6,750 claims · page 5 of 68
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft's free cash flow is currently being allocated to capital return in a sensible way, per Nadella. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Anthropic's long-held approach is to plan for the best outcome without buying more compute than it could productively use. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft allocates compute across three buckets: its hyperscale (Azure) business, its own application business, and its own research compute. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft gave at most a little more compute to Azure last quarter, and it was supply-constrained. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | After moving to the cloud, Microsoft sold many more subscriptions because customers who never bought its servers bought subscriptions. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft's MAI models are already fully competitive on the frontier with the other general models. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft's earlier fine-tuning effort did not work well because it lacked the tools and data collection regime. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | Because people define AGI differently, there will be a roughly three-year period (around 2026 to 2029) in which people predict AGI is here. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft's infrastructure business margin dollars are close to exceeding the total margin dollars from its high-margin businesses. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | AI will merge with humans so that people cannot tell whether a thought comes from their AI or their biological brain. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | The biggest value proposition of a Windows machine in the enterprise will be unmetered intelligence. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | OpenAI may go public and become a trillion-dollar company. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Some of Microsoft's model performance gains come from reverse knowledge distillation (RKLD) using OpenAI IP, plus reinforcement learning on top. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Training AI models and serving inference on them carries a very large upfront cost. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Overall margin dollars from Microsoft's infrastructure business may be higher, even though it is not a higher-margin business; he added that these margin dollars are getting close to being higher than the total margin dollars from Microsoft's high-margin businesses. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | In future, firms will have both human capital and token capital, and will need their own hill-climbing machine for the token capital. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft showed at Build that an efficiently trained reasoning or coding model can hill-climb using a customer's traces and be more token-efficient. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly false | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Large language models being roughly 50% better than human doctors at diagnosing conditions and recommending treatments was not true a year ago but is true today. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | Licensing MAI models through Microsoft Foundry will grow Foundry revenue. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | She guessed that over time the core companies advancing the AI frontier will need access to capital, and said she thinks public markets are very well suited to that. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will allow anyone to bring models they fine-tune or build, including open-weight models, into Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft cannot currently add more new AI labs (Neolabs) as Azure customers, does not sell raw GPUs to them, and turns some business away. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft aims not to use distillation during its own hill-climbing of its models, except at the very end. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | She expects current AI use cases such as coding, financial services, legal and health care to continue to be the primary driver of efficiency or creativity. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 4 Jun 2026 | Once software is priced by consumption, customers will optimize their usage. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 4 Jun 2026 | Every Microsoft product will offer Anthropic, OpenAI and MAI models, plus the ability to bring your own models. Satya Nadella · Promise · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft did not raise M365 prices for more than a decade, thanks to software efficiencies on top of hardware. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA used to be a GPU company a long time ago. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Marcus's X post the previous night, prompted by Google's announced equity financing, was viewed over 750,000 times overnight. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft used the Discovery agentic loop to accelerate its quantum work, compressing years of research into the last year. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will ship an agent runtime and platform both with Windows and as part of Foundry in Azure. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Cowork came as a new way of working that generates artifacts and solves multistep problems, and users assign multistep tasks to it. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | The technology NVIDIA created for its Alpamayo self-driving model also applies to humanoid robots. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Nadella said "we" would be back at the same venue at 6pm on the evening of 2 June 2026, the day he spoke. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Homebrew will be available natively on Windows. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA built the Isaac GR00T reference humanoid for higher education and university researchers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's ecosystem spans upstream to its supply chain in Taiwan, where it all begins, and downstream to data centers and eventually to end users. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | AI companies will overpay for their investments relative to the modest profits they will make in an intensely competitive market. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Companies like Anthropic are ending their all-you-can-eat pricing, which will make many customers think twice. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | How people think about the personal computer will very likely change. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | In the coming months Microsoft will build Autopilots out into a complete digital team of autopilots inside Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | QuNorth will have a quantum computer powered by atom computers (described as 'natural atom computers') with Microsoft's stack in it. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | Retail investors and retirement funds are likely to be taken advantage of in all of this, which he said might fall apart because the economics don't make sense. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Nadella said that in summer 2026 coding would be brought to all knowledge work within one Copilot super app. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | Huang relayed that someone had told him the night before that Taiwan's annual GDP is going to grow almost 10% this year (2026). Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | With the Rayfin SDK, apps built in Replit can be deployed with their data into an enterprise-managed Fabric tenant. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft is expanding Agent 365 to cover local agents running on Windows and other clouds. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will use its new AI accelerator to power Microsoft 365 Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | There will be so many AI agents that the world will no longer be limited by the number of people. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | More reports have recently come out questioning the return on investment of AI for corporate customers. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA and Microsoft have created a whole new line of PCs. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft announced HorizonDB, a fully managed PostgreSQL service on Azure. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | With no clear winners in AI, nobody can charge monopoly prices and there will be price wars and commodity pricing. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | Retail investors and retirement funds will be taken advantage of in the same way with Anthropic and OpenAI. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | A one-gigawatt AI factory started at $20-30 billion, is now $50-60 billion, and will soon be $80-100 billion per gigawatt. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | MXC is a new policy layer that lets Windows apply isolation and containment using AI-native or other OS-native primitives. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | AI companies are building essentially the same technical solution with essentially the same data, so there is no moat. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will offer Nvidia's models and tooling in Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Developers can now use a full local agentic loop with tool access to build on-device agentic applications without round trips to the cloud. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | The agentic computing pattern (model, harness, tools, skills, runtime) will repeat across many computing contexts. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Agents built in Foundry hosted agents have tools, durability, memory and state. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA Isaac GR00T is NVIDIA's humanoid robotic stack, covering model, data generation, simulation and runtime including the operating system. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Most people responding to Marcus's X post agreed with it. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Nadella said that in Microsoft's internal testing, Horizon is delivering something like 3X the throughput of any self-managed PostgreSQL setup. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | No AI company will take 90% of the AI market if there is no moat. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | In the future the agentic computing pattern will run on robots, satellites, base stations and factories, in the cloud, on-prem and at the edge. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 2 Jun 2026 | The memory system of AI agents will cause storage systems to be completely revolutionized. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 2 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's Vera Rubin system is in full production. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | Nemotron 3 Ultra is frontier-level, five times faster, 30% cheaper than the best open models, and completely open. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | There will be billions of AI agents using CPUs, compared with about 1 billion humans, and these agents will use the CPUs with very little patience. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | The three new Windows machines are 100% Windows compatible, 100% CUDA and 100% NVIDIA AI Tensor Core. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | Vera has two to three times the external bandwidth of the highest performance CPUs and three times the internal bandwidth. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | The market for CPUs for agents will surely be larger than the market for CPUs for humans. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | Every company will be an agent company. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | AI will run everywhere, every company will be powered by it, and every region will build it. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | AI agents will create the largest opportunity ever for NVIDIA's partners and friends. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | Vera will be the most optimized agentic CPU in the world. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA uses RTX for its GPUs, DGX for its systems, and DSX for its AI infrastructure ecosystem. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Promise | 1 Jun 2026 | With every generation of its architecture, NVIDIA will offer a desktop, a laptop and a workstation in this new PC family. Jensen Huang · Promise · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | Software applications will be replaced by an agentic runtime, with agents as the modern application. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | Huang said he was pretty certain that over time there will be tens of billions to hundreds of billions of agentic systems running around the world. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | Vera is the first CPU to support PCI Express Gen 6. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | Adobe has re-engineered the core of Photoshop and Premiere and will release it for RTX Spark. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | CoreWeave is now worth $50, $60 or $70 billion and is growing very fast. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | The Vera CPU will be NVIDIA's new major growth driver. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's OpenShell is open source. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA announced the NVIDIA Isaac GR00T, a fully integrated reference humanoid robot, on 1 June 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | The reliability and resilience of Vera Rubin will be exceptional. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA announced Nemotron 3 Ultra, its next open model, at the keynote. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's token cost is the lowest in the world, lower than others by large factors and orders of magnitude, due to extreme co-design. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA is working with Cadence to accelerate Cadence's tools on CUDA. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 27 May 2026 | Isomorphic Labs has a number of its drug programs in the pre-clinical stage. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 27 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 May 2026 | Gemini 3.5 Flash performs better than Gemini 3.1 Pro on coding and agentic tasks. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 May 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly false | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 May 2026 | Gemini 3.5 Flash is often at less than half the cost of comparable models. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 May 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved false | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 20 May 2026 | Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 19 May 2026 | Gemini Omni can take photos, video and audio and build entirely new scenes. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 19 May 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Prediction | 9 May 2026 | Her guess is that software developers will still be around in future but will not write as much code. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 9 May 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic and OpenAI have already purchased a lot of compute for the future, which is very costly. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic incorporated as a public benefit corporation. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic made a conscious decision not to run ads on Claude. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
“If that scenario ever changed drastically, it would cause problems because both Anthropic and OpenAI have already purchased a lot of compute for the future, which is very costly.”
Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president, interviewee 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei, Co-Founder and President of Anthropic: Building AI the Right Way (transcript) (The Transcript Desk)
Anthropic and OpenAI have already purchased a lot of compute for the future, which is very costly.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2026-05-09. True: public announcements or filings show that both Anthropic and OpenAI had entered into large, multi-year compute purchase or capacity commitments for future use (e.g. deals with cloud providers, chipmakers or data-centre developers worth billions of dollars) by that date. Mostly true: both firms have large future compute commitments, but some are described as leases, partnerships or credits rather than purchases. Mixed: only one of the two firms has substantial documented forward compute commitments. Mostly false: both firms' commitments are small or mostly short-term. False: neither firm had made significant forward compute commitments.
Evidence
- Anthropic and Amazon expand compute collaboration Anthropic · 20 April 2026 Own record
“We are committing more than $100 billion over the next ten years to AWS technologies, securing up to 5GW of new capacity to train and run Claude.”
- Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Anthropic partnerships Anthropic · 18 November 2025 Own record
“Anthropic has committed to purchase $30 billion of Azure compute capacity and to contract additional compute capacity up to one gigawatt.”
- OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank expand Stargate with five new AI data center sites OpenAI · 23 September 2025
“This represents a partnership that exceeds $300 billion between the two companies over the next five years.”
- OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank expand Stargate with five new AI data center sites OpenAI · 23 September 2025
“This puts us on a clear path to securing the full $500 billion, 10-gigawatt commitment we announced in January by the end of 2025, ahead of schedule.”
Reasoning
Anthropic's official announcements say it committed more than $100 billion over ten years to AWS for up to 5GW of capacity (E1), and committed to buy $30 billion of Azure compute capacity (E2). Both were announced before 2026-05-09. For OpenAI, its announcements describe a 'partnership that exceeds $300 billion' with Oracle over five years (E3) and a $500 billion, 10-gigawatt Stargate commitment (E4). These are large multi-year forward commitments, but OpenAI's are described as partnerships or commitments rather than outright purchases, which fits the 'mostly true' criterion.
Cite this claim
Daniela Amodei, “Anthropic and OpenAI have already purchased a lot of compute for the future, which is very costly.” (said 9 May 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_0a8ffd665382, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0a8ffd665382
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.