Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 29 Aug 2026 Here we go. Yeah, it’s crazy. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 29 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 29 Aug 2026 I’m the guy who in my 30s thought people in their 50s or 60s didn’t understand anything. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 29 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 29 Aug 2026 I don’t think being pessimistic is helpful. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 29 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 29 Aug 2026 The more I wrote the memo, the more I was like, Jesus, we really need to get our act together here. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 29 Aug 2026
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 29 Aug 2026 Capable robots that let AI do physical jobs across the economy will arrive within a couple of years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 29 Aug 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Bill Gates Factual 29 Aug 2026 People in the AI industry who say AI might have negative effects are being told they are hurting the industry's PR while it tries to raise trillions of dollars. Bill Gates · Factual · 29 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 29 Aug 2026 I was shocked by ChatGPT, and I was shocked by Claude Code. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 29 Aug 2026
Mostly false Bill Gates Factual 26 Aug 2026 The exact criteria for reviewing AI models and the actions to minimize their harms are completely missing. Bill Gates · Factual · 26 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 26 Aug 2026 The transition to the AI era will be one of the most turbulent times in human history, even under the best circumstances. Bill Gates · Prediction · 26 Aug 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mixed Bill Gates Factual 26 Aug 2026 There is currently no plan to ease the entry into the AI era. Bill Gates · Factual · 26 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 My message to leaders is: You have a chance to act now, before unemployment rises sharply, communities are hurting, and public trust has… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 26 Aug 2026 As AI models become more powerful, they could begin to act against human interests and humans could lose control. Bill Gates · Prediction · 26 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 If someone had a credible plan for slowing down AI advances globally, I would likely support it, Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 You can make sure AI benefits everyone. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice, Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Mixed Bill Gates Factual 26 Aug 2026 Current AI models are capable of causing cyberattack, bioterrorism and psychosocial risks. Bill Gates · Factual · 26 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 I don’t see evidence that leaders, experts, and communities are confronting the challenges adequately. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 26 Aug 2026 And you can work with other governments to meet this national and global challenge. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 26 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 26 Aug 2026 Gates does not think a global slowdown of AI advances will happen, because geopolitical and economic incentives are pushing too hard to go full speed ahead. Bill Gates · Prediction · 26 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 By contrast I think the right ‘rules of the road’ can simultaneously (a) address AI’s cyber/bio/alignment risks, (b) institutionally… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 We try very hard to make proposals that disadvantage (slow down) frontier AI companies while *advantaging* smaller competitors, Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 That is totally on us, and I think it’s the criticism you should be making, instead of all this stuff about messaging and marketing. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 I know that there’s a sort of Silicon Valley shorthand where regulation = regulatory capture = concentration of power, but I’ve always… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 I think that ordinary people don’t trust companies, governments, or the tech industry and always suspect that we are cooking up some new… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 this is a big problem. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 I think it is fundamentally a crisis of trust, Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 I think by far the most accurate criticism of AI companies including Anthropic is that we haven’t yet delivered on our big promises to… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 Many people outside this bubble think of regulation as something that constrains corporate power and benefits ordinary people. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 16 Aug 2026 The public has a negative view of AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 16 Aug 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 open-weights do help some with this but are nowhere near a sufficient solution because they simply shift the concentration somewhat to… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 16 Aug 2026 AI is *structurally* a technology that tends to concentrate power Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 16 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I think the right “rules of the road” can simultaneously (a) address AI’s cyber/bio/alignment risks, (b) institutionally constrain the… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 We try very hard to make proposals that disadvantage (slow down) frontier AI companies while *advantaging* smaller competitors. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 This hurts the business interests of the frontier labs and helps challengers, including open-weights! Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 At their best, institutions can vest power in ideas rather than people, and thereby decentralize that power. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 The approach that the Trump administration is reported to be taking — pre-deployment testing for frontier models, and also testing of… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I do not think that the events of the last few months have “failed to result in [my] preferred regulatory path”. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Mixed Dario Amodei Factual 15 Aug 2026 The "Pacing the Frontier" letter, in Anthropic's preferred implementation, envisions modulating the pace of the best models without constraining those catching up. Dario Amodei · Factual · 15 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I don’t usually spend much time on social media but I wanted to engage here because it really brings out the heart of an important… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 Open-weights do help some with this but are nowhere near a sufficient solution because they simply shift the concentration somewhat to… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 This is why Anthropic has always made its policy proposals very carefully. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 Overall my view is that AI is *structurally* a technology that tends to concentrate power, for reasons that have nothing to do with… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 15 Aug 2026 California's SB 53 and SB 1047 completely exempt companies below a revenue or training-cost threshold ($500M for SB 53), and Anthropic supported SB 53 and was ambivalent on SB 1047. Dario Amodei · Factual · 15 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I know that there’s a sort of Silicon Valley shorthand where regulation = regulatory capture = concentration of power, but I’ve always… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 15 Aug 2026 The AI testing process Anthropic has advocated at CAISI and the White House involves more rigorous tests for frontier models than for off-frontier models. Dario Amodei · Factual · 15 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Mixed Dario Amodei Factual 15 Aug 2026 Around February 2026, most of the AI industry was pushing for federal preemption of all state AI regulation, with no apparent federal approach. Dario Amodei · Factual · 15 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I think that “either concentrate it in the hands of a chosen few companies and politicians via regulation or distribute it widely” is a… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not checkable Dario Amodei Not checkable 15 Aug 2026 I am also supportive of Demis Hassabis’ ideas around a FINRA-like entity. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 15 Aug 2026
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will deliver an average ROCE of about 11% for 2026-2027 and above 13% for 2028-2030. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's ROCE fell from 7.5% to 3.1% mainly due to higher capital employed and slightly lower earnings for the 12-month period. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Ørsted Not checkable 13 Aug 2026 Within total shareholder returns, focus is on creating value through earnings growth rather than a higher dividend yield, reflecting the… Ørsted · Not checkable · 13 Aug 2026
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's dividend policy for financial years 2026-2028 is expected to start at a modest level and increase annually. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Ørsted Not checkable 13 Aug 2026 With the measures taken to strengthen Ørsted’s capital structure and financial foundation, Ørsted is in a position to pursue new, value… Ørsted · Not checkable · 13 Aug 2026
Own records only Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 As of August 2026, all Ørsted construction projects, including Hornsea 3 in the UK, are progressing according to schedule and within planned costs. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Ørsted Not checkable 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted is a global leader in developing, constructing, and operating offshore wind farms, with a core focus on Europe. Ørsted · Not checkable · 13 Aug 2026
Not checkable Ørsted Not checkable 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted is on track with its updated strategy and continues to deliver solid operational performance. Ørsted · Not checkable · 13 Aug 2026
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will deliver 2026 EBITDA above DKK 28 billion excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's net profit for H1 2026 was DKK 3.3 billion versus DKK 8.2 billion in H1 2025, mainly due to divestment gains last year and higher tax and non-cash impairment losses this year. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's EBITDA excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees for H1 2026 was DKK 15.0 billion, 8% higher than in the same period of 2025. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's offshore EBITDA excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees was DKK 11.9 billion in H1 2026 versus DKK 10.3 billion in H1 2025, primarily driven by higher wind speeds and higher prices. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 After the Danish Maritime and Commercial High Court ruled in Ørsted's favour in June 2026 in the former Elsam cases, the plaintiffs decided not to appeal. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's Q2 2026 offshore EBITDA increase (DKK 4.4 billion vs DKK 4.0 billion) was primarily driven by earnings from the Hornsea 3 construction agreement. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted maintains its gross investment guidance of DKK 50-55 billion. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted is progressing according to schedule and within planned costs across all its construction projects. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted's renewable assets produced more renewable energy in the first half of 2026 than ever before. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will announce the proposed dividend level in its Annual Report 2026. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Recent EU legislative proposals focus on accelerating electrification across sectors. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Ørsted Not checkable 13 Aug 2026 I’m pleased with our strategic progress in the first half of the year. Ørsted · Not checkable · 13 Aug 2026
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted targets to reinstate dividend distributions for financial year 2026, with the first distribution in 2027. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted will reinstate a dividend payout to its shareholders as planned. Ørsted · Promise · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 ICE, founded in 2000 by Jeff Sprecher, is a leading global exchange operator and financial data provider built through 25 years of organic growth and acquisitions. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 PSH's stock currently trades at a 35% discount to NAV. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 Over time, high rates of earnings growth overwhelm the short-term impact of multiple compression. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Not researched Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global's Platts is the leading provider of spot energy and commodity pricing benchmarks, used to price approximately 70% of waterborne crude globally. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We view Meta as one of the clearest beneficiaries of AI Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square's portfolio's higher EPS growth and lower valuation than the S&P 500 should increase the likelihood its performance exceeds the S&P 500 over the long term. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 The statement says "we believe" that neither of two concerns, the long-term impact of AI on ICE's two smaller segments and the competitive threat of perpetual futures to its Exchanges, is likely to impair ICE's earnings power or intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Not yet due Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 The FDA will likely approve Alcon's AURN001, with blockbuster potential beyond Alcon's commercial targets. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Other
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We believe that the current trading prices of our portfolio companies in many cases reflect such a temporary unfavorable dislocation from… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 If routing legislation were enacted, it would have a minimal impact on Visa and Mastercard. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 AI policy and governance
Not researched Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square exited its investments in Universal Music Group and Alphabet during the six months ended June 30, 2026, and exited Hertz in July 2026. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Promise 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square intends to begin an expanded marketing program for PSH to help narrow the NAV discount. Bill Ackman · Promise · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 While investors are assigning a lower probability to a favorable resolution in the near-term, the per-share intrinsic values of Fannie and… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 The statement expresses a belief that these tailwinds should enable Microsoft to sustain its high-teens historical earnings growth over the long term. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Over the last several quarters, revenue growth across all three of ICE's data subsegments has consistently accelerated. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global's future earnings growth will be almost exclusively determined by its benchmark businesses rather than Market Intelligence. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We believe stablecoins represent an opportunity for the card networks rather than a threat. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Not researched Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Measured by PSH's stock price return, Day One Investors have earned a 13.5% compounded return, an 18-times multiple of their original investment. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We have chosen to invest in businesses that have relatively high rates of EPS growth because, for among other reasons, the longer the… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We believe PSH is an excellent long-term investment when purchased at NAV. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 QSR trades at 17 times earnings, a material discount to peers and to the speaker's view of intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 The quote states an expectation that Alcon's operating margin, described as currently 20%, will rise to 25% or greater over the next several years. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 we believe the market overestimates the portion of segment profits susceptible to AI disruption and underestimates the potential for AI to… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global Indices has a long runway for continued double-digit growth. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global earnings are likely to compound in the low-to-mid teens, driving an annualized return in the mid-20s% if its valuation returns to an appropriate level. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square believes its portfolio companies will ultimately deliver strong EPS growth and a substantial increase in the valuations investors assign to them. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 We carefully follow, track, and update our library as we patiently wait for our target (TGT) companies to become available at valuations… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Not researched Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Investors in Pershing Square, L.P. from its January 1, 2004 inception, transferred to PSH on December 31, 2012, have earned a 15.6% compound annual return (26x) over nearly 23 years, versus 11.0% (11x) for the S&P 500. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Ackman Not checkable 12 Aug 2026 Over a very long period - say the full lifespan of a business - the investment returns from owning a company's shares should approximately… Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 12 Aug 2026
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 12 Aug 2026 Ackman says "we are confident" that perpetual futures hold little if any appeal for institutional investors, who he says drive over about 95% of ICE's trading volume. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
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Bill Ackman

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Prediction Economics and markets

“We believe neither is likely to impair ICE's earnings power or intrinsic value.”

Pershing Square Holdings, Investment Manager letter 12 August 2026 Pershing Square H1 2026 Letter To Shareholders (Seeking Alpha)

The statement says "we believe" that neither of two concerns, the long-term impact of AI on ICE's two smaller segments and the competitive threat of perpetual futures to its Exchanges, is likely to impair ICE's earnings power or intrinsic value.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Vague 'likely to impair' prediction with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “The statement says "we believe" that neither of two concerns, the long-term impact of AI on ICE's two smaller segments and the competitive threat of perpetual futures to its Exchanges, is likely to impair ICE's earnings power or intrinsic value.” (said 12 August 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_0a0b475bbdf1, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0a0b475bbdf1

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.