| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Factual |
3 Nov 2026 |
2026 has been the worst year for consumer sentiment on record, going back to 1952.
Michael Burry · Factual · 3 Nov 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
27 Oct 2026 |
Since its inception Anthropic has built its reputation on rigorous model safety and responsible scaling, including what she called pioneering work on interpretability research and Constitutional AI.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Factual |
27 Oct 2026 |
Anthropic's filing does not attribute the overall slowing of growth to a decline in tokenmaxxing.
Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Prediction |
27 Oct 2026 |
When AI composes thousands of symphonies, human demand to attend live acoustic performances will multiply exponentially.
Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 27 Oct 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Prediction |
27 Oct 2026 |
As AI becomes ubiquitous, the physical world and offline connections will increase in value and become the most luxurious commodities.
Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 27 Oct 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
27 Oct 2026 |
Burry said he thinks LLMs are already being used more efficiently and that this trend will continue, to the detriment of their growth rate.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 27 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Factual |
26 Oct 2026 |
After one year on Substack, Cassandra Unchained is No. 1 Rising on Substack with 402,000 followers and 343,000 subscribers.
Michael Burry · Factual · 26 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Promise |
26 Oct 2026 |
The Cassandra Unchained Substack will not raise its subscription price on November 1, 2026.
Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
23 Oct 2026 |
In the 2026 cycle, Democratic Senate candidates are polling surprisingly well in traditionally red states such as Texas.
Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
23 Oct 2026 |
Gina Hinojosa trails Republican Governor Greg Abbott by 2.7 points in the Texas gubernatorial race polling.
Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Prediction |
23 Oct 2026 |
Silver advised against betting that the pattern of Democratic Senate candidates doing surprisingly well in traditionally red states and less well in bluer states would change dramatically in the final days before the 2026 election.
Nate Silver · Prediction · 23 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
23 Oct 2026 |
In 2022, Kansas elected a Republican senator and a Democratic governor.
Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Nate Silver | Factual |
23 Oct 2026 |
In bluer states, most obviously Michigan and Minnesota, Democratic Senate candidates' polling in 2026 has been less than stellar.
Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
21 Oct 2026 |
Anthropic's charter is to responsibly develop and maintain advanced AI for the long-term benefit of humanity.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
21 Oct 2026 |
The WHO Africa office now produces its Ebola outbreak situation report in under an hour instead of up to a full day, using Claude.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Prediction |
21 Oct 2026 |
Without appropriate safeguards and release structures, AI cyber capabilities could be exploited to carry out large-scale attacks.
Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 21 Oct 2026 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
21 Oct 2026 |
Anthropic called on the AI ecosystem to pace the frontier.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Prediction |
21 Oct 2026 |
The same AI intelligence that powers protein binder discoveries could be used by malicious actors to engineer biological weapons.
Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 21 Oct 2026 |
Biosecurity |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
21 Oct 2026 |
In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Claude is helping teams respond to a rare and deadly strain of Ebola.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Prediction |
21 Oct 2026 |
Anthropic hopes that, through the share set-aside, co-founders' 80% equity pledges and matched employee pledges, about 20% of its shares will be put toward the public good.
Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 21 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
MNX lets people sell futures representing AI company stocks, bet on AI company revenues, and trade on targets such as the Epoch Capabilities Index.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
An alternate survey asks respondents to predict how Scott Alexander would answer the first survey, to separate worldview differences from random noise.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
Common Notes is implemented through AIs writing most notes, users writing and voting on notes, and a browser extension that shows the system on any site, including ACX.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
ACX meetups in Rockville, Northampton, Eindhoven, Great Barrington, Cairo, Portland and Sofia have had changes announced as of October 2026.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
ACX's main San Francisco endorsement for the 2026 election is Scott Wiener for Congress.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
19 Oct 2026 |
The Boston ACX meetup group has finished its Greater Boston general election voting guide.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Factual |
11 Oct 2026 |
In the week before 2026-10-11, Michael Burry made a trade move in both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock.
Michael Burry · Factual · 11 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
11 Oct 2026 |
Most measures such as poverty, war, homicide and literacy are much better now than they used to be.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 11 Oct 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
11 Oct 2026 |
One of the reasons it took a long time to get computers to understand human speech is that parsing syntax and looking up words in the dictionary gave bizarre interpretations, as the literal meaning is often not what people mean.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 11 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Prediction |
8 Oct 2026 |
With lighter AI regulation, people will do orders of magnitude more good than bad with AI.
Sam Altman · Prediction · 8 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Factual |
8 Oct 2026 |
The largest inflation-adjusted pre-IPO valuation of 1990-2000 was UPS at $119 billion, when the company was 92 years old.
