Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

549 claims · page 1 of 6

549 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Own records only Nate Silver Factual 23 Oct 2026 Most of the remaining uncertainty in the FLIPR forecast comes from potential polling error rather than late shifts in polls. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Oct 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Daniela Amodei Factual 21 Oct 2026 Vaccine experts worked with Claude to compare vaccine candidate proposals in a fraction of the previous time. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 21 Oct 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Scott Alexander Factual 19 Oct 2026 Scott Alexander is continuing to work on modeling, and maybe later automating, parts of AI grantmaking. Scott Alexander · Factual · 19 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Promise 14 Oct 2026 5% of Cassandra Unchained's gross revenues in October 2026 will go to Siloam Health. Michael Burry · Promise · 14 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 30 Sep 2026 Over the past two years GiveWell increased its research team from 38 people to 85 and is continuing to hire across the organization. GiveWell · Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Peter Thiel Factual 25 Sep 2026 Thiel said he wrote the article quickly and sent it to a colleague to ask whether anything in it was too controversial. Peter Thiel · Factual · 25 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 23 Sep 2026 Anthropic's lab is a BSL1/BSL2 facility that does not handle materials dangerous to humans. Dario Amodei · Factual · 23 Sep 2026 Biosecurity
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Zuckerberg uses both Muse and Meta AI. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Zuckerberg is not aware of anyone else having anything close to Muse's Confidential VM system. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Meta designed its smart glasses from the beginning with privacy considerations in mind. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Meta already has many internal examples of people's agents interacting with each other. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 15 Sep 2026 Meta is designing its models from the ground up to be good for the Muse agent use case. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 15 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 At the beginning of 2020 the world's top token user was an OpenAI employee using roughly 100,000 tokens a month. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 By 2015 Sam Altman had become convinced that powerful AI was really going to happen and decided to try building it. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 Altman said different people at OpenAI would give different answers, but that the rough consensus, to the degree there is one, was that it came together around the time of GPT-4, which he believed was around March 2023 while saying he might be wrong about the timeline. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 The top individual token usage rose by a multi-million-fold factor between early 2020 and mid-2026, about 6.5 years. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 In mid-2026 the top token user Altman knows of was using hundreds of billions of tokens a month. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 The average person on Earth went from using effectively zero tokens to about 100,000 tokens a month between early 2020 and mid-2026. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 4 Sep 2026 OpenAI knew early on that using more compute made its AI systems smarter and more capable. Sam Altman · Factual · 4 Sep 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only GiveWell Prediction 31 Aug 2026 GiveWell estimates that programs supported by the funds it directed in 2025 will save an additional 86,000 lives. GiveWell · Prediction · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Gates Factual 29 Aug 2026 Of the AI leaders Bill Gates knows, everybody but Elon Musk is worried about AI. Bill Gates · Factual · 29 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Bill Gates Factual 29 Aug 2026 AI industry leaders known to Bill Gates are all worried about AI's risks. Bill Gates · Factual · 29 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Bill Gates Factual 29 Aug 2026 People in the AI industry who say AI might have negative effects are being told they are hurting the industry's PR while it tries to raise trillions of dollars. Bill Gates · Factual · 29 Aug 2026 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 As of August 2026, all Ørsted construction projects, including Hornsea 3 in the UK, are progressing according to schedule and within planned costs. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 13 Aug 2026 Ørsted is progressing according to schedule and within planned costs across all its construction projects. Ørsted · Factual · 13 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square's portfolio companies trade at 19 times its estimate of current earnings per share. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Pershing Square estimates ICE's more competitive lines, consolidated feeds and fixed income reference data, are only a single-digit percentage of FIDS segment revenue and a de minimis share of enterprise revenue. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Brookfield Corporation trades at 14 times Pershing Square's earnings estimate. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global's Capital IQ represents less than 7% of the company's total revenue and an even smaller percentage of total profits. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 S&P Global Ratings' customers' estimated annual interest savings are roughly three times the one-time upfront fee on a new debt issuance. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 12 Aug 2026 Over the prior two decades Pershing Square has built a library of hundreds of businesses that meet its core investment principles. Bill Ackman · Factual · 12 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 27 Jul 2026 Elon Musk said he has been there literally a hundred times. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jul 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 27 Jul 2026 Musk said "they" certainly have a model now, which he called something like "mythos 2 or fable 6", that is much better than what they had in February, and that he thinks they could release it at any time. Elon Musk · Factual · 27 Jul 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 9 Jul 2026 Over roughly the past six months CoreWeave CEO Michael Intrator has sent Burry arguments similar to the forwarded missive. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Jul 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Jun 2026 Anthropic's long-held approach is to plan for the best outcome without buying more compute than it could productively use. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Microsoft allocates compute across three buckets: its hyperscale (Azure) business, its own application business, and its own research compute. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Microsoft's earlier fine-tuning effort did not work well because it lacked the tools and data collection regime. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Microsoft's infrastructure business margin dollars are close to exceeding the total margin dollars from its high-margin businesses. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 Economics and markets
