be able to control these AI systems. Bill Gates · Factual · 29 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's offshore EBITDA excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees was DKK 11.9 billion in H1 2026 versus DKK 10.3 billion in H1 2025, primarily driven by higher wind speeds and higher prices. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square recently made new investments in Visa, Mastercard, Netflix, S&P Global, Intercontinental Exchange and Alcon. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 27 Jul 2026 Tesla has a product roadmap. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jul 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 27 Jul 2026 Elon Musk has been advocating a multi-planetary civilization for a very long time. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jul 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 Intrator told Jim Cramer that his customers are willing to rent GPUs for six to seven years. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 The biggest buyer and the biggest seller of these chips, including Nvidia's Jensen Huang, both acknowledged that the frontier moves faster than the depreciation schedules used by big hyperscalers and neo-clouds. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 H100s were introduced in 2022, so they could not have been coming off five-year contracts. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 Michael Burry never said that A100 chips would stop functioning. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 In early 2025 Amazon shortened the useful life of a subset of its servers from 6 to 5 years, citing the pace of development. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 Anthropic's Claude sometimes gives wrong answers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 The majority of Anthropic's revenue comes from businesses. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 The AI industry is a high capital expenditure business. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 Training AI models takes a lot of compute, and compute is in scarce supply. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 Stripe had about 40 people when Daniela Amodei joined it. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Jun 2026 Daniela Amodei graduated from college in 2009. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 10 Jun 2026 On 2026-06-10 Dario Amodei published a new essay titled Policy on the AI Exponential. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 2 Jun 2026 NVIDIA built the Isaac GR00T reference humanoid for higher education and university researchers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 Science and research methods
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 2 Jun 2026 MXC is a new policy layer that lets Windows apply isolation and containment using AI-native or other OS-native primitives. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Satya Nadella Promise 2 Jun 2026 Microsoft will offer Nvidia's models and tooling in Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 1 Jun 2026 NVIDIA's OpenShell is open source. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 1 Jun 2026 NVIDIA announced the NVIDIA Isaac GR00T, a fully integrated reference humanoid robot, on 1 June 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 1 Jun 2026 NVIDIA announced Nemotron 3 Ultra, its next open model, at the keynote. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 1 Jun 2026 NVIDIA is working with Cadence to accelerate Cadence's tools on CUDA. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic incorporated as a public benefit corporation. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Training AI models is extremely expensive and requires a massive amount of compute, which is limited in supply. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic is open about the fact that its AI models sometimes make things up or get confused. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic publishes an economic index showing how people are using AI today. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Medical research shows people with a good relationship with their doctor tend to have better clinical outcomes. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Science and research methods
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic conducted a qualitative survey speaking with 81,000 people about how they use AI. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Claude sometimes gives incorrect answers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Global AI adoption is not evenly spread across countries and demographics. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 The AI industry is a high capital expenditure business that carries inherent risks. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 About one-third of US debt is held by foreigners. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Dalio said that, as most people see it, climate conditions are moving toward worsening rather than improvement. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 There are more guns in the United States than people. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Ray Dalio studied roughly the last 500 years of history to find what causes the rise and decline of reserve currencies and empires. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei graduated college in 2009 with a literature degree. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 9 May 2026 It has been 10 years since AlphaGo. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 The decline of British power began before the Suez crisis. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Gold is currently the second largest reserve asset of central banks, after the dollar. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 6 May 2026 Ørsted's net profit for Q1 2026 was DKK 2.6 billion, affected by non-cash tax effects and impairments due to higher long-dated US interest rates. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 More than 3.5 billion people use at least one Meta app every day. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 29 Apr 2026 Demis Hassabis met South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Seoul. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Mark Zuckerberg said Meta released Ray-Ban MetaOptics glasses "this quarter" (as of April 29, 2026), designed for all-day wear rather than primarily as sunglasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 29 Apr 2026 The Trump administration's DOJ says James Comey should be prosecuted over a photograph of sea shells spelling "8647". Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Other
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 12 Apr 2026 A Putin ally suffered a major defeat in the election after 16 years in power. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 12 Apr 2026 Other
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Over 3 million scientists are now using AlphaFold. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Only about 10% of drugs get through all the clinical stages. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 SynthID uses AI to digitally watermark any generated image, and Google generative technologies such as Veo carry this watermarking. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 1 Apr 2026 Concerns about human extinction from AI have a history and intellectual lineage that long predate the AI companies. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 1 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 30 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jim Cramer Factual 30 Mar 2026 WTI crude oil was at $101 on 2026-03-30. Jim Cramer · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen's conversation with Paul Gillingham was mostly about Mexico. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jim Cramer Factual 25 Mar 2026 Dina Powell McCormick has helped Goldman Sachs's small business effort. Jim Cramer · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 22 Mar 2026 Treasury's 2012 change to the Fannie and Freddie senior preferred stock terms was a unilateral amendment, not a negotiated resolution with the companies. Bill Ackman · Factual · 22 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 18 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Harvey Mansfield, published by 2026-03-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 17 Mar 2026 Huang said he has always believed that computational demands increased a millionfold over the past two years, and he called this a feeling shared by OpenAI and Anthropic. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 16 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen's planned conversation with Toby Wilkinson has ancient and Ptolemaic Egypt as its topic. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 16 Mar 2026 The Groq chip has 500MB of SRAM, while a Rubin chip has 288GB of memory. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Bill Ackman Promise 10 Mar 2026 In the combined offering, investors in the PSUS IPO will receive PSI shares at no additional consideration (20 PSI shares per 100 PSUS shares bought). Bill Ackman · Promise · 10 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 10 Mar 2026 Streetwise is now available for sale as of 2026-03-10. Bill Ackman · Factual · 10 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
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Factual AI, the economy and work

“Globally, AI adoption isn’t evenly spread.”

Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei, Co-Founder and President of Anthropic: Building AI the Right Way (transcript) (The Transcript Desk)

Global AI adoption is not evenly spread across countries and demographics.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

What would count as true or false

True if usage data or credible studies from around 2026-05-09 (for example the Anthropic Economic Index, Microsoft or World Bank AI diffusion reports, or surveys) show substantial differences in AI adoption between countries or regions, or between demographic groups. Mostly true if the unevenness is documented across countries but evidence on demographics is weaker or less clear. Mixed if the evidence on unevenness is mixed or the gaps are modest. Mostly false if adoption is largely even and only minor differences exist. False if the data show adoption is roughly even worldwide.

Evidence

  1. Global AI Adoption in 2025 - A Widening Digital Divide Microsoft (AI Economy Institute / Microsoft Research) · January 2026
    “As a result, 24.7 percent of the working age population in the Global North is now using these tools, compared to only 14.1 percent in the Global South.”
  2. Global AI Adoption in 2025 - A Widening Digital Divide Microsoft (AI Economy Institute / Microsoft Research) · January 2026
    “The U.S. leads in both AI infrastructure and frontier model development, but it fell from 23rd to 24th place in AI usage among the working age population, with a 28.3 percent usage rate.”
  3. The AI-adoption divide: Who benefits, who doesn't, and what it means for workers European Commission (Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs) · 20 May 2026
    “The findings reveal an uneven adoption of AI across countries and socio-economic groups, with young people and higher educated individuals reporting the greatest use of the technology.”
  4. AI use by individuals surges across the OECD as adoption by firms continues to expand OECD · 28 January 2026
    “New data show that more than one-third of individuals across the OECD used generative AI tools in 2025, highlighting how rapidly artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming part of everyday life. Uptake, however, remains uneven across population groups, according to the OECD ICT Access and Usage Database.”

Reasoning

Microsoft's January 2026 diffusion report puts AI use at 24.7% of the working-age population in the Global North against 14.1% in the Global South (E1). It also gives the US a usage rate of 28.3%, ranked 24th among countries (E2). The European Commission's May 2026 analysis finds AI adoption uneven across countries and socio-economic groups, with young and higher-educated people using it most (E3). The OECD reports that uptake remains uneven across population groups (E4). Together these independent sources show substantial differences between regions and between demographic groups, so the claim resolves true.

Cite this claim

Daniela Amodei, “Global AI adoption is not evenly spread across countries and demographics.” (said 9 May 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_4fd1f466f498, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4fd1f466f498

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.