Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims · page 245 of 286

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Decent senators won tight races against climate-denier opponents in seven of eight races Grantham's side concentrated on in 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Mixed Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Hurricane Sandy helped several climate-change-denier congressmen lose their seats in the 2012 election. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Resolved true Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO is solvent and has stayed in business. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 There will be slow, steady progress, but Grantham does not think "we'll make it"; he did not say what "making it" would mean. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 The tundra and the methane clathrates under northern ocean beds are said to contain two to three times the total carbon dioxide of all hydrocarbons added together. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 The US started drilling thousands of wells over the last five years, and will never drill as many wells in a year as it did in 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO's 38 completed forecasts have beaten random all 38 times. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO has modeled momentum and value as two key variables for 33 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Of five climate-denier congressmen on a target list (the 'Flat-Earth Five'), four were defeated in the 2012 election. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 The US housing bubble was a perfect bubble that Ben Bernanke did not see. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Citation 3 Dec 2012 According to the OECD, there is no major economic theory that deals with the finiteness of resources. Jeremy Grantham · Citation · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Grantham has assumed a 0.2% boost to growth from fracking over 18 years, forecasting up to 2030. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 China grew at about 10% and, because its economy's mass has increased so rapidly, each 10% growth now represents far more units than a decade earlier. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 He says that, without any defined event, everything tripled over the period he refers to: phosphate and oil quadrupled and nickel tripled. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 The actual stock market is 19 times more volatile than the 'clairvoyant' discounted-value series based on later-known dividends and earnings. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 At its 2012 growth rate, China would take 13 years to use all the coal it reckons Australia has. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Grantham said that "we" have produced a 7-year forecast for 17 years and have completed 38 of them. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 Methane can be calculated as 100 times more potent than CO2 in the short term but breaks down faster, while CO2 persists for about 100,000 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 The growth boost from fracking will peak at about 0.5%, fairly quickly, within a forecast running to 2030. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 Because drilling activity has peaked, fracking will help economic growth less in future than it has so far. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 China accounts for 45% of the world's total use of coal and cement. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 The main economic impetus from fracking had already passed by late 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 If methane clathrates start entering the atmosphere, release might continue even if all industrial activity were stopped the next day. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 In the April 2000 issue of The Economist, GMO forecast that the NASDAQ would fall 75%; it fell 82%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO called the US housing bubble perfectly, warning loudly on the way up. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 US GDP grew about 3.4% a year for 100 years to about 1985, and two thirds of the time stayed within one standard deviation (+/-2.5%) of trend. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 Grantham said he thinks "we" will pay a very, very high price. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Steven Pinker's academic credentials are as an experimental psychologist. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Rates of violence have not fallen to zero, so there is always enough violence to fill the news, making subjective impressions diverge from statistics. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Science and research methods
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 now a new generation of social scientists just doesn’t see a strict boundary between biology on one side and social phenomenon on another. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 people traveling, or reading about other peoples at other times and places, looking into their lives, empathizing with them, getting… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Well, that would be a sin, to the extent that that’s true, and that’s what the rules of the game are designed to minimize. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Because of advances in computing technology, particularly in storage, you can have terabytes of data hold interesting lessons if only you… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Yes, but that’s only the beginning of the story because there’s also something in human nature that can inhibit violence. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Absolutely, I think most philosophers of science would say that all scientific generalizations are probabilistic rather than logically… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Statistical studies using regression analyses have tried to turn correlations into causal stories by measuring putative causes of war at one time and the incidence of war at a later time. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Science and research methods
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 I call this historical myopia: the closer to the present, the finer distinctions that you make Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 I think also the social sciences are no longer atheoretical, no longer just describing statistical patterns. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 The way I would put it is that the scientist’s concern is with testing whether hypotheses are true or false. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 If you’re just manipulating numbers, you never know whether you’ve wandered into some preposterous conclusion by taking numbers too… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 I personally don’t think that was the primary cause. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Steven Pinker is not a historian by training. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 So, though we do have violent inclinations, it doesn’t mean we’ll always be violent, because it all depends on whether they’re successfully… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 There is something happening here, because social science used to be the most boring part of academia. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Quantification is a means to the end of determining whether your ideas are right or wrong, but it doesn’t necessarily have to be numbers. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Much work in linguistics consists of qualitative distinctions that differentiate rival theories, so quantification is not a fetish. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Pinker said the Mongol invasions, the fall of the Roman Empire and the collapse of various Chinese dynasties could each kill a proportion of the population in the ballpark of the 20th-century world wars. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 And the advent of “big data” has made social science sexy to those with an analytic, quantitative mind. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 One of them is the spread of the reach of government: if you outsource your revenge and justice to a disinterested third party, there will… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 One example is the hypothesis that the Humanitarian Revolution during the Enlightenment, that is, the abolition of slavery, torture, cruel… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 We just take it for granted that France and Germany aren’t going to come to blows, but that’s a historically unprecedented phenomenon. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 The worst civil war in history was the Taiping Rebellion in China in the 19th century. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 News coverage is systematically biased toward events that happen, and cognitive psychology shows people's sense of risk is driven more by vivid anecdotes than statistics. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Science and research methods
