6,750 claims · page 44 of 68
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Prediction | 15 Jan 2020 | Understanding how proteins fold could one day help unlock treatments for a range of diseases. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 15 Jan 2020 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | The DeepMind, Google Health and Cancer Research UK breast cancer screening study was published in Nature on 2020-01-01. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | Starliner launched on December 20, 2019 and reached orbit, but due to software failures it was in the wrong orbit and lacked fuel to reach the ISS. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | During 2019 Waymo started operating what Brooks called a 'taxi service' in Chandler, Arizona, with no human driver in the vehicles. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | Neither Boeing nor SpaceX achieved crewed capsule flight in 2019, after major failures with their systems. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | A joint DeepMind, Google Health and Cancer Research UK study showed AI can spot breast cancer in screening mammograms more accurately than experts. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | On 20 April 2019 a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule exploded during a ground test. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | The December 2019 Starliner flight was meant to be the final unmanned test, planned to dock with the ISS and then soft-land on the ground. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2020 | On 1 January 2018 Rodney Brooks published predictions about self driving cars, AI and machine learning, and the space industry. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Prediction | 1 Jan 2020 | Both Boeing and SpaceX will eventually achieve crewed capsule flight. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 1 Jan 2020 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | 2020 | By the end of 2020, thousands of corporate bankruptcies will arrive into a peak of already existing corporate debt. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | The U.S. economy is currently in its worst 10% of historical conditions, perhaps even the worst 1%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | The most important drivers of the market's P/E ratio are profit margins and current inflation. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | GMO calculated that a return to the old price trend plus a typical overrun in extreme house prices would remove $10 trillion of perceived wealth from U.S. consumers and guarantee the worst recession for decades. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | The S&P is in the top 10% of historical P/E ratios on prior earnings while the U.S. economy is in the worst 10% of economic situations, arguably the worst 1%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | 2020 | Grantham's bet was that over the next few quarters from 2020, earnings and profit margins would be crushed. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | The model's forecast of future fair P/E 10 assumes market profitability drops 30% and inflation and GDP volatility rise to 2008-like levels. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly false | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | 2020 | During the depressed earnings phase, market P/E ratios will be pulled down, giving a lower multiple of substantially lower earnings. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | 2020 | It is nearly certain that a V-shaped economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis looks like a lost hope. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | In Grantham's opinion, the U.S. trend GDP growth rate has fallen from over 3% a year to at best 1.5%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Prediction | 2020 | U.S. unemployment will reach up to 20% for at least a moment. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 2020 | Grantham has been spending twice his usual total research time on the interactions between the virus, the economy and markets. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 31 Dec 2019 | Virtual reality will be Facebook's next big act. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 31 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Mostly false | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 31 Dec 2019 | Roughly two years of monetizing WhatsApp at Facebook's ARPU would yield about $19B in revenue, the amount Facebook paid for WhatsApp. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 31 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Nassim Taleb | Promise | 31 Dec 2019 | Taleb is running Twitter symposia on topics in Principia Politica and will integrate the comments into the text. Nassim Taleb · Promise · 31 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 30 Dec 2019 | A Minsky Moment (financial crisis) is unlikely in China; instead its growth will slow steadily. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 30 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 30 Dec 2019 | Taleb's lecture "From Ponzi to Localism" angered, among others, Riad Salameh and Lebanese bankers. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 30 Dec 2019 | In 2019 Taleb gave a lecture in Lebanese, "From Ponzi to Localism", at USJ, broadcast on Lebanese TV during the riots. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 30 Dec 2019 | Startup cities will be a major trend of the 2020s. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 30 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 29 Dec 2019 | It is almost always different people who are getting richer, owing to rotation at the top of the wealth distribution. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 29 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Nassim Taleb | Prediction | 29 Dec 2019 | The probability that any of the books shown in the linked post, except perhaps Dalrymple's and Murakami's, will survive a decade is very small. Nassim Taleb · Prediction · 29 Dec 2019 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 29 Dec 2019 | Subscription-funded media will increase polarization more than ad-supported media does. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 29 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 29 Dec 2019 | The richest 1% of people in 2019 are not quite the same individuals as the richest 1% of 2009. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 29 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 28 Dec 2019 | Taleb has written five articles for the New York Times in the past, under pressure from the publisher. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 28 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 28 Dec 2019 | Private property will become private keys, i.e. ownership will be held via cryptographic keys. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 28 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 27 Dec 2019 | Pinker took on an assignment from the Financial Times to write about what to expect from the 2020s for its end-of-year issue. Steven Pinker · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 27 Dec 2019 | Virtual reality will allow people to opt out of modern society and return to previous time periods. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 27 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 27 Dec 2019 | The latest issue of CIRSD's Horizons magazine includes Roubini's article "The Specter of Deglobalization and the Thucydides Trap". Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 26 Dec 2019 | The Oculus Quest VR headset has been a sleeper hit commercially. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 26 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Mostly false | Steven Pinker | Factual | 26 Dec 2019 | Enlightenment ideals are rising in the Islamic world, riding a six-decade global wave of liberal values documented by the World Values Survey. Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Dec 2019 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Prediction | 26 Dec 2019 | Preliminary entropy-based genetic maps might change how distances between populations and rates of inbreeding are viewed. Nassim Taleb · Prediction · 26 Dec 2019 | Science and research methods |
