Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims · page 279 of 286

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 The capital markets' behaviour in 1999 had never been seen before. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 although I was surprised by the rapidity of consolidation, 2000 was so much healthier, a return to normalcy. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 We’ve worked together like hand and glove. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 We are in this for the long haul. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Prediction 2 Apr 2001 Amazon's early stage businesses will become profitable over time, and Amazon has already announced a target date for companywide profitability. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 In retrospect, all of that experimentation that’s been done will produce winning experiments that will be so valuable for society. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Mostly false Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon's U.S. books, music and video segment showed a $125 million operating profit in Q3 2000, its second profitable quarter. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon has greatly improved its inventory turns. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 We’re open to anything that makes sense and benefits the three parties involved-us, them and the customers. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Not checkable Jeff Bezos Not checkable 2 Apr 2001 Money was incredibly easy to raise. Jeff Bezos · Not checkable · 2 Apr 2001
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 The consumer electronics market is much bigger than the book market, which is a $28 billion industry. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Prediction 2 Apr 2001 Some e-commerce businesses will fail in 2001. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 Economics and markets
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 If we develop downloading technology to the point where the “copies” are as close to the original as the original person changes anyway in… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Relinquishing technological advancement would be economic suicide for individuals, companies, and nations. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 We assume that other humans are conscious, but that is still an assumption, Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Thus the freeing of our thinking from the severe limitations of its biological form may be regarded as an essential spiritual quest. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 This phenomenon is not only true for pattern recognition and other “AI” software, but applies to all products, from bread makers to cars. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 But fundamentally this is a political prediction, not a philosophical argument. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The future is not like the present. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 When the scientists evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then an hour would result in a… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Just because quantum technology may be feasible does not suggest that the brain is capable of it. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 So what appears to be the continuing existence of just one Ray is really the creation of new Ray and the termination of old Ray. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 This “law of accelerating returns” applies to all of technology, indeed to any true evolutionary process, and can be measured with… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The requisite hardware capacity is a necessary but not sufficient condition. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Restricting the growth rate of the economy to an arbitrary limit makes as much sense as restricting the rate at which a company can grow… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 It is remarkable therefore that these chaotic processes result in such smooth and predictable exponential trends. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Technology goes beyond mere tool making; it is a process of creating ever more powerful technology using the tools from the previous round… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 So it would at least appear that intelligence is more powerful than physics. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 In my view, it is one manifestation (among many) of the exponential growth of the evolutionary process that is technology. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 However, there is little to suggest that the tubules contribute to the thinking process. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I have always considered the science fiction notion of large space ships with large squishy creatures similar to us to be very unlikely. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 And if the product itself doesn’t exhibit some level of intelligence, then intelligence in the manufacturing and marketing methods have a… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 People often go through three stages in examining the impact of future technology Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 A disembodied mind will quickly get depressed. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Evolution, in my view, represents the purpose of life. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I think the most appropriate measure to track is computational speed per unit cost. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Ultimately, we will need to port our mental processes to a more suitable computational substrate. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 You will get $40 trillion just by reading this essay and understanding what it says. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Incidentally, this is not an argument against the SETI project, which in my view should have the highest possible priority because the… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 There is no reason to believe that biological mechanisms (including quantum computing) are inherently impossible to replicate using… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The primary force driving technology is economic imperative. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Although these estimates are conservatively high, one can find higher and lower estimates. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 once again there is nothing to suggest that the brain does quantum computing. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The Singularity results not from the exponential explosion of computation alone, but rather from the interplay and myriad synergies that… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 For one thing, old biological Ray (that’s me) still exists. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 And the primary reason for this failure is that they are based on the intuitive but short sighted linear view of history. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 My view is that despite our profound limitations of thought, constrained as we are today to a mere hundred trillion interneuronal… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 However, in my view, this nonbiological intelligence should still be considered human as it is fully derivative of the human-machine… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 No one would suggest we do away with computers, local area networks, and the Internet because of software viruses. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Fundamentally, we cannot penetrate the subjective experience of another entity with direct objective measurement. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 This, in my view, is neither desirable nor feasible, and the futility of such a position is only underscored by the senselessness of… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Thus the (double) exponential growth of computing is broader than Moore’s Law, which refers to only one of its paradigms. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 With this approach, we don’t have to copy every single connection. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Scaling up technical processes at an exponential pace is what technology is good at. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The Singularity then is not a grave danger to be avoided. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 We would have to repeal capitalism and every visage of economic competition to stop this progression. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Any civilization sophisticated enough to make the trip here would have long since passed the point of merging with their technology and… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 In a competitive environment, it is an economic imperative to go down these roads. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 There exists no objective test that can conclusively determine its presence. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Achieving the computational capacity of the human brain, or even villages and nations of human brains will not automatically produce human… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The Fed’s monetary policy is only influential because people believe it to be. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I emphasize this point because it is the most important failure that would-be prognosticators make in considering future trends. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Now having thought about its implications for the past 20 years, I feel that we are indeed capable of understanding the many facets of this… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 This argues that we should not associate our fundamental identity with a specific set of particles, but rather the pattern of matter and… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 From my perspective, the Singularity has many faces. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The current high interest rates fostered by the Federal Reserve Bank are destructive, are causing trillions of dollars of lost wealth, are… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 the essence of consciousness is subjective experience, not objective correlates of that experience. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I do feel that relinquishment at the right level is part of a responsible and constructive response to these genuine perils. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Most forecasts of the future seem to ignore the revolutionary impact of the Singularity in our human destiny Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 One year would be like a millennium. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Intelligent machines have enormous value. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 In accordance with the law of accelerating returns, paradigm shift, also called innovation, turns the S curve of any specific paradigm into… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Virtually all of the economic models taught in economics classes, used by the Federal Reserve Board to set monetary policy, by Government… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 Biological quantum computing mechanisms, if they exist, could be replicated. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I would nonetheless conclude that he’s not me, because I’m still here. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 There is no reason why we cannot reverse engineer the human brain, and essentially copy its design. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 I believe he is correct on the deeply entangled nature of the benefits and risks. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 There is no need for high interest rates to counter an inflation that doesn’t exist. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 On the other hand, how many people in the year 2000 would really want to go back to the short, brutish, disease-filled, poverty-stricken… Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 This is why we are not seeing inflation. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 the very nature of objectivity is that you cannot measure subjective experience-you can only measure correlates of it, such as behavior Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 The exponential growth of computing is a marvelous quantitative example of the exponentially growing returns from an evolutionary process. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 However, even much higher (or lower) estimates by orders of magnitude only shift the prediction by a relatively small number of years. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 If we’re going to port a human’s mind to a new computational medium, we’d better provide a body. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Not checkable Ray Kurzweil Not checkable 7 Mar 2001 There is a vital economic imperative to create more intelligent technology. Ray Kurzweil · Not checkable · 7 Mar 2001
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 Berkshire's practice of keeping most shoe production in domestic factories has cost its shoe businesses heavily. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 That does not take away from the fact that State Farm is one of America�s greatest business stories. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 What actually occurs in these cases is wealth transfer, often on a massive scale. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 Our acquisition technique at Berkshire is simplicity itself: We answer the phone. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 Buffett said the annual meeting was moved to the Civic Auditorium the previous year (2000) and that it worked very well. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2001 Over time GEICO will inevitably increase its market share significantly while achieving excellent profits, thanks to its low-cost advantage. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 At bottom, the "business model" for these companies has been the old-fashioned chain letter, for which many fee-hungry investment bankers… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 We try, therefore, to keep our estimates conservative and to focus on industries where business surprises are unlikely to wreak havoc on… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 GEICO's policyholder growth slowed to a halt as 2000 progressed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 At the 2000 Berkshire meeting weekend baseball game, it took Buffett five pitches to throw anything resembling a strike. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 Warren Buffett entered Ben Graham's class at Columbia in 1951, 50 years before the letter. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 An insurance business has value if its cost of float over time is less than the cost the company would otherwise incur to obtain funds. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 28 Feb 2001 Using precise numbers is, in fact, foolish; working with a range of possibilities is the better approach. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2001
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 It has become much more expensive for GEICO to obtain new business. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 In its look-through earnings table, Berkshire's operating earnings exclude purchase-accounting adjustments, capital gains and other major non-recurring items. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Economics and markets
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Ray Kurzweil

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Not checkable

“When the scientists evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then an hour would result in a century of progress (in today’s terms).”

Ray Kurzweil 7 March 2001 The Law of Accelerating Returns (Kurzweil Library)

When the scientists evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then an hour would result in a…

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “When the scientists evolve to be a million times more intelligent and operate a million times faster, then an hour would result in a…” (said 7 March 2001). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_2e0fe7f4ed3d, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2e0fe7f4ed3d

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.