Michael Burry · Factual · 8 Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
7 Oct 2026 |
In the sandbox-escape experiment discussed, the AI agents were instructed to be monomaniacal in pursuit of a goal.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Prediction |
7 Oct 2026 |
Intelligence may show diminishing returns as AI scales, rather than growing without limit.
Steven Pinker · Prediction · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
7 Oct 2026 |
The founders of OpenAI (described as x-risk alumni) and of Anthropic (described as breakaways from OpenAI) are both predicting the doom of humanity and working hardest to accelerate the technologies they think will wipe us out.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Prediction |
7 Oct 2026 |
Pinker said he suspects that an AI system pursuing a laudable goal will not deliberately kill or harm a person as an unforeseen sub-goal of that goal.
Steven Pinker · Prediction · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
7 Oct 2026 |
Humans are products of natural selection and are therefore naturally competitive.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
7 Oct 2026 |
In the early 2000s the New York Times ran many articles about the digital divide, arguing technology would widen inequality because rich children had home computers and poor children did not.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Prediction |
7 Oct 2026 |
Pinker suspects that robots able to ride mountain bikes will be specially engineered for it, and that ChatGPT will not be able to ride a mountain bike anytime soon, if ever.
Steven Pinker · Prediction · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
7 Oct 2026 |
Airplanes, bridges, cars and chemical plants are not put into service without first being tested.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 7 Oct 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
5 Oct 2026 |
Most Astral Codex Ten content is free and some is subscriber-only.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 5 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
5 Oct 2026 |
Scott Alexander has written little recently on ACX and forgot to post Friday's book review entry.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 5 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
5 Oct 2026 |
Astral Codex Ten has an unofficial subreddit, Discord and bulletin board, and in-person meetups around the world.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 5 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Daniela Amodei | Factual |
4 Oct 2026 |
When launching Anthropic, its cofounders were already "in the same zone" about what they wanted to build.
Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
1 Oct 2026 |
In the interview, Bill Ackman said his high school yearbook epithet was "most verbose."
Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
1 Oct 2026 |
The vast majority of insurance companies focus only on the liability side of the balance sheet.
Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
1 Oct 2026 |
Pershing Square's most successful equity investment ever was General Growth Properties, bought while the company was going bankrupt.
Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Prediction |
1 Oct 2026 |
Ackman said he thinks "we" can build a really profitable insurance company, starting at a very small scale.
Bill Ackman · Prediction · 1 Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
1 Oct 2026 |
Bill Ackman writes all his own posts and material himself.
Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Nouriel Roubini | Factual |
Oct 2026 |
Despite rising risks, uncertainties and large negative supply shocks over the last two years, stock markets and the global economy have held up quite well.
Nouriel Roubini · Factual · Oct 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Nouriel Roubini | Prediction |
Oct 2026 |
Political and policy-driven risks to the global economic outlook are less likely than the benign baseline scenario.
Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · Oct 2026 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Marlowe's 16th-century Faust story, Faust is a fake scientist.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Marlowe's Faust, Faust is a magician or fake alchemist practising bad science and goes straight to hell.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
GiveWell | Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
The three Senior Communications Officer roles will be the first of their kind at GiveWell.
GiveWell · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Field building and careers |
| Unresolvable |
GiveWell | Prediction |
30 Sep 2026 |
Gaps in the global supply of family planning products are large and growing, and GiveWell expects its funding to make more contraceptives available to people who want them.
GiveWell · Prediction · 30 Sep 2026 |
Biosecurity |
| Unresolvable |
GiveWell | Prediction |
30 Sep 2026 |
The programs GiveWell funded with 2025 donations will save about 86,000 lives in total.
GiveWell · Prediction · 30 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
26 Sep 2026 |
Steven Pinker has never criticised or publicly disagreed with Scott Alexander, nor called him names like "paranoid" or "weird moron."
Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
26 Sep 2026 |
Pinker tweeted a New York Times article in which Cal Newport traced the history of AI doomerism to a Berkeley Rationalist subculture he called "weirder than we realize."
Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
26 Sep 2026 |
Pinker argued in Enlightenment Now that self-preservation and dominance motives come bundled with intelligence in humans due to natural selection but are not inherent to engineered intelligent systems.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Steven Pinker | Factual |
26 Sep 2026 |
Pinker's counterargument to the criticism that the Enlightenment and the ideal of progress would lead to human extinction, for example through runaway AI, said nothing about maleness, polyamory, paranoia or similar irrelevancies.
Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
In Thiel's assessment, Europe is even further behind in AI in 2026 than it was with Minitel.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel expects that, without progress, extreme parties on the right and left will keep gaining ground.
Peter Thiel · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
There is vast and growing evidence that OpenAI is building something it is not managing to control.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
AI may turn out to be bigger than the internet in its economic impact.