| Mixed | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 25 Dec 2019 | During 2019 overwhelming DNA evidence emerged that Southern Levantines had DNA indistinguishable from that of Imperial Romans. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 25 Dec 2019 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 25 Dec 2019 | A website with a .eth or other crypto domain can now hold a crypto wallet as well as metadata. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 25 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 24 Dec 2019 | PostgreSQL natively indexes JSON data via the JSONB type. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 24 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 24 Dec 2019 | As advertising load rises, customer satisfaction falls. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 24 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 24 Dec 2019 | Elon Musk will get humanity to Mars. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 24 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 24 Dec 2019 | The Chinese prefer Donald Trump to be re-elected US president because he is protectionist and unilateralist. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 24 Dec 2019 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 24 Dec 2019 | Over time Trump will damage US alliances and weaken US soft and hard power, making China stronger. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 24 Dec 2019 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen said he met her (identified in the resolution criteria as the author Gail Hareven) in 2019. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen does not write notes to remind himself of things. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen emails himself reminders about one thing every three days or so and remembers the rest. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen expected China to have an excess-capacity debt crisis, and it did not happen. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen said the activity he was discussing is not an income earner. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen sends himself an email when he needs to remind himself of something. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Public health research and evidence-based harm reduction policies save tens of thousands of lives every year. Steven Pinker · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Other |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Steven Pinker wrote a guest post titled 'NIPS vs. NeurIPS' on Scott Aaronson's blog Shtetl-Optimized. Steven Pinker · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen never sends text messages. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jim Cramer | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) stock is performing better than the rest of its industry group as of 2019-12-23. Jim Cramer · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Bloomberg's first tier of readers are those who subscribe to its terminals. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Most podcasts do not offer a transcript. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Bitcoin's developments surprised Tyler Cowen multiple times. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Technology |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen has two offices, one in Arlington and one in Fairfax, and used to have three. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Steven Pinker | Prediction | 23 Dec 2019 | The world seems to have turned a corner on coal, so the high-emissions RCP8.5 climate scenario may be avoided. Steven Pinker · Prediction · 23 Dec 2019 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Jim Cramer | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Jim Cramer wrote a piece on Boeing for RealMoney, due to be published shortly after 2019-12-23. Jim Cramer · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | The text in the linked post came verbatim from Taleb's Principia Politica. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen first went to China about 30 years before 2019 and has been there many times since. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Tyler Cowen responds to all his emails right away. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Dec 2019 | Gordon Tullock dictated his writing using a tape recorder, not software, and then had someone type it out. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Steven Pinker | Factual | 22 Dec 2019 | A major theme of Pinker's two books on progress is that modernity replaces ties of clan and tribe with individual freedom and institutionalized social order. Steven Pinker · Factual · 22 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 22 Dec 2019 | Levantine Arabic is not a dialect of Classical Arabic (Fus7a), according to the works of @Safaitic and @PhDniX. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 22 Dec 2019 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 22 Dec 2019 | A video circulating in December 2019 appears to have been made with conventional video editing tools rather than neural networks, and appears fake. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 22 Dec 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Balaji Srinivasan | Prediction | 22 Dec 2019 | Good telemedicine giving 3-5 medical opinions within minutes will allow testing of inter-rater agreement among physicians using Fleiss' kappa or a similar metric. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 22 Dec 2019 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Steven Pinker | Factual | 21 Dec 2019 | Sam Mehr, first author of a music paper co-authored by Pinker, received the EHBEA New Investigator Award. Steven Pinker · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 | Field building and careers |
| Unresolvable | Steven Pinker | Factual | 21 Dec 2019 | Steven Pinker published a new photo gallery of Sweden featuring aurora borealis, frozen rivers and waterfalls, and 200-year-old preserved homes and stores. Steven Pinker · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jim Cramer | Factual | 21 Dec 2019 | Jim Cramer previously said Tesla is a buy at much lower price levels. Jim Cramer · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 21 Dec 2019 | The plural of Prius is Priuses, because names take regular plurals, as in the Childs, the Manns and the Maple Leafs. Steven Pinker · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 | Other |
