Claims · Reliability API

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
Verdict	Person	Kind	Said	Claim	Topic
Not researched	Peter Thiel	Citation	15 Jun 2012	In Ray Kurzweil's The Singularity Is Near, technological progress follows an exponential growth curve that is presented as a law of nature. Peter Thiel · Citation · 15 Jun 2012	Technology
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	In a very real sense, the life of every person is a singularity. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Unresolvable	Peter Thiel	Prediction	15 Jun 2012	There is a compelling case that extraordinary or accelerated technological progress will very likely occur in the decades ahead. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 15 Jun 2012	Technology
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Every single moment is a possibility to go to these new places and explore them. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Statistical processes, the law of large numbers, and globalization—these things are timeless, probabilistic, and maybe random. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	There is perhaps no specific time that is necessarily right to start your company or start your life. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	But, like technology, your life is a story of one-time events. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	That is selling yourself short. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	The future, we are told, is just probabilities and statistics. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	You are constantly encouraged to play it safe and be conventional. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	The obvious answer, unfortunately, has been to follow the well-trodden path. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	The problem there is that too many milestones make the achievability of the end goal rather speculative. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	There is something importantly singular about each new thing in the world. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	The assumption was that there will always be enough people who try things, so you, as an individual, don’t actually have to do anything and… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Don’t be deterred by notions of luck, impossibility, or futility. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	But the obvious answer is wrong. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	This course has largely been about going from 0 to 1. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Now is such a moment. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Let’s run with some version of Michael’s tribe theory. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	But the big secret is that there are many secrets left to uncover. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	If it’s all crazy science fiction that’s barely plausible, it might not make sense to work on it now. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	But some times and some moments seem more auspicious than others. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	We know that, in practice, timing is very important. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	So perhaps a 20-year goal with lot of milestones along the way would be a good approach. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Get out there and fill in the blank spaces. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	We’ve talked a lot about how to create new technology, and how radically better technology may build toward singularity. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	Choose to do something important and different. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	15 Jun 2012	you’re supposed to be motivating the people in this class Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 15 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Bill Ackman	Not checkable	12 Jun 2012	taking advantage of the opportunity for long-term profit offered when short-term investors sell due to disappointing short-term macro or… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Jun 2012
Not checkable	Tyler Cowen	Not checkable	Jun 2012	for better or worse, those voters have lost faith in the social returns of these jobs and our ability to afford them. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable	Tyler Cowen	Not checkable	Jun 2012	The reason there is no more expansionary macro policy is a fundamental lack of trust. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Unresolvable	Tyler Cowen	Factual	Jun 2012	Cowen's NY Times column explicitly states he will not address whether state and local spending should have been cut. Tyler Cowen · Factual · Jun 2012	Their own work or organisation
Mostly true	Tyler Cowen	Factual	Jun 2012	Cowen has repeatedly argued in various forums that the US is spending and borrowing too much. Tyler Cowen · Factual · Jun 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Tyler Cowen	Not checkable	Jun 2012	It’s not an easy problem to fix, but the place to start is by recognizing it. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable	Tyler Cowen	Not checkable	Jun 2012	My main point is simply how little policymakers can do, compared to the expectations (and demands) of many. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · Jun 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	KEPLER THE WORLD’SFASTEST, MOST EFFICIENT HPC ACCELERATOR Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	“PC as anAPP” Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	The Science ofGTC ADAPTIVE RADIOTHERAPY DENDRITE SIMULATION COLLECTIVE BEHAVIOR COMBUSTION EFFICIENCY AIR TRAFFIC MODELING SEISMIC… Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	Gaikai powered by GeForce GRID Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Unresolvable	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	CUDA had been downloaded 1.5 million times by 2012, up from 150K in 2008. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	Technology
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	Virtualized GPU Low-Latency Remote Display Super Energy-Efficient Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	NVIDIA VGX GPU-AcceleratedVDI Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	Dynamic Parallelism Toocoarse Too fine Adaptive Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	NVIDIA Cloud GPUEcosystem Enterprise VDI Cloud Gaming Service Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Mixed	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	Kepler is the world's first GPU for cloud computing. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	The Tesla K20 offers 3x double precision performance (baseline not stated). Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	AI compute, hardware and data
Delivered on time	Jensen Huang	Promise	May 2012	NVIDIA will make the Tesla K20 available in Q4 2012. Jensen Huang · Promise · May 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jensen Huang	Not checkable	May 2012	“BYOD” Windows PCsTablets and Smartphones Macs Jensen Huang · Not checkable · May 2012
Resolved true	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	With Hyper-Q, Kepler supports 32 concurrent work queues versus one on Fermi. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	NVIDIA's Kepler SMX delivers three times the energy-efficient performance of the Fermi SM. Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	AI compute, hardware and data
Mostly true	Jensen Huang	Factual	May 2012	The Tesla K10 offers 3x single precision performance and 1.8x memory bandwidth (the slide does not state the baseline for comparison). Jensen Huang · Factual · May 2012	AI compute, hardware and data
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	In the heat of the battle, his memory of longer-term performance and job descriptions fades, Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	the extra risk, I believe, is career risk, or benchmark risk, not real risk. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	But Keynes knew, as I know, that in a 1999-type frenzy it would be all too easy to imagine someone at the client end looking down the… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	In his 1998-1999 survey, over 99% of about 1100 analysts and portfolio managers believed there would be a major bear market, with only 7 voting that the P/E would not go back to 17. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	It is simple to see what is necessary, but not easy to be willing or able to do it. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's benchmark-free allocation strategy would have been badly beaten by aggressive portfolios during the 2000 tech bubble. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy did very well over the past decade because its big asset class bets won. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's 1999 exhibit showed imputed real returns from its 10-year forecasts of 5% to 6% for its strategy versus 2.2% for the S&P 500. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	It is a reasonable, although short-term, measure of the chance of real loss of money. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy is now available on a stand-alone basis, having been part of GMO's real return strategy for the past 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	We have tried to improve the odds by branding the strategy as benchmark-free. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	Keynes had not seen markets as irrational as the U.S. in 2000 or Japan in 1989, in person or in history books. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	My excuse is that of all of the investment issues close to my heart, this one – career risk – is in my opinion the most important. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	The Sharpe Ratio is a measure of how many units of price volatility an investor has received in the past per unit of return. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	I believe the concept of the Sharpe Ratio is one of the few aspects of “modern portfolio management” that is useful at the level of a… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Thus, because asset class selection packs a more deadly punch in the career and business risk game, the great investment opportunities are… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	Over the last 10 years GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy delivered 1.7 times the yearly return of the Global Asset Allocation Strategy with 10% less volatility. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Well, an accurate answer is that it may not. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy returned 5.4% net of fees with volatility of ±9.2% a year, 20% less than its benchmark. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Mostly true	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	Robert Shiller's "fair value" series assumed perfect foresight of all future dividends. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Yet the market often trades as if all value lies within the next 5 years, and sometimes 5 months. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	Grantham said that his firm's not following the crowd in the late-1990s market, when P/E ratios reached 33 times in early 1999, was uncomfortably beyond the tolerance of about 40% of its clients. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	The U.S. growth and technology bubble of 2000 was by far the biggest market outlier event in U.S. market history. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	you did not lose business, you were being too timid in general Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	The views expressed are the views of Jeremy Grantham through the period ending April 18, 2012, and are subject to change at any time based… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	For us agents, he might better have said “The market can stay irrational longer than the client can stay patient.” Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Promise	Apr 2012	Ben Inker, leader of GMO's asset allocation group, will take up the role of covering the broad investment outlook in the quarterly letters. Jeremy Grantham · Promise · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable	Jeremy Grantham	Prediction	Apr 2012	Career risk and the resulting herding are likely to always dominate investing. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2012	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy has a Sharpe Ratio of 1.1 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	It is the classic failing of value managers (and poker players for that matter) to get impatient and bet too hard too soon. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	My attitude toward work has always been to delegate early and often. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	This obviously makes it commercially dangerous to offer a strategy that can be caught out twice as badly as an existing strategy Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	In his 1998-1999 survey of about 1100 equity professionals, every respondent agreed that S&P P/E falling from 28-35 to 17 would guarantee a major bear market. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	but in real life it has been used to a negligible degree. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Real risk is the risk of a permanent loss of capital as my colleague James Montier likes to call it. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	The benchmark for the Global Asset Allocation Strategy is considered to have had a Sharpe Ratio under 0.25 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Managing Sharpe Ratios at the portfolio level has been Portfolio Management 101 for most of my investment career, Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	It explains the discrepancy between a remarkably volatile stock market and a remarkably stable GDP growth, together with an equally stable… Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Own records only	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's asset allocation brainstorming team grew from 4 to 25 members over the five years to April 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	The cardinal rule is to not underperform in bear markets. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Mostly true	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's calls on the Japan 65 P/E market and the 2000 U.S. tech bubble were 2 to 3 years early. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	and they only matter because of the pain that accompanies them. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	Picking cash or “conservatism” against a roaring bull market probably lies beyond the pain threshold of any publicly traded enterprise. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy has had a Sharpe Ratio of 0.6 over the last 10 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Own records only	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	GMO's allocation process has always depended on Ben Inker's portfolio management skills, particularly sizing and risk control. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation
Mostly true	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	Keynes explained that to keep your job you must never, ever be wrong on your own. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	We, perhaps fondly, hope that our surviving and eventually winning previous tests might be remembered. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not checkable	Jeremy Grantham	Not checkable	Apr 2012	I believe that clients’ enthusiasm for all long-only investment products has been geared almost entirely to the “raw” return. Jeremy Grantham · Not checkable · Apr 2012
Not researched	Jeremy Grantham	Factual	Apr 2012	In 2008 GMO's Global Asset Allocation Strategy outperformed its benchmark by 6.9% net of fees. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012	Their own work or organisation

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Jeremy Grantham

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Factual Their own work or organisation

“for the last 10 years the Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy has delivered 1.7 times the yearly return of Global Asset Allocation Strategy with 10% less volatility.”

Jeremy Grantham, GMO co-founder, letter author April 2012 My Sister's Pension Assets and Agency Problems (GMO)

Over the last 10 years GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy delivered 1.7 times the yearly return of the Global Asset Allocation Strategy with 10% less volatility.

Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Cite this claim

Jeremy Grantham, “Over the last 10 years GMO's Benchmark-Free Allocation Strategy delivered 1.7 times the yearly return of the Global Asset Allocation Strategy with 10% less volatility.” (said April 2012). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_35dcecc2db0d, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_35dcecc2db0d

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