Claims · Reliability API

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
Verdict	Person	Kind	Said	Claim	Topic
Not checkable	Steven Pinker	Not checkable	1 Jan 2007	They seem to demonize people in other times and places, license colonial conquest and other foreign adventures, and conceal the crimes of… Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Jan 2007
Unresolvable	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Had twentieth-century wars killed the proportion typical of tribal warfare, there would have been about two billion deaths rather than 100 million. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Science and research methods
Not researched	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Global violence has fallen steadily since the middle of the twentieth century. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Steven Pinker	Not checkable	1 Jan 2007	No one knows why our behavior has come under the control of the better angels of our nature, but there are four plausible suggestions. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Jan 2007
Not researched	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	The decline of violence appears to be a worldwide trend, though not homogeneous. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Steven Pinker	Not checkable	1 Jan 2007	Conventional history has long shown that, in many ways, we have been getting kinder and gentler. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Jan 2007
Not researched	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	The decline of violence is visible at scales of millennia, centuries, decades and years. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not researched	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Social psychologists find that at least 80 percent of people have fantasized about killing someone they dislike. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Steven Pinker	Not checkable	1 Jan 2007	No one ever attracted followers and donations by announcing that things keep getting better. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Jan 2007
Mostly true	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Violence has declined over long stretches of history, and today is probably the most peaceful time in human history. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Robert Wright champions a theory that invokes the logic of non-zero-sum games. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Raids and battles in pre-state societies killed a tiny percentage of the numbers that die in modern warfare. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Steven Pinker	Not checkable	1 Jan 2007	As technology and economic efficiency lengthen and improve our lives, we place a higher value on life in general. Steven Pinker · Not checkable · 1 Jan 2007
Unresolvable	Steven Pinker	Factual	1 Jan 2007	Body-count evidence such as skeletons with axemarks and death rates in foraging tribes suggests pre-state societies were far more violent than modern ones. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Jan 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Writing a great deal of exploratory code means that IDEs with refactoring support and version control are important, and that modular code… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	An outright declaration of war against Islam would be unthinkable; Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	which we are helped every day in countless ways by talented and cheerful associates. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Programmers may try to second-guess isolation by teaching many similar knowledges at around the same time, but that is no substitute for a… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true	Michael Burry	Prediction	2007	The S&P 500 could easily finish 2008 with a negative return, dragging down crowded value-oriented investment funds. Michael Burry · Prediction · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Clustering on a single feature is definitely not a complete conceptual system. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	America had proved so successful in shaping the modern world that most Americans could no longer recognize the originality and strangeness… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	DGI hypothesizes that mental visualization occurs through a multistage flow from high-level feature controllers to low-level feature controllers within a sensory modality. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Brainware is limited to what the programmer was thinking about at the time. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	A dangerous dynamic lurks in Schmitt’s division of the world into friends and enemies. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Concepts are associated with other concepts. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	in which victory is never declared, and even after a problem appears to be solved, we go on trying to solve it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Similarly, the abstract knowledge that biological neurons implement human intelligence does not explain human intelligence. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Evolution is a good teacher but a poor role model Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	At first sight, Strauss seems to offer such a moderate middle course, but his path too is fraught with peril. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Buffett said he made a deal with Jack in a few minutes, waiving an audit, due diligence or anything else that would give Jack an opportunity to reconsider. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	but none of this will matter if we are all dead in the short run. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I would guess not Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	to expect a “soft landing” seems like wishful thinking. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The easiest, most evolvable neural architecture is generally one in which the feedback connection reciprocates the feedforward connection. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Thoughts are the disposable one-time structures implementing a nonrecurrent mind in a non-recurrent world. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Citation	2007	Mervis, Catlin and Rosch (1975) found that distinguishing colors across innate color boundaries is easy while distinguishing within boundaries is hard. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Programmers are trained to solve problems, and trying to create general AI means solving the programming problem of creating a mind that… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Peter Thiel	Factual	2007	The postwar wealth transfer apparatus never worked as advertised, and Western wealth was largely squandered on white elephant projects. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Imagery supports abstract percepts. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	In practice, this dialectic was never simply or even primarily intellectual. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	Large future gains in Berkshire's non-insurance earnings will come only if it makes major, sensible acquisitions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Human thoughts, the source of human-written code, are resilient while the code itself is fragile. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	In most human-written code, a small perturbation of any kind usually causes a crash. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	the entire political and military framework of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and indeed of the modern age, with its emphasis on… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Yudkowsky wrote in 2007 that he strongly doubted that human cognitive systems create concepts by training generic neural nets on satisfaction and imposition. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	And should we be wrong, Berkshire can handle it. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Humans are not preprogrammed by evolution with knowledge about butterflies. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	shifting to microworlds does require that experience in the microworlds reproduce functionally relevant aspects of experience in real life Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The challenge is using new advantages to compensate for the loss of old advantages, and replacing substrate-level support with design-level… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Our behavior here parallels that which we employ in financial markets: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The first principle is that of multiple levels of organization. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The best way to ensure that the AI can modify and use internal content is to have the AI create the content. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Frankly, we are not as well-prepared on the investment side of our business. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Buffett said he believed GEICO could save money on insurance for at least half of the Berkshire shareholders who checked their existing insurance with it. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Charlie and I love it when we can acquire businesses that can be placed under managers Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Even in the absence of an immediate environmental regularity, a concept can contribute to eﬀective intelligence by enabling the perception… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Nevertheless, the necessity of mimesis does not render it unproblematic. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Designing a modality that worked equally well for any possible computer program would probably be an indication that the modality was… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Unchecked philosophizing poses great risks to philosophers (as well as the cities they inhabit), as in even the most liberal or open-minded… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	but I do not believe that the rooster crowing causes the sun to rise. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire's derivative contracts have so far produced pre-tax profits in the hundreds of millions of dollars, beyond forward foreign-exchange gains. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Revolutionary America was haunted by the fear of religious war and the fanatical imposition of virtue on the entire state. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I believe that rather than simplicity, we should pursue Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Still, there are more possibilities for action than first appear, precisely because there are more domains than those enumerated by the… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Eventually, though, eroding fundamentals will overwhelm managerial brilliance. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Humans were created by evolution, an unintelligent process, whereas AI will be created by intelligent human processes. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The human visual modality precategorizes colors into a color space with eleven culturally universal focal volumes that have comparatively sharp boundaries. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori had been an important part of the old tradition; henceforth, it would be seen as nothing more than an… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Ajit and I think the odds are in our favor. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The option containing five billiards, regardless of their size or relative positions or movement patterns, is the key to the gate. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	An attempt to blindly imitate the human visual modality, without understanding the role of modalities in intelligence, would be unlikely to… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	If the “knob” was created on the fly, it implies a much higher degree of systemic creativity than selecting from among pre-existing options. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Indeed, one may wonder whether any sort of politics will remain possible for the exceptional generation that has learned the truth of human… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	In 2006, despite buying two operations, HomeServices' overall volume fell 9% to $58 billion and its profits fell 50%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The human brain makes no distinction between CPU and RAM. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI compute, hardware and data
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Simplicity is the grail of physics, not AI. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The great importance of strong property rights would seem to force us to ask some hard questions about the origins of the property itself. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Note that primitive does not mean architecturally simple. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Cleanup should be undertaken, not with pride in the greater simplicity of human design relative to evolutionary design, but with a healthy… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior is vital to long-term… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	It’s a business without magic except for that imparted by the people who run it. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Intelligence is a supersystem composed of many mutually interdependent subsystems—subsystems specialized not only for particular… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	a human programmer wields general intelligence like a scalpel. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire did not provide Equitas and its 27,972 names unlimited protection. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	You will be happy to hear – and I’m even happier – that this will be my last discussion of the losses at Gen Re’s derivative operation. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Own records only	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Buffett said 35 university classes would come to Omaha for sessions with him in the 2006-2007 school year, and that he takes almost all visiting students, in aggregate more than 2,000, to lunch at Gorat's. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	At a limiting speed of 150 m/s for myelinated axons, each human neuron is potentially within roughly one clock tick of any other neuron in the brain. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Citation	2007	Lakoff (1987) shows that the classical necessary-and-sufficient-requisites view of concepts is incompatible with a wide range of established cognitive effects. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	On the other hand, we have a return to the older tradition, but that return is fraught with far too much violence. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	then the account of politics that pretends they do not exist needs to be reexamined. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	merely “relatively large”) number of variations on the underlying challenge—enough variations to prevent the AI from solving the problem… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Reacting negatively to a fleeting mental image of sharp glass requires no extended line of reasoning and can happen in a single perceptual step. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	If you have an acquisition candidate that fits, call me – day or night. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	For this reason, the decisive difference between Girard and Strauss (or Nietzsche) centers on the question of historicism. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	But no representation of reality ever is the same as reality, and one must never lose sight of the larger framework within which the… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Prediction	2007	An AI project will not succeed merely by implementing a five-layer model of intelligence like the human brain's. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I recommend eliminating environmental reconstruction as a complexity source in early AI development. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The feature controllers used to create mental imagery are evolvable and preadaptive in the absence of mental imagery. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Retroactive insurance contracts always produce underwriting losses for Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation

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Eliezer Yudkowsky

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Not checkable

“shifting to microworlds does require that experience in the microworlds reproduce functionally relevant aspects of experience in real life”

Eliezer Yudkowsky 2007 Levels of Organization in General Intelligence (MIRI)

shifting to microworlds does require that experience in the microworlds reproduce functionally relevant aspects of experience in real life

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “shifting to microworlds does require that experience in the microworlds reproduce functionally relevant aspects of experience in real life” (said 2007). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_0ced84b341d2, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0ced84b341d2

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