| Own records only | Jim Cramer | Factual | 20 Dec 2019 | Jim Cramer owns no Eli Lilly stock. Jim Cramer · Factual · 20 Dec 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 8 Dec 2019 | As of 8 December 2019, 99.9% of cryptocurrencies have lost 99% of their value since their peak. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 8 Dec 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 27 Nov 2019 | As of 27 November 2019, Ethereum is down 90% from its peak and close to its 2018 low. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 27 Nov 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 26 Nov 2019 | As of late November 2019, Bitcoin is down 65% from its peak and the other top 10 cryptocurrencies are down 80% from their peaks. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 26 Nov 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 20 Nov 2019 | In November 2019 there is a growing disconnect between mediocre global economic growth with rising risks and frothy, exuberant financial markets. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 20 Nov 2019 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 14 Nov 2019 | Artificial general intelligence will probably not be achieved within five to 10 years of 2019. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 14 Nov 2019 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | Asked whether "they" understand the "no free lunch" point, Marcus said "about 75 percent" and "They do not yet"; the quote does not say who "they" are or what the 75 percent measures. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | Field building and careers |
| Not yet due | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 14 Nov 2019 | Gary Marcus guessed that artificial general intelligence would arrive somewhere between 20 and 100 years from 2019, maybe closer to 50, and said this was a wide confidence interval. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 14 Nov 2019 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 14 Nov 2019 | Marcus argues that AI will not proceed until the field allows some "neatness", meaning some innate structure (nativism), in its systems. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | Gary Marcus wrote a book called The Birth of the Mind about how a small number of genes builds a complex brain. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | Cyc is not an end-to-end system. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | Most of the current best AI systems fundamentally just learn contingencies rather than general abstract concepts that humans can apply quickly. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | The best-selling domestic robot of all time is still the Roomba, which does not manipulate objects. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | Technology |
| Mixed | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | AI currently lacks a way of building reusable skills. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 14 Nov 2019 | The real action in AI will be in finding theoretically sound ways of combining symbolic and deep learning traditions. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 14 Nov 2019 | AlphaGo is a hybrid system that uses deep learning for pattern recognition and Monte Carlo tree search, a symbolic operation, to search possibilities. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 6 Nov 2019 | As of November 2019, no application of blockchain, defined as a public, decentralized, permission-less, trustless ledger, works or is widely used despite billions spent on it over a decade. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 6 Nov 2019 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 17 Oct 2019 | A decade before 2019, almost all of the major internet platforms were American. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 17 Oct 2019 | Facebook is establishing an independent Oversight Board for people to appeal its content decisions. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 17 Oct 2019 | Facebook works with independent fact checkers to stop viral hoaxes from spreading. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 17 Oct 2019 | Almost half the world's population now has a voice through the internet. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 17 Oct 2019 | Facebook will appoint Oversight Board members with diverse views and backgrounds who each hold free expression as their paramount value. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 17 Oct 2019 | Laws and regulations around the world that undermine free expression and human rights are increasing. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 17 Oct 2019 | China is building its own internet focused on different values and is exporting that vision to other countries. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 | Technology |
“Published today in @Nature !”
Demis Hassabis, DeepMind CEO, on X 1 January 2020 Post by @demishassabis on X, 2020-01-01 (X)
The DeepMind, Google Health and Cancer Research UK breast cancer screening study was published in Nature on 2020-01-01.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True: Nature's record shows the DeepMind / Google Health / Cancer Research UK (with Imperial College and NHS partners) breast cancer screening AI paper (McKinney et al., 'International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening') published online on 1 January 2020. A later print issue date does not count against the claim. Mostly true: published in Nature within a day of 2020-01-01 (time-zone difference), or one listed collaborator is described slightly differently. Mixed: not applicable to a single dated event except where the venue is right and the date is materially off. Mostly false: published in Nature but online on a clearly different date. False: not published in Nature, or no such study exists.
Evidence
- International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening - Nature Nature (Springer Nature) · 1 January 2020 Own record
“McKinney, S.M., Sieniek, M., Godbole, V. et al. International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening. Nature 577, 89–94 (2020).”
- Artificial intelligence could help to spot breast cancer | Imperial News | Imperial College London Imperial College London · 1 January 2020
“The international team behind the study, which includes researchers from Google Health, DeepMind, Imperial College London, the NHS and Northwestern University in the US, designed and trained an artificial intelligence (AI) model on mammography images from almost 29,000 women.”
- Artificial intelligence could help to spot breast cancer | Imperial News | Imperial College London Imperial College London · 1 January 2020
“‘International evaluation of an artificial intelligence system to identify breast cancer in screening mammography’ by Scott Mayer McKinney et al. is published in Nature.”
- Using AI to improve breast cancer screening Google (blog.google) · 1 January 2020 Own record
“Today, we’re sharing our initial findings, which have been published in Nature.”
Reasoning
Nature's article page (E1), dated 2020-01-01, cites McKinney et al., 'International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening', Nature 577, 89–94 (2020). The online date rests on the article page's 2020-01-01 date rather than on its quoted citation, which gives only the year [E1]. Imperial College London's independent news report, also dated 2020-01-01, says the McKinney et al. paper "is published in Nature" (E3). It names Google Health, DeepMind, Imperial and the NHS in the study team (E2), and Google's same-day post says the findings were published in Nature "today" (E4). Together these support online publication in Nature on 1 January 2020. The criteria say a later print issue date does not count against the claim.
Cite this claim
Demis Hassabis, “The DeepMind, Google Health and Cancer Research UK breast cancer screening study was published in Nature on 2020-01-01.” (said 1 January 2020). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_210732426d2b, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_210732426d2b
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.