Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims · page 266 of 286

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Because humanity would not exist without imitation, one cannot say that there is something wrong with imitation per se Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Many, it should be emphasized, are exceptionally able, and almost all work far more than 40 hours a week. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 As of 2007 there is no explanatory consensus for the existence of the massive corticothalamic feedback projections. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Buffett's 2007 federal and state income taxes will be exactly what they would have been had he not made his 2007 charitable contributions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Abandoning the human modalities appears to introduce an additional fragile dependency on the correctness of the AI theory Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 We do know that it would be a huge mistake to bet that evolving atmospheric changes are benign in their implications for insurers. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 At the extremes, even the distinction between violence inflicted on oneself and violence inflicted on other people is in the process of… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Such an extreme situation is represented by war. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 We might call such concepts surface concepts. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 In AI the rule should be that the problem is always harder and deeper than it looks, even after you take this rule into account. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 But on the whole, the modality level is about invariants rather than regularities and identities rather than categories. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 category structure is ubiquitous in the low-entropy processes of our low-entropy universe. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 In 2006, though, everything went right in insurance – really right. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 2% of your principal is paid each year to the manager even if he accomplishes nothing Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 I find it likely that the entire operation will cancel out, contributing nothing. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Charlie and I love newspapers – we each read five a day – and believe that a free and energetic press is a key ingredient for maintaining a… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 We’ll see you there. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said that from the time he and Munger became involved with Blue Chip Stamps, its business went straight downhill, with sales falling to $19.4 million by 1980. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 “Fuzzy hashing” would then be a strong candidate for an alternative implementation of memory association. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 As of early 2007 there was a huge overhang of home listings in several of HomeServices' markets. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Those who acquired their property through violence will not be capable of growing their fortunes, and in time will possess only a small and… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 This idiom does not work for general AI! Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 The decline in Buffalo News profits will almost certainly continue. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger a decade from 2007. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concepts can also embody regularities which are not directly represented in any sensory modality, and which are not any covariance or… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Evolution has produced a general intelligence (the human brain) running on about a hundred trillion synapses with limiting speeds of roughly 200 spikes per second. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Mixed Peter Thiel Factual 2007 René Girard, like Schmitt and Strauss, believes there is a disturbing truth about the city and humanity, and that the Enlightenment whitewashed away the issue of human violence. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 This is mathematically straightforward, but cognitively general. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 2007 A deliberately designed AI is likely to begin as a set of subsystems in a primitive, undeveloped state already designed to form a functioning supersystem. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007 AI capabilities
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 An account of politics that speaks only of the smooth functioning of the machinery of government is incomplete, and one also must consider… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's net worth rose $16.9 billion in 2006, raising per-share book value of Class A and B stock by 18.4%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Semantic nets leave out multiple levels of organization. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Abstract reasoning is a means by which inductively acquired generalizations can be used in deductive reasoning. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 It is therefore best for such questions to be eliminated or obscured. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 All are performing very well. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 The Christian statesman or stateswoman must diverge from the teachings of Strauss in one decisive respect. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's super-cat insurance activity, which lost money in 2004 and 2005, was very profitable in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 In a deliberative AI, it is patterns of thoughts that plan and design, transforming abstract high-level goal patterns into specific… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 I’ve set this schedule because I want the money to be spent relatively promptly by people I know Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Because the smooth functioning of human culture depended on a lack of understanding of this truth of human culture, the archaic rituals… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 twenty-first century started with a bang on September 11, 2001. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 In spite of the inspiring sweep of the Straussian project, there remains a nagging suspicion that perhaps it is missing something… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 We are not willing, though, to take on even very small exposures at prices that don’t reflect our evaluation of loss probabilities. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire is likely to continue earning significant overall profits from mispriced derivatives despite occasional losses. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Visualizing a "red lemon" does not cause the human mind to picture a bright red patch with the outline of a lemon. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Words are the phonemic tags (speech), visual tags (writing), gestural tags (sign language), or haptic tags (Braille) used to invoke… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The gap between the higher level and the lower level is not absolute and uncrossable, as it is in semantic nets. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 A concept-formation system need not be generally intelligent in itself Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 but this severs the task of concept formation from its ecological validity (metaphorically speaking). Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 We’re careful when spending your money. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Many proverbial AI pathologies result at least partially from omitting lower levels of organization from the design. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 AI capabilities