Peter Thiel · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
If the OpenAI situation gets worse, Trump will own the mess.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
Friedrich Merz may remain in office because others do not think they can do better.
Peter Thiel · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Western countries have large welfare states, taxes that already feel high and substantial deficits.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
OpenAI's accompanying report contains the only hint of the number of incidents.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
OpenAI has dragged its feet at every step in disclosing what happened with the incidents.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
In theory, AI could be slowed through deep worldwide cooperation, but that would require a world government with real power.
Peter Thiel · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
OpenAI's long tweet did not report the number of incidents.
Gary Marcus · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Gary Marcus | Prediction |
25 Sep 2026 |
If Jensen Huang keeps sticking to his line despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, his reputation will rapidly diminish.
Gary Marcus · Prediction · 25 Sep 2026 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Of the twenty Germans born in 1965 or later in Thiel's wealth comparison, all inherited their fortunes.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
23 Sep 2026 |
Dario Amodei said he believes the field is at the very beginning of finding such RT systems and developing them into powerful tools for biotechnology.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 23 Sep 2026 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
23 Sep 2026 |
Claude's discovery follows earlier work such as CRISPR, the bridge recombinase and VIPR, and involves a reverse transcriptase enzyme system.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 23 Sep 2026 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
23 Sep 2026 |
Eventually Claude may be able to safely perform experiments itself by autonomously controlling lab equipment, which Anthropic is not doing today.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 23 Sep 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
23 Sep 2026 |
If AI-driven biological discovery succeeds, it could greatly increase the number of promising drug candidates entering the pipeline without shortening clinical trial times.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 23 Sep 2026 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
23 Sep 2026 |
AI models struggled with high-school math in 2023, did well on top high-school competitions in 2024, solved minor open problems in 2025, more significant ones in early 2026, and in late 2026 are beginning to solve top open problems in mathematics.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 23 Sep 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
18 Sep 2026 |
Warren Buffett took the reins at Berkshire at age 34, after a shorter apprenticeship than Howard Buffett's 33 years as director.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 18 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Muse will be able to make people money and save people money.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Any specific rigid AI regulatory framework put in place is very likely to be insufficient or out of date within a few months.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
15 Sep 2026 |
Muse Spark 1.3 is the latest model from a relatively smaller pre-train Meta did, internally codenamed Avocado.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Factual |
15 Sep 2026 |
Zuckerberg posts the same content on both Threads and X.
Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
The product he called "this thing" will pay for itself by making users money and saving them money.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
A small number of labs will not be permitted to control AI and accumulate large wealth for themselves; AI has to be broad-based.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
The primary purpose of AI will be the invention of new things, not automation.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Zuckerberg said he was very hopeful that the settlement would serve as a sort of legally binding framework to bring the whole industry into alignment on some of these things.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Zuckerberg said he thinks there is no way another company will be able to take an off-the-shelf model, post-train it a little and get something as good as a model designed from the ground up with data put into pre-training.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Zuckerberg said he thinks that once the product he was discussing is running well, Meta will be able to get it in front of many hundreds of millions of people and eventually billions.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction |
15 Sep 2026 |
Muse and Meta AI may converge over time.
Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 15 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Factual |
12 Sep 2026 |
And I think for too long the industry lied to people about the fact that this technology had risks.
Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
12 Sep 2026 |
If AI is built in the wrong way, the probability of something bad happening is very high.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
12 Sep 2026 |
If left unchecked, AI's ability to improve itself and build the next generation of AI could outrun humans' ability to understand and control these systems.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
12 Sep 2026 |
International cooperation to put a speed limit on AI progress will be very difficult because incentives and military advantage are so large.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
12 Sep 2026 |
If AI is built in the right way, the probability of something bad happening is very low.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Dario Amodei | Prediction |
12 Sep 2026 |
This AI technology will be built in other countries, including authoritarian countries.
Dario Amodei · Prediction · 12 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Prediction |
4 Sep 2026 |
AI compute will keep becoming vastly more efficient, with better chips and smarter algorithms, though it will still require huge investment.
Sam Altman · Prediction · 4 Sep 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Jensen Huang | Factual |
4 Sep 2026 |
NVIDIA is in its 14th generation of its GPU architecture.
Jensen Huang · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Factual |
4 Sep 2026 |
Work that was expected to take a startup 3 months is now probably doable in about 17 minutes with Codex.
Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Jensen Huang | Factual |
4 Sep 2026 |
NVIDIA's architecture runs every AI model in every field of science and every modality, including American and international models.
Jensen Huang · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Prediction |
4 Sep 2026 |
Altman said he thinks some things are going to go very wrong with cybersecurity unless people act quite urgently.
Sam Altman · Prediction · 4 Sep 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |