6,750 claims · page 50 of 68
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unresolvable | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 2018 | He gave an 80% probability that by 2023 the Paris Agreement would still be in effect, with most countries generally making a good-faith effort to comply. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 2018 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 2018 | Over time, QSR should be able to successfully execute additional value-creating acquisitions. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | Herbalife's use of debt capital and financial engineering, together with Mr. Icahn's share purchases reducing the free float, drove its share price appreciation. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | Pershing Square sold its S&P Global shares because a large stock price increase during accumulation prevented it from building a meaningful position. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 2018 | The European Union will not collapse by 2023. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 2018 | Other |
| Own records only | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | GiveWell's best guess is that it is undercounting money moved by $10-20 million. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | HHC CEO David Weinreb and President Grant Herlitz recently entered into 10-year employment agreements. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 2018 | ADP's delivery on its proxy-contest commitments, together with tax reform and rising interest rates, will drive a significant increase in ADP's earnings. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | GiveWell estimates about one-third of its 2016 expenses ($2.0 million) supported traditional top charity work and about two-thirds supported the Open Philanthropy Project, the same breakdown as in 2015. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | Pershing Square owned Nike for four months, recently sold the position, and Nike's stock rose 34% during that period. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved false | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 2018 | If global existential risks became a big part of 2018-2023, it would be because someone did something incredibly stupid or awful with infectious diseases. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 2018 | Other global risks |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | PSH exited its investments in Air Products, Hilton, Nomad Foods, an undisclosed position and Valeant during 2017. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | GiveWell's best guess is that it played a significant role in influencing an additional $10-20 million of donations to AMF, GiveDirectly and SCI in 2016 that are not counted in its headline money moved. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | GiveWell's true money moved in 2016 may be somewhat higher than recorded, since some donors giving directly to recommended charities may have been influenced by its research without reporting it. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | GiveWell's direct web traffic increased and traffic from other non-paid sources decreased between 2015 and 2016. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 2018 | If ADP's Employer Services growth rises to ~7%+ and margins to 35% or greater, ADP would earn ~$10 of EPS by FY2022, more than double current earnings. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 2018 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 5 Oct 2017 | The world does not have just one or two AIs; today there are billions of AIs. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 5 Oct 2017 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 5 Oct 2017 | By 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 5 Oct 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 5 Oct 2017 | By the 2030s, humans will connect their neocortex to the cloud. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 5 Oct 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 5 Oct 2017 | Humans will be able to meet the physical needs of all humans and expand their minds through technology. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 5 Oct 2017 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 5 Oct 2017 | The Singularity will occur in 2045, when humans multiply their effective intelligence a billion fold by merging with the AI they created. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 5 Oct 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 5 Oct 2017 | An AI will pass a valid Turing test and achieve human levels of intelligence in 2029, the date Kurzweil has consistently predicted. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 5 Oct 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Satya Nadella uses an iPhone, an Android phone and a Windows phone. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Microsoft is the only cloud provider that operates in China under Chinese law. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Satya Nadella was a developer at Sun Microsystems, which he joined in 1990. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | In the mid-to-late 1990s Microsoft bought a couple of companies, which were some of its largest acquisitions. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | Oct 2017 | The automobile will have more compute power than most computers. Satya Nadella · Prediction · Oct 2017 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Microsoft has 43 data center regions as of October 2017. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Microsoft is number two, and in the enterprise it is probably very close to number two. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Ray Dalio started going to China in 1984. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | The US dollar is a fiat paper currency. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | The US corporate tax rate in the eventual tax legislation will probably be about 23%. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Bridgewater has managed money since 1993 for Chinese institutions outside China. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | Algorithms will become part of people's lives. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | The US economy has gotten past the worst of the leveraging (debt build-up). Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | Radical transparency will increasingly affect people and cannot be avoided. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | US economic growth is probably around 2.5% a year in the current environment. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | In the 1980s Dalio was wrong in expecting the worst economic conditions. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | The Trump administration's anticipated tax and economic changes will probably be enacted in a watered-down version. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 12 Sep 2017 | Dalio expects a slow, increasing squeeze, while saying that current cash flows can support debts for the time being. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Dalio said he was told that his process of being radically truthful was hurting people's morale. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | The top 0.2% of the US population has a net worth equal to that of the bottom 90%. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | As of 2017, Google/Waymo has worked on self-driving cars for eight years and has no identified path to large-scale deployment. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | AI was overestimated in the 1960s and the 1980s, and Brooks believes it is being overestimated again in 2017. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | Hardware has a significant marginal cost to deploy. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | AI will most likely be underestimated in the long term. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | People will still be in the loop worrying about physical wiring of robotics and AI systems for decades to come. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Widespread deployment of self-driving cars will take decades, not years. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Long before any evil super-intelligent machines arise, less intelligent and belligerent machines will appear first. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | A program smart enough to subvert human society to achieve human-set goals without understanding the problems it causes will never exist in the real world. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | AlphaGo and Deep Blue (which beat Garry Kasparov in 1997) cannot adapt to a small change in the rules of their game. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Real deployment of self-driving cars could come four, five or six decades after 1987. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | Brooks said that, as of 2017, everyone had suddenly become aware of self-driving cars and thought they would soon be deployed. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Exponential growth in the number of users of social platforms such as Facebook or Twitter will eventually turn into an S-curve because the number of potential users is finite. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Sep 2017 | In July 1995 a CMU minivan, with no hands on the wheel or feet on pedals, drove coast to coast across the US on public roads. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Because many of the non-self-driving cars bought today will likely still be on the road in 2040, this puts an inherent limit on how soon all cars will be self-driving. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | If super-intelligent machines are eventually built, their existence will not come as a sudden surprise; they will evolve gradually. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Some of large companies' marketing messages about their AI offerings may cause very bad blowback for them in the not too distant future. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 7 Sep 2017 | Brooks said he thinks that mathematical provability is a vain hope, adding that we won't be able to prove very much at all about large AI systems. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 7 Sep 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Solving biology might turn out to be an exponentially complicated combinatorial problem or be limited by data and experiment. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | Biosecurity |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Around 2015, Dario Amodei often argued that a relatively peaceful geopolitical period made it a good time for AGI to be built. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | OpenAI and DeepMind both have a focus on safety and both have safety teams. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | A really powerful AI might be unable to understand macroeconomic systems due to data limits yet still be able to design a better one. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Machines could probably make progress in biology pretty fast, though there is huge uncertainty. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | Biosecurity |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Getting started in machine learning probably requires about a thousand dollars to buy a GPU. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Field building and careers |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | There was a lot of political instability in the western world in the year before July 2017. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | OpenAI does not lower its machine learning hiring bar for people who want to work on safety. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Vicarious does not think about AI safety, to Amodei's knowledge. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Amodei said he is optimistic that researchers will gain a better understanding of transparency inside neural nets. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Amodei said that he and OpenAI focus a lot on reinforcement learning because it, and extended versions of it, seems a better fit for what intelligent agents do in general. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Solving resource constraints through AI will not by itself solve war. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | Other global risks |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Amodei said he thinks that, broadly, most people at OpenAI are worried about the issues under discussion or at least think they are worth thinking about, and he set this apart from the staff actively doing technical work on them. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Dario Amodei mainly works on safety at OpenAI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Dario Amodei has not been closely involved in OpenAI's rapid hiring and growth, except on the safety side. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | For almost a decade before 2017, self-driving cars have existed that are 99.9% safe. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | The Concrete Problems in AI Safety paper did not discuss the transparency of neural nets. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Pure rule-based systems will not work for building AGI. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | Artificial general intelligence will eventually be developed. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 21 Jul 2017 | There may be more than a 50% chance that, as AI gets closer to AGI, it becomes clear how to make it safe. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 21 Jul 2017 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Dario Amodei's PhD was not in machine learning. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Statistical AI systems have pretty decisively won out over rule-based systems. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | OpenAI is a nonprofit AI research lab. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Amodei said he thinks OpenAI has generally been very selective in whom it picks. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | There are more independent people today than in Roman times. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Taleb said he believes a minimum wage is definitely a cause of more unemployment, more use of robots, or jobs moving to places with lower wages. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | The Crisis came largely from unfettered globalization, particularly from governments propping up large companies. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Traders were allowed to conceal their inventory from outsiders they called 'the Swiss'. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Skin in the Game is Volume 5 of Taleb's Incerto. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Taleb's essay on the minority rule has been downloaded several million times. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | The new generation does not know how to drive stick shifts. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Taleb argued in The Black Swan against unfettered globalization, saying it would cause big systemic effects driven by governments propping up large companies. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | The reason we do not drive stick shifts is the minority rule. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Taleb does not employ a full-time assistant and instead employs people for specific tasks. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | For slightly hypertensive people, 67 persons must be treated to cure one. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | The charts and data in Piketty's and Pinker's books miss elementary points of statistical significance. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Science and research methods |
| Own records only | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | When Taleb was a trader he followed very complicated and strict ethical rules, such as never overcharging another trader. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not yet due | Nassim Taleb | Prediction | 10 Jul 2017 | A book that is interesting today and would have been interesting 20 years ago will probably still be interesting 20 years from now. Nassim Taleb · Prediction · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Prediction | 10 Jul 2017 | A Broadway show that has run 300 days is likely to run about 300 additional days, 600 in total (Lindy effect). Nassim Taleb · Prediction · 10 Jul 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly false | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | The Romans never let a free person be a steward in a big state; they wanted a slave in that role. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | In Switzerland, authorities go to the local population and ask what they want on such matters. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | AI policy and governance |
“it's a fiat paper currency.”
Ray Dalio, Bridgewater founder, interviewee 12 September 2017 CNBC: Andrew Ross Sorkin Interviews Raymond Dalio (CNBC)
The US dollar is a fiat paper currency.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of September 2017. True: the US dollar is a fiat currency (not convertible into gold or any commodity since 1971) and is issued as paper notes, among other forms. Mostly true: fiat is correct, but 'paper' is loose because most dollars exist as electronic deposits. False: the dollar was backed by or convertible into a commodity at that time.
Evidence
- Is U.S. currency still backed by gold? Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · 2 August 2013
“Federal Reserve notes are not redeemable in gold, silver, or any other commodity.”
- Nixon Ends Convertibility of U.S. Dollars to Gold and Announces Wage/Price Controls Federal Reserve History (federalreservehistory.org) · 4 August 2011
“The first order was for the gold window to be closed. Foreign governments could no longer exchange their dollars for gold; in effect, the international monetary system turned into a fiat one.”
- Modern Money Mechanics/Introduction - Wikisource, the free online library Wikisource
“In the United States neither paper currency nor deposits have value as commodities.”
- Modern Money Mechanics/Introduction - Wikisource, the free online library Wikisource
“About 69 percent, or $623 billion, of the $898 billion total stock in December 1991, was in the form of transaction deposits, of which $290 billion were demand and $333 billion were other checkable deposits.”
Reasoning
The Federal Reserve says its notes are not redeemable in gold, silver or any other commodity (E1). The closing of the gold window ended dollar convertibility, and the monetary system "turned into a fiat one" (E2). A Wikisource transcription of "Modern Money Mechanics" says US paper currency has no value as a commodity (E3). These sources show the dollar was a fiat currency issued partly as paper Federal Reserve notes, which meets the "true" criterion. E4 shows most of the money stock was held as deposits, but its figures are from 1991, not 2017, so it does not settle the "mostly true" condition about the 2017 share.
Cite this claim
Ray Dalio, “The US dollar is a fiat paper currency.” (said 12 September 2017). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_394e089d23d6, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_394e089d23d6
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.