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Neural networks and evolutionary computations are not generally intelligent but they are generically intelligent; Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Naturally, there are few defaults when virtually nothing is required of a borrower. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Neither side ever could win decisively, but in the long term, each side could decisively discredit the other Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 On a theoretical level, the older tradition consisted of two radically incompatible streams symbolized by Athens and Jerusalem. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 From 1956 to 2002 Walter Schloss managed an investment partnership from which he took no fee unless his investors made money. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 In this way, Strauss’s recovery of the permanent problems paradoxically might make their resolution all the more difficult. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's manufacturing, service and retailing group earned 25% on average tangible net worth in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The visual cortex does not know about butterflies. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Citation 2007 Judd et al. (1964) measured 622 spectral power distributions of natural lighting and found that variations in natural lighting reduce to three degrees of freedom. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Instead of the United Nations, filled with interminable and inconclusive parliamentary debates that resemble Shakespearean tales told by… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concepts also have complexity that relates to the concept level Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 The big unknown is super-cat insurance. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 A piece of code need only evolve to test for the same characteristic. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Charlie Munger began his career as a lawyer, and Buffett thought of himself as a security analyst. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 the singular example of bin Laden and his followers has rendered incomplete the economically motivated political thought that has dominated… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 It is easier to train neural networks, including nonbiological connectionist networks, than to train a piece of human-written code. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 AI capabilities
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Citation 2007 Evidence from neuroanatomy, neuroimaging, neurological pathology and cognitive psychology (Kosslyn 1994) supports that mental imagery is directly represented in sensory modalities. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 I believe that many (though not all) cases of the “commonsense problem” or “frame problem” arise from trying to store all possible… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Yudkowsky, on first visualizing a triangular light bulb, saw a pyramidal bulb with smoothed edges and a bulb on the square base. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Girard, in turn, would counter that salvation is no longer to be found in philosophical reticence, because there will come a day when there… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The first layer of the retina (rods and cones) is the only part of the human visual system that works on all possible pixel fields. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 if American liberalism is decisively incomplete, then its critique is no longer quite so decisive. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Good programming tools help with AI development but do not help with AI. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction 2007 The cumulative decisions made in close cases between violence and peace may determine the destiny of the postmodern world. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 On the one hand, we have the newer project of the Enlightenment, which never became comprehensive on a global scale, and perhaps always… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Mother Nature, bless her heart, went on vacation. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Over 42 years under present management, Berkshire's book value per share grew from $19 to $70,281, 21.4% compounded annually. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The human visual modality shows that modalities are not microtheories or flat pixel-level representations, but are characterized by successive layers of increasingly elaborate feature structure. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Passing ten successive gates on the first try is the indicator of success. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 but it’s also important that incoming shareholders don’t overpay. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire purchased many of its operating businesses at large premiums to net worth, reducing earnings on average carrying value to 10.8%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 I prefer to be spoiled rotten. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 When I recite their names, I feel as if I’m at Cooperstown, reading from the Hall of Fame roster. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire owns $61 billion of equities, whose value can easily rise or fall by 10% in a given year. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 No wonder we tapdance Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 I find that a single center of gravity stands out as having the most complexity and doing most of the substantive work of intelligence Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Today, mere self-preservation forces all of us to look at the world anew, to think strange new thoughts, and thereby to awaken from that… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 nothing is more fun for us than getting together with our shareholder-partners at Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 No other company can offer the certainty that Berkshire can, in terms of guaranteeing the full and fair settlement of these obligations. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 2007 After September 11, serious people could publicly raise the issue of unilateralism, and of institutions providing cover for it, for the first time since 1945. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 Other global risks
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concepts are combinatorial learned complexity. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Because Girard rightly views this account as preposterous, he considers the social contract to be the fundamental lie of the Enlightenment Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett doubted that, outside of Clayton, the industry overall made any money in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 This traditional problem is why I have carefully avoided using the word symbol in the exposition above. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Evolution-provided visual instincts constitute only a tiny fraction of human visual knowledge. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 No quitter, I redoubled my managerial efforts. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 This challenge points up the inherent deficit of the “information loss” viewpoint of abstraction. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 From this perspective “fiveness” is a bad example to use, since it would be very unlikely for an AI developer to not anticipate numericity… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
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Peter Thiel

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“Neither side ever could win decisively, but in the long term, each side could decisively discredit the other”

Peter Thiel 2007 The Straussian Moment (gwern.net (PDF))

Neither side ever could win decisively, but in the long term, each side could decisively discredit the other

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “Neither side ever could win decisively, but in the long term, each side could decisively discredit the other” (said 2007). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_3b2bfd2e47c8, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3b2bfd2e47c8

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.