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Lynn Hunt, a historian at Berkeley, proposed a historical hypothesis, and some psychological studies show that people who read a first-person account by someone unlike them become more sympathetic to that person and to the category of people that person represents. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 On the other hand, as a social scientist, I’m perfectly comfortable when it comes to numbers, regressions, and graphs, and so I… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Since 1945 big, rich, developed countries have not waged war on each other. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 And just as we try to cure diseases or alleviate famines, we can figure out techniques of making violence less attractive. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 The European wars of religion were proportionately as destructive as, probably more destructive than, World War I. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 Each side thinking that it’s in the right and the other side is the aggressor can lead to endless cycles of violence and blood feuds and… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Whenever violence is quantified and plotted over time, rates show an overall decline up to the present. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 It’s the narrative history that provides hypotheses that can then be tested. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Data from economic historians show little increase in affluence during the time of the Humanitarian Revolution. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Economics and markets
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 If you are riding some political hobbyhorse, you still have to prove your assertions by testing them against data that everyone would agree… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Not checkable Steven Pinker Not checkable 1 Nov 2012 There’s trade and commerce: when there are opportunities to buy and sell (a form of reciprocal altruism), then other people become more… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Nov 2012
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 The increase in affluence came in the nineteenth century with the Industrial Revolution. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Economics and markets
Mostly false Steven Pinker Factual 1 Nov 2012 Social science had a reputation for banality and lost prestige funding to fields like neuroscience. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 Science and research methods
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Over the next twenty years no one will mistake a robot for a person, but people will interact and collaborate with robots, which will become as common in daily life as search engines are today. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 Technology
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Robots will understand tasks in terms of the objects, places and people involved rather than as a series of simple motions, and so will show simple forms of common sense. For example, if a person takes a dish from a robot that is carrying it to the dishwasher, the robot will stop heading to the dishwasher and go back to the dining table for the next dish. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 As a result of collaborative robots like Baxter, American manufacturers and workers will be more competitive on the global stage. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Robots will become cheaper and more adaptive to their surroundings, and people will find it unsurprising to train a robot for a new task in a few minutes. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 Technology
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Page, Brin, and others have all enjoyed enormous success, but they haven’t had to do it by being jerks. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Jobs was successful because his unreasonably high goals, brilliant insight, and relentless passion made people want to work with him. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Sep 2012 Vinod Khosla recently read Ben Austen's WIRED article about Steve Jobs. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Sep 2012 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Setting a high bar for performance has to be part of the company culture. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Entrepreneurship is not a job; it’s a lifestyle! Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 I’ll grant part of Austen’s point that this sometimes shows in ways it doesn’t need to and often comes with certain personality types that… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 I find generosity also pays. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 After reading it, you might be convinced that you can either be a jerk and successful or decent and mediocre. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 As I like to say “be obstinate about your vision, not your tactics”. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Tolerating B players in critical roles is unfair to the rest of the team. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 What matters is that you don’t have to make the above tradeoffs. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Pushing employees to excellence doesn’t mean you’re being unfair or screwing anyone over. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Every successful entrepreneur needs to build a great team. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Refuse to compromise your visions. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Whether you’re building spaceships for a fraction of the price that NASA used to pay (SpaceX) or reinventing money and the way commerce is… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 If you don’t fix B player mistakes by moving them to less critical roles or areas where they can succeed or, if none exists, by doing a… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 There is no single canonical model for the successful entrepreneur. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 You can and should be tough, require excellence, and criticize without being denigrating. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Doing it gently and fairly, but very firmly, can absolutely be done. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 More than anything, building great teams (besides providing vision and culture) is what great founders do. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 It’s fun and ultimately rewarding to try to do these hard things, even more so than making money. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 But lack of sentimentality doesn’t mean lack of caring and even generosity to those who have shown loyalty to a company. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Tolerating only A players doesn’t mean you have to scare your employees with this kind of intimidation. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Spending hours working on the wrong thing doesn’t count, no matter how hard someone works. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Fairness and strong ethics are core long-term values that build trust. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 I believe employees who aren’t delivering should be told directly they aren’t a fit for the environment, and they should be put into a more… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Good etiquette, unless it gets in the way, increases the probability of success. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 The ability and willingness to make tough calls, whether they involve products or people, is part of the required skill set for… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 Creating this kind of honest, unsentimental, but fair, environment will actually foster loyalty in your employees. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
Not checkable Vinod Khosla Not checkable 9 Sep 2012 We need more people with the audacity to take on energy, healthcare, poverty, food, education, and the rest of the big challenges facing us. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 9 Sep 2012
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Steven Pinker

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“Well, that would be a sin, to the extent that that’s true, and that’s what the rules of the game are designed to minimize.”

Steven Pinker 1 November 2012 Steven Pinker on Violence and Human Nature (Social Science Bites)

Well, that would be a sin, to the extent that that’s true, and that’s what the rules of the game are designed to minimize.

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Steven Pinker, “Well, that would be a sin, to the extent that that’s true, and that’s what the rules of the game are designed to minimize.” (said 1 November 2012). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_0efa2f8dd5dd, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0efa2f8dd5dd

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.