Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

62 claims

62 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Michael Burry Promise 26 Oct 2026 Michael Burry will not change Cassandra Unchained pricing from $49/month and $479/year. Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Michael Burry Promise 26 Oct 2026 Subscribers to Cassandra Unchained keep their original rate and plan for the lifetime of their subscription and can renew continuously at that initial rate. Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Promise 21 Oct 2026 A transcript with video and audio of the entire 2026 Microsoft Annual Meeting will be available on the Microsoft Investor Relations website after the meeting. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Promise 21 Oct 2026 Microsoft's 2026 Annual Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be followed by a question and answer session. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Daniela Amodei Promise 21 Oct 2026 Anthropic will publish its public benefit report annually. Daniela Amodei · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Promise 21 Oct 2026 Microsoft's 2026 virtual Annual Shareholders Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be conducted and made available via webcast. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due GiveWell Prediction 30 Sep 2026 GiveWell expects to direct nearly three times as much malaria funding in 2026 as in 2025. GiveWell · Prediction · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due GiveWell Prediction 31 Aug 2026 GiveWell's total grantmaking in 2026 is likely to approach or exceed $1 billion. GiveWell · Prediction · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will deliver an average ROCE of about 11% for 2026-2027 and above 13% for 2028-2030. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's dividend policy for financial years 2026-2028 is expected to start at a modest level and increase annually. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will deliver 2026 EBITDA above DKK 28 billion excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will announce the proposed dividend level in its Annual Report 2026. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted targets to reinstate dividend distributions for financial year 2026, with the first distribution in 2027. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will reinstate a dividend payout to its shareholders as planned. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Bill Ackman Promise 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square intends to deploy the substantial majority of the $2.5-3 billion of excess cash flow expected from Howard Hughes' real estate operations over the next three to five years into its insurance operations. Bill Ackman · Promise · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Promise 2 Jun 2026 In the coming months Microsoft will build Autopilots out into a complete digital team of autopilots inside Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Promise 2 Jun 2026 Nadella said that in summer 2026 coding would be brought to all knowledge work within one Copilot super app. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Jensen Huang Prediction 1 Jun 2026 The Vera CPU will be NVIDIA's new major growth driver. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 6 May 2026 Ørsted will significantly increase its power generation throughout 2026 as its offshore construction projects are delivered. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 6 May 2026 Ørsted maintains its gross investment guidance of DKK 50-55 billion. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 6 May 2026 Ørsted maintains its full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance of above DKK 28 billion excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Guidance 29 Apr 2026 Meta is increasing its 2026 infrastructure capital expenditure forecast. Mark Zuckerberg · Guidance · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Satya Nadella Prediction 28 Jan 2026 Over 250 customers are on track to process over one trillion tokens on Foundry this year. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Elon Musk Promise 28 Jan 2026 Musk said "we" expect fully autonomous vehicles in probably somewhere between a quarter and half of the United States by the end of 2026, pending regulatory approval. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Promise 28 Jan 2026 Meta expects to roll out its new AI-enabled products and formats over the course of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Elon Musk Promise 28 Jan 2026 Tesla expects to operate autonomous service in dozens of major cities by end of 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Gary Marcus Prediction Jan 2026 Gary Marcus does not expect his 2026 predictions to be as on target as his 2025 predictions were. Gary Marcus · Prediction · Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 10 Nov 2025 Buffett said that, with a little luck, Berkshire should need only five or six CEOs over the next century. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 10 Nov 2025 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Jeff Bezos Promise 6 Oct 2025 Blue Origin is building a hydrogen-powered lunar lander that will land on the moon in a few years. Jeff Bezos · Promise · 6 Oct 2025 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Promise Mar 2025 Kurzweil's next book will include a large section on jobs and what people would like to accomplish. Ray Kurzweil · Promise · Mar 2025 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Dario Amodei Promise 18 Feb 2025 Anthropic has a goal of reaching the point where interpretability can reliably detect most model problems by 2027. Dario Amodei · Promise · 18 Feb 2025 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 2025 Greg Abel will soon replace Warren Buffett, aged 94, as Berkshire CEO and will write the annual letters. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Elon Musk Prediction 31 Dec 2024 Musk said he thinks SpaceX has a decent chance of solving a reusable orbital heat shield in 2025 and solving it well in 2026. Elon Musk · Prediction · 31 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Elon Musk Prediction 31 Dec 2024 Within a few years SpaceX direct-to-cell capability will improve by more than an order of magnitude, due to more satellites and better technology. Elon Musk · Prediction · 31 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Sep 2024 It will take Meta about another 10 years to fully work through the cycle before its brand recovers to where it might have been. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 5 May 2024 Berkshire's CEO succession is settled for the next 20 years unless something untoward happens. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Buffett says Berkshire's CEO succession problem is solved for the next 20 years unless something untoward happens. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted has committed to reusing or recycling all wind turbine blades and solar panels from its global portfolio with immediate effect, and to commissioning only projects with a net-positive biodiversity impact from 2030. Ørsted · Promise · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted is on track to outperform its previous EBITDA and ROCE targets for 2020-2027. Ørsted · Prediction · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted reaffirms its target of about 50 GW of renewable capacity in 2030. Ørsted · Promise · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted is on track to outperform its previous average ROCE target of 11-12% for 2020-2027, now expecting about 15% over 2020-2027. Ørsted · Prediction · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted's gross investment for 2020-2027, previously expected at about DKK 350 billion, is trending higher at DKK 380 billion. Ørsted · Prediction · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted now expects EBITDA from offshore and onshore assets in operation to grow at a 15% CAGR over 2020-2027, versus the previous target of about 12%. Ørsted · Prediction · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted is on track to reach its science-based targets of 98% carbon emissions reductions (scopes 1 and 2) in 2025 and net-zero for the full value chain in 2040. Ørsted · Prediction · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Scott Alexander Prediction 20 Feb 2023 His decision to devote more space to AI than to all non-AI topics combined will look prescient by 2028, even if his explicit predictions are wrong. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Promise 24 Mar 2022 Zuckerberg hopes that by the end of this decade 50 percent or more of Meta's workforce will work distributed and remotely. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 24 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted raised its ambition for renewable build-out from +30 GW announced at the 2018 Capital Markets Day to approx. 50 GW by 2030. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted sets the ambition that no later than 2030 all new projects it commissions will have a net-positive biodiversity impact. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted plans to invest approx. DKK 350 billion in green energy from 2020 to 2027, raising average yearly investments by approx. 50% since the last Capital Markets Day. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted sets the ambition to reach approx. 50 GW of installed renewable capacity by 2030. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted expects its average return on capital employed for 2020-2027 to be 11-12%. Ørsted · Prediction · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted expects EBITDA from offshore and onshore assets in operation to grow approx. 12% a year on average in 2020-2027, reaching DKK 35-40 billion in 2027. Ørsted · Prediction · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted sets the ambition of reaching approx. 50 GW of installed renewable energy capacity by 2030, more than quadrupling its installed capacity over the next decade. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 2 Jun 2021 Approx. 90% on average of Ørsted's EBITDA for 2020-2027 will come from regulated or contract-based activities. Ørsted · Prediction · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Promise 1 Jan 2018 Rodney Brooks will publish on his blog dated predictions covering the next thirty-two years. Rodney Brooks · Promise · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Promise 1 Jan 2018 Brooks said he had promised in 2018 to review his predictions at the start of every year until 2050, thirty-two years in total. Rodney Brooks · Promise · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Nassim Taleb Prediction 10 Jul 2017 A book that is interesting today and would have been interesting 20 years ago will probably still be interesting 20 years from now. Nassim Taleb · Prediction · 10 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 2017 DONG Energy aims to phase out coal completely from its power and heat generation by 2023. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 Warren Buffett will continue to distribute about 4% of the Berkshire shares he retains each year. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 None of Warren Buffett's pledged money will go to endowments; it will be spent on current needs. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 More than 99% of Warren Buffett's wealth will go to philanthropy during his lifetime or at death. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

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Prediction Their own work or organisation

“We’re going deeper in areas we know well, such as malaria—where we expect to direct nearly three times as much funding this year as we did last year.”

GiveWell, unsigned newsletter 30 September 2026 September 2026 Updates (The GiveWell Blog)

GiveWell expects to direct nearly three times as much malaria funding in 2026 as in 2025.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

deadline 2026 is after 2026-10-10

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell expects to direct nearly three times as much malaria funding in 2026 as in 2025.” (said 30 September 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_484fb5344a15, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_484fb5344a15

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.