28,548 claims · page 2 of 286
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | For the benefit of humanity, the markets should tank hard and prevent the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs Michael Burry · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | AI handles information with superhuman efficiency; humans bring warmth and medicine to save lives. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | Longstanding education and societal evaluation have alienated people into benchmark-runners: if you memorize well, calculate fast, and… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | I completely comprehend why so many feel disoriented or frightened. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | This isn't solving loneliness; it's manufacturing deeper societal pathology through cheap algorithmic opiates. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | But pulling intellect off its pedestal is far from a death knell for humanity; it is a grand liberation. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | The ultimate objective is to liberate humans from grueling memorization and repetitive drudgery, allowing us to instead dedicate ourselves… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Mostly false | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 27 Oct 2026 | Daniela Amodei said the decision to keep ads out of Claude was an immovable baseline established from day one. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Prediction | 27 Oct 2026 | Burry said he thinks LLMs are already being used more efficiently and that this trend will continue, to the detriment of their growth rate. Michael Burry · Prediction · 27 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | The core lies in why you build a system, whether it genuinely alleviates real-world suffering, and what empathy or moral responsibility it… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | Performing Mozart doesn't directly boost sales or yield immediate financial ROI; it exists to create beauty transcending daily utility and… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | But I believe there's a critical deviation in the current industry and public discourse: everyone is fixating exclusively on the machines… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | Classical music profoundly shaped who I am today. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | AI is a thousand times more private than search engines or feeds. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Mixed | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Oct 2026 | At the end of Q2 and during Q3 the developer landscape changed substantially, and Anthropic's prospectus does not reflect this. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | Yet these tasks lack genuine human luminosity. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | delegate mechanical information handling to AI, and allow humans to devote their full mental energy to cultivating the wisdom of living. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | There is a lot here but nothing that changes my view Michael Burry · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | But the flute taught me something even more crucial: devotion to non-utilitarian beauty. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | That would be a complete betrayal of human trust. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Oct 2026 | Michael Burry has never said that LLMs would stop improving. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | But our efforts were never meant to cordon humanity away; they aim to provide safe, controllable, and trustworthy cognitive levers. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 27 Oct 2026 | If this technological evolution merely renders machines omnipotent while human cognition, mindset, and spirit stagnate or regress, that is… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 27 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 26 Oct 2026 | To receive new Feature Articles, Trading Posts, Foundations Pieces, History Rhymes, Short Thoughts, and other articles, and to partiipate… Michael Burry · Not checkable · 26 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 26 Oct 2026 | After one year on Substack, Cassandra Unchained is No. 1 Rising on Substack with 402,000 followers and 343,000 subscribers. Michael Burry · Factual · 26 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Michael Burry | Promise | 26 Oct 2026 | Michael Burry will not change Cassandra Unchained pricing from $49/month and $479/year. Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 26 Oct 2026 | The picture is of a market with an increasingly powerful mechanical bid underneath it. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 26 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Promise | 26 Oct 2026 | The Cassandra Unchained Substack will not raise its subscription price on November 1, 2026. Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Michael Burry | Promise | 26 Oct 2026 | Subscribers to Cassandra Unchained keep their original rate and plan for the lifetime of their subscription and can renew continuously at that initial rate. Michael Burry · Promise · 26 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 26 Oct 2026 | Thank you all for your feedback. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 26 Oct 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Michael Burry | Factual | 24 Oct 2026 | Across 982 S&P 500 record closes since 1980, October 6, 2026 and March 2000 are the two most narrow, thin, soft new highs by almost any measure. Michael Burry · Factual · 24 Oct 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 24 Oct 2026 | It is striking. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 24 Oct 2026 | |
| Not yet due | Nate Silver | Prediction | 23 Oct 2026 | The 2026 elections will almost certainly include states with Senate and gubernatorial results splitting by party, similar to Vermont and Kansas in 2022. Nate Silver · Prediction · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | In the 2026 cycle, Democratic Senate candidates are polling surprisingly well in traditionally red states such as Texas. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Own records only | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | Most of the remaining uncertainty in the FLIPR forecast comes from potential polling error rather than late shifts in polls. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | Gina Hinojosa trails Republican Governor Greg Abbott by 2.7 points in the Texas gubernatorial race polling. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Citation | 23 Oct 2026 | According to DDHQ, the median margin gap between Senate and gubernatorial contests in 1990 was about 25 points. Nate Silver · Citation · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | Burry suggested that one “be thankful for and to all” and “be charitable.” Michael Burry · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | “Art in the eye of the beholder is cheap” was another piece of advice shared by Burry. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | Politics is increasingly nationalized Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Prediction | 23 Oct 2026 | Silver advised against betting that the pattern of Democratic Senate candidates doing surprisingly well in traditionally red states and less well in bluer states would change dramatically in the final days before the 2026 election. Nate Silver · Prediction · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | But in gubernatorial races, that story is less clean-cut. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | That’s not exactly surprising. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | Split-ticket voting between Senate and gubernatorial races in US states has become less common over time. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Citation | 23 Oct 2026 | According to DDHQ data, the median margin gap between major statewide contests in 2014 was about 13 points. Nate Silver · Citation · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | FLIPR's topline forecast has not moved much since the beginning of October 2026, owing to stable polling and fewer new polls than in past cycles. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | In 2022, Kansas elected a Republican senator and a Democratic governor. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | He also suggested “manifest[ing] the power of compounding” and advised: “Never gamble.” Michael Burry · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | In 2022, Republican Phil Scott won Vermont's gubernatorial race by 47 points while Democrat Peter Welch won the Vermont Senate race by 40 points. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | In bluer states, most obviously Michigan and Minnesota, Democratic Senate candidates' polling in 2026 has been less than stellar. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by 2.4 points in the Silver Bulletin Texas Senate polling average. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | it’s getting more difficult to be a blue-state Republican or red-state Democrat. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | let’s go through the races where FLIPR expects the most ticket splitting. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | Burry also advised, “Buy half the house you can afford” Michael Burry · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not yet due | Nate Silver | Prediction | 23 Oct 2026 | FLIPR projects the median margin gap between statewide contests in 2026 will be about six points. Nate Silver · Prediction · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Factual | 23 Oct 2026 | Jocelyn Benson's lead in Michigan gubernatorial polls is about 4.2 points larger than Abdul El-Sayed's lead in the Michigan Senate polls. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Michael Burry | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | The first was to “never stop exercising or learning”; the second was to “accept compromise [in order] to begin relationships.” Michael Burry · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | But those are the polls. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Citation | 23 Oct 2026 | According to DDHQ data, the median margin gap between major statewide contests in 2022 was eight points. Nate Silver · Citation · 23 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | the national median can hide some big splits within individual states. Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | It wouldn’t be unreasonable to suggest those gaps reflect differences in candidate quality Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Nate Silver | Not checkable | 23 Oct 2026 | it’s easier for gubernatorial candidates to buck a state’s partisan trends than it is for their Senate counterparts Nate Silver · Not checkable · 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic's charter is to responsibly develop and maintain advanced AI for the long-term benefit of humanity. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | AI is a dual-use technology. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | For these reasons, Anthropic has a duty to ensure our models are robustly safe and aligned with human values and goals. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | There is no sure or simple path to progress, and the best outcomes are not pre ordained. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | The dashboards showed more than 6,000 women came for prenatal care but only 1,762 delivered with a healthcare worker present. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | In laboratory work, Anthropic's Claude designed new protein binders from scratch. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | As AI grows more capable, the limit will be less what it can do than what we think to ask of it. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | The WHO Africa office now produces its Ebola outbreak situation report in under an hour instead of up to a full day, using Claude. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 21 Oct 2026 | A transcript with video and audio of the entire 2026 Microsoft Annual Meeting will be available on the Microsoft Investor Relations website after the meeting. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | A lawyer in India who feared the dense prose of Shakespeare began reading Hamlet. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Prediction | 21 Oct 2026 | Without appropriate safeguards and release structures, AI cyber capabilities could be exploited to carry out large-scale attacks. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 21 Oct 2026 | Other global risks |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 21 Oct 2026 | Microsoft's 2026 Annual Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be followed by a question and answer session. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic called on the AI ecosystem to pace the frontier. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | If not properly trained and carefully deployed, AI can be a danger in its own right. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | But in fact, they are already starting to arrive. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | We have made significant progress, but I wouldn’t expect anyone to take that on faith. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Own records only | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Vaccine experts worked with Claude to compare vaccine candidate proposals in a fraction of the previous time. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | And with AI coming closer to building its own successors, we are clear-eyed that the investment that got us this far will not be sufficient… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | In some areas, we have direct control over outcomes. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic asked 81,000 Claude users in 159 countries what they wanted from AI, and many described wanting more time for life outside work. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | So we’re putting meaningful resources behind achieving those outcomes. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not yet due | Daniela Amodei | Promise | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic will publish its public benefit report annually. Daniela Amodei · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Cyberdefenders directed Claude to find more than 33,000 critical and high-severity flaws in widely used software, including open-source code, before attackers could exploit them. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Claude-built dashboards for an International Rescue Committee team in Burkina Faso flagged a spike of 25,000 pneumonia cases. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Designing protein binders is an early step in drug design that usually takes a specialist weeks or months per target. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | Biosecurity |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | In all cases, we owe the public an honest accounting of our work. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 21 Oct 2026 | Microsoft's 2026 virtual Annual Shareholders Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be conducted and made available via webcast. Satya Nadella · Promise · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | Anthropic announced that, subject to stockholder approval, it is setting aside at least 5% of its shares to fund projects pursuing its public benefit charter. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | Today, it captures the start of one of humanity’s greatest common projects. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Prediction | 21 Oct 2026 | The same AI intelligence that powers protein binder discoveries could be used by malicious actors to engineer biological weapons. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 21 Oct 2026 | Biosecurity |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 21 Oct 2026 | In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Claude is helping teams respond to a rare and deadly strain of Ebola. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | In Germany, a software engineer built the World of Warcraft fan mod they’d been planning for a decade. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | Over time, we’ll strive to ensure this report tells a story of remarkable progress. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | In others, we’ll succeed only by partnering with people, organizations, and governments. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | There’s a tendency to describe AI’s benefits in the future tense. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | I hope we ask for a lot: longer, healthier lives; technology that deepens creativity and kinship instead of eroding them; more room for… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | This is also why we’re taking concrete steps to do so ourselves. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Daniela Amodei | Not checkable | 21 Oct 2026 | We need to align and safeguard increasingly capable models, and to define common safety standards to limit the rate of unchecked progress. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 21 Oct 2026 |
“According to DDHQ, the median gap in margin between Senate and gubernatorial contests back in 1990 was about 25 points.”
Nate Silver, author, Silver Bulletin 23 October 2026 Do these Senate-governor splits make sense? (Silver Bulletin)
According to DDHQ, the median margin gap between Senate and gubernatorial contests in 1990 was about 25 points.
Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.
Cite this claim
Nate Silver, “According to DDHQ, the median margin gap between Senate and gubernatorial contests in 1990 was about 25 points.” (said 23 October 2026). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_2ae368f21073, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2ae368f21073
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.