Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

1,191 claims · page 3 of 12

1,191 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 3 Aug 2025 Current AI systems still can't really yet go beyond asking novel questions or conjectures, or come up with new hypotheses not thought of before. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 3 Aug 2025 On average it takes ten years and billions of dollars to design one drug. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 Science and research methods
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 3 Aug 2025 Everything in biology and the body depends on proteins. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 Science and research methods
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Zuckerberg said Meta launched the Meta Quest 3S Xbox Edition in June 2025 ("last month", speaking on 2025-07-30) and that Meta is seeing record interest in cloud gaming. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Technology
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Over the last 5 to 10 years Meta's Reality Labs has been heavily researching different glasses and display technologies. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Technology
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Alexandr Wang is leading the overall Meta Superintelligence Labs team. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Meta launched AI video editing tools across Meta AI and its new Edits app. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 The Oakley Meta HSTN glasses have longer battery life and a higher resolution camera and are designed for sports. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Technology
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 28 Jul 2025 Bitcoin is valued everywhere there is an internet connection. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual 28 Jul 2025 Thirty-one years after Japan's 1989 bubbles, Japanese land prices and stocks had not returned to their 1989 levels. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual 28 Jul 2025 Emerging markets and value stocks trade at one of the two or three lowest relative valuation points in history compared to the U.S. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 28 Jul 2025 Doors, including house doors, can be secured with an onchain smart lock controlled by crypto. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 Technology
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 Some of GPT-5's advice will be very bad. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 27 Jul 2025 GPT-5 will be considerably better than GPT-4. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Video models such as Veo 3 can pretty accurately generate about eight seconds of video that, by eye and at a glance, looks consistent. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Veo, Google DeepMind's video generation model, can model liquids surprisingly well. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Google DeepMind built DolphinGemma, a version of its system trained on dolphin and whale sounds. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 Science and research methods
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 10 Jun 2025 Recently US bond prices have fallen while the dollar weakened, and gold and stock prices have risen. Ray Dalio · Factual · 10 Jun 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Ray Dalio Prediction 10 Jun 2025 If current congressional plans go forward, the US federal deficit will be about 7% of GDP. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 10 Jun 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 5 Jun 2025 Distillation of frontier models lets lagging companies narrow the gap at a fraction of the cost of developing their own AI independently. Dario Amodei · Factual · 5 Jun 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Dario Amodei Promise 5 Jun 2025 Anthropic is unilaterally committing now to the step of embedding third-party evaluators, which it describes as the key step for verifying any pacing commitments, comparable to regulatory supervisors embedded alongside employees in banking. Dario Amodei · Promise · 5 Jun 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 5 Jun 2025 Dario Amodei has worked on AI for the last twelve years. Dario Amodei · Factual · 5 Jun 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nate Silver Factual 8 Apr 2025 The average US tariff rate on the rest of the world was at least 23% as of April 2025. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nate Silver Factual 8 Apr 2025 The two special elections held in early April 2025 were in extremely Republican-leaning, rural Florida districts. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Scott Alexander Factual 3 Apr 2025 Through history, people have been reluctant to admit an AI is truly intelligent. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 The authors of the scenario think coding is what will start the intelligence explosion. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, as AI labs become more capable they tell the government, seeking government contracts and support. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, the government sees via cyber warfare that AIs are as capable as the best human hackers but deployable at huge scale. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 10 Mar 2025 Anthropic was the first AI company to have a responsible scaling policy. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 10 Mar 2025 Within a few months of Anthropic releasing its responsible scaling policy, the other AI companies all adopted similar policies. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 10 Mar 2025 Amodei said he thinks delaying Claude's release had real commercial consequences for Anthropic. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 10 Mar 2025 Anthropic's models may reach AI Safety Level 3 in 2025. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 10 Mar 2025 Dario Amodei has supported export controls on chips for several years, before DeepSeek's model came out. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Dario Amodei Prediction 28 Feb 2025 In the short run (about 6 to 12 months), AI will augment and increase coders' productivity rather than replace them. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2025 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2025 Anthropic ran an experiment training a model to be helpful, honest, harmless and friendly. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2025 Amodei said he thinks AI coding is moving the fastest of all the areas of AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2025 The model sometimes gives a very short response because, when it knows it gains nothing from thinking further, it does not think for longer; a bound on how long it thinks is still described as valuable. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 22 Feb 2025 The United States designs chips but cannot produce chips effectively. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 22 Feb 2025 Indonesia has the second highest happiness rating. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 22 Feb 2025 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 Field building and careers
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 The lack of understanding of how AI systems work is essentially unprecedented in the history of technology. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 When Anthropic was founded, its founders made mechanistic interpretability a central part of the company's direction, focused on LLMs. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 Amodei said that "we" were able to provide a strong theoretical basis for having conviction that superposition was the right hypothesis to pursue; the surrounding text does not say who "we" refers to. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 It became clear that superposition would be a central problem for language models, much worse than in vision models. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 Modern generative AI systems are opaque in a way that fundamentally differs from traditional software. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 18 Feb 2025 Circuits, groups of features, allow researchers to trace an AI model's thinking steps. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Substack started from scratch and declared up front that it would be a free speech platform. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Prediction 26 Jan 2025 The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Marc Andreessen is a volunteer for the Trump administration when helpful, does not make its decisions and cannot speak for it. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 The US Constitution requires Congress to authorize money to be spent by the executive branch. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Under the current interpretation of appropriations, a president who does not want to spend appropriated money cannot decline to spend it. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Incumbent universities, through accreditation, are in complete control of who gets access to federal student loan money. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 Other
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Marc Andreessen does not speak for DOGE and is not in charge of DOGE. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 The United States is the main place where the world's best and brightest foreign students get educated. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 The US is adding a trillion dollars to the national debt every 100 days, and it is now passing the size of the Defense Department budget and compounding. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Marc Andreessen has made the argument in favour of high-skilled immigration and H-1B visas many times. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 26 Jan 2025 Marc Andreessen joined the Facebook board in 2007. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 10 Jan 2025 Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 10 Jan 2025 Someone in Pakistan tried to get Zuckerberg sentenced to death, bringing a criminal proceeding over a Facebook picture of the prophet Muhammad. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 10 Jan 2025 Apple built a protocol for connecting accessories to the iPhone that is not encrypted (plain text). Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 10 Jan 2025 The body has redundant neural pathways to the hand because the ability to use the hand is very important. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA fine-tuned Llama models and turned them into the Llama Nemotron suite of open models. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA Cosmos is trained on 20 million hours of video. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA's Blackwell chip is in full production as of January 2025. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA invented the programmable GPU in 1999, six years after the UDA work described just before in the speech, and this started more than 20 years of advances in the GPU. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 The RTX 50 series Blackwell GPU has 92 billion transistors, 4,000 TOPS and four petaflops of AI, three times the previous-generation Ada. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA invented neural texture compression and neural material shading. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 In the RTX 50 (Blackwell) generation the programmable shader can process neural networks. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 7 Jan 2025 NVIDIA's AI Blueprints are completely open source. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2025 Zoox has purpose-built vehicles with no steering wheel or brake and accelerator pedals. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2025 Technology
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 1 Jan 2025 OpenAI has returned no profits, does not expect profits until at least 2029, has a burn rate in the billions, and lacks a clear technical moat. Gary Marcus · Factual · 1 Jan 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 A large-scale cyberattack in which generative AI plays an important causal role may well occur in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 Other global risks
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Few if any radiologists will be replaced by AI in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 Neurosymbolic AI will become much more prominent in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2025 Both billionaire founders of the two suborbital tourism companies have flown to space on their own craft. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Gary Marcus Prediction 1 Jan 2025 OpenAI's Sora will continue to have trouble with physics in 2025. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2025 In the 2017 'Attention Is All You Need' transformer architecture, each column from bottom to top is a pure feed-forward network with no search, iteration or conventional algorithm. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2025 AI capabilities
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 2025 Buffett will personally match whatever is raised through the sale of the 20 autographed "Charlie" books for the Stephen Center. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 2025 People put instructions in LLM system prompts but cannot get the systems to follow them. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2025 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 2025 Many index and passive funds vote in line with Glass Lewis and ISS recommendations. Elon Musk · Factual · 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 2025 Scion's agreements with counterparties required daily collateral valuation in both directions. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual 2025 LLMs, which are not AGI, are already eliminating some human work. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2025 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 2025 Michael Burry earned a bachelor's degree in economics at UCLA and then an MD at Vanderbilt School of Medicine. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 2025 A company that has already gone public cannot create a super voting stock. Elon Musk · Factual · 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 2025 Becky Quick and her CNBC crew transmit Berkshire's meetings worldwide and archive much Berkshire-related material. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 2025 Microsoft Office was first created for the Mac, before Windows existed. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 2025 Blue Ocean Re was set up in late 2005 to take advantage of what Burry called an extraordinary pricing ability in the retrocessional reinsurance space. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 2025 Burry's main contact at Goldman Sachs was Veronica, a front-end salesperson. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 30 Dec 2024 Community Notes only shows a note when people who have historically disagreed agree that it is valid. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Dec 2024 As of December 2024, OpenAI's o1 pro is the best AI model available. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Dec 2024 The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Dec 2024 The podcast Cowen was describing, which he said had about seven episodes and in which neither host interviews the other, is all economics, unlike Conversations with Tyler. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 25 Dec 2024 Tyler Cowen said he stated The Great Stagnation in 2011 and that he thinks it was seen as radical at the time. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Economics and markets
Mostly true Sam Altman Prediction 21 Dec 2024 On many coding tasks, OpenAI's o3-mini will outperform o1 at a massive cost reduction. Sam Altman · Prediction · 21 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Sam Altman Promise 21 Dec 2024 OpenAI is giving all Plus users unlimited Sora access via the relaxed queue over the 2024 holidays. Sam Altman · Promise · 21 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Scott Alexander Factual 10 Dec 2024 Most of the benefits of prison come from incapacitation rather than deterrence. Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Sam Altman Factual 10 Dec 2024 OpenAI significantly underestimated demand for Sora at its December 2024 launch. Sam Altman · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Sam Altman Factual 9 Dec 2024 OpenAI launched Sora on 2024-12-09 along with a new product, letting Plus and Pro users generate videos. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Sam Altman Factual 6 Dec 2024 OpenAI announced reinforcement finetuning on 2024-12-06, which makes it easy to create expert models in specific domains with little training data. Sam Altman · Factual · 6 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual Dec 2024 Hassabis's first career was writing AI for commercial computer games. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
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Jensen Huang

Open its page

Factual AI compute, hardware and data

“Blackwell is in full production.”

Jensen Huang, NVIDIA CEO 7 January 2025 [Full transcript] NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Keynote at CES 2025 (y2doc)

NVIDIA's Blackwell chip is in full production as of January 2025.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

The claim is that Blackwell was in full production as of 7 January 2025. True: NVIDIA filings or earnings reports (for example its Q4 FY2025 results) and supply-chain reporting show Blackwell in volume or mass production by early January 2025, with substantial shipments and revenue. Mostly true: volume production was underway by then but still ramping, with minor problems at some configurations. Mixed: some Blackwell products were in volume production while others, such as GB200 NVL72 racks, were held back by significant production problems. Mostly false: only initial or limited production had started, with credible reports of major delays to volume output. False: Blackwell was not in production at that date.

Evidence

  1. Nvidia says Blackwell-based servers are in full production - 200 different configurations now available Tom's Hardware · 8 January 2025
    “Nvidia and its partners have initiated full-scale production of Blackwell GPUs for AI and HPC, as well as servers based on them, announced Jensen Huang, chief executive of the company, at CES.”
  2. [News] NVIDIA GB200 Racks Reportedly Overheat, Major Clients Cut Orders TrendForce · 14 January 2025
    “Initial shipments of racks with Blackwell chips have reportedly encountered overheating issues and connection glitches between chips, the report indicates, citing The Information.”
  3. NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 NVIDIA Own record
    “We’ve successfully ramped up the massive-scale production of Blackwell AI supercomputers, achieving billions of dollars in sales in its first quarter.”
  4. NVDA Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript platformaeronaut.com (third-party transcript site) · 26 February 2025
    “In Q4, Blackwell sales exceeded our expectations. We delivered $11 billion of Blackwell revenue to meet strong demand.”

Reasoning

NVIDIA's Q4 FY2025 results say it ramped massive-scale Blackwell production with billions in sales in the first quarter [E3]. The earnings call reports $11 billion of Blackwell revenue in Q4 FY2025 [E4]. This shows volume production and substantial shipments around the claim date, and Tom's Hardware reported the CES announcement [E1]. Independent reporting, citing The Information, said initial Blackwell rack shipments had reportedly encountered overheating and chip-connection problems, and its headline says major clients cut orders [E2]. That fits volume production still ramping with problems in some configurations, not products held back.

Cite this claim

Jensen Huang, “NVIDIA's Blackwell chip is in full production as of January 2025.” (said 7 January 2025). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_4322656d4dcb, method 0.1.0+03d23c0e. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4322656d4dcb

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.