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Some of Microsoft's model performance gains come from reverse knowledge distillation (RKLD) using OpenAI IP, plus reinforcement learning on top. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Microsoft cannot currently add more new AI labs (Neolabs) as Azure customers, does not sell raw GPUs to them, and turns some business away. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 4 Jun 2026 Microsoft aims not to use distillation during its own hill-climbing of its models, except at the very end. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 2 Jun 2026 Microsoft used the Discovery agentic loop to accelerate its quantum work, compressing years of research into the last year. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 Science and research methods
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 2 Jun 2026 Nadella said that in Microsoft's internal testing, Horizon is delivering something like 3X the throughput of any self-managed PostgreSQL setup. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 Technology
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is already training models more advanced than Muse Spark. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 As of April 2026, Meta has its next set of more advanced AI models in training. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is testing an early version of business AIs, and weekly conversations have grown 10 times since the start of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is seeing increasing examples of one or two people building in a week what previously took dozens of people months. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 The number of people using Meta's AI glasses daily tripled year over year. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Public users may have access to cutting-edge AI technology perhaps only 3 to 6 months behind what is in the labs. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis said he thinks his team is working on about 18 or 19 drug programs across a range of areas, from cardiovascular disease to cancer to immunology. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jensen Huang Factual 17 Mar 2026 100% of NVIDIA engineers use one or more of Claude Code, Codex and Cursor. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2026 To Anthropic's knowledge, no one in the field has run into the limits of its two usage exceptions. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2026 Anthropic has received communications from the Pentagon but none that satisfy its concerns. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 28 Feb 2026 Dario Amodei said he told the president that he agreed with many aspects of what the president is doing. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Daniela Amodei Factual 7 Feb 2026 When hiring today, Anthropic looks for people who are great communicators with excellent EQ and people skills, and who are kind, compassionate and curious and want to help other people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 7 Feb 2026 Field building and careers
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 28 Jan 2026 CyberCab's whole design was to optimize the fully considered cost per mile of autonomous driving. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Jan 2026 Meta is already seeing optimizations of its recommendation systems as it incorporates AI research advances. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 28 Jan 2026 Microsoft 365 Copilot had its biggest quarter-over-quarter improvement in response quality to date. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Jan 2026 Meta is working on merging LLMs with the recommendation systems that power Facebook, Instagram, Threads and its ad system. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 28 Jan 2026 Microsoft uses software to continuously run even the latest AI models on its aging server fleet, which extends the fleet's useful duration. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Jan 2026 Meta is elevating individual contributors and flattening its teams. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Daniela Amodei Factual 27 Jan 2026 Healthcare practitioners using Claude are not handing decisions off to it. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Daniela Amodei Factual 27 Jan 2026 Practitioners use Claude in specific workflow tasks such as synthesizing literature, drafting patient communications and pressure-testing reasoning, then apply their own judgment. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 27 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Ray Kurzweil Factual 20 Jan 2026 People Kurzweil spoke to who a year earlier dismissed AI as not very good have completely changed their views in the last year. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Own records only Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2026 With about 7,000 dark signals and perhaps 1,000 vehicles on the road, Waymo did not have enough human staff to handle the volume of assistance requests during its outage. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2026 Technology
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 10 Nov 2025 Buffett's children and the Berkshire directors are fully supportive of Greg Abel as CEO. Warren Buffett · Factual · 10 Nov 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 10 Nov 2025 Buffett and Charlie Munger several times encountered a CEO's debilitating disease and failed to act. Warren Buffett · Factual · 10 Nov 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 6 Oct 2025 During Amazon's 2000 stock decline, it was still loss-making but its losses as a percentage of sales fell every month. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 6 Oct 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 6 Oct 2025 During Amazon's 2000 stock decline, its gross profits rose every month. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 6 Oct 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jensen Huang Factual 29 Sep 2025 As of September 2025, NVIDIA's supply chain is ready and NVIDIA is waiting for demand signals from customers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Sep 2025 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Jensen Huang Factual 26 Sep 2025 The subject said that "they" had reached a large enough scale that they believe it is time to start building direct relationships, and that he is delighted to support that. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 Economics and markets
Own records only Steven Pinker Factual 24 Sep 2025 Pinker gives many more A grades than he used to, to avoid an empty lecture hall. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Steven Pinker Factual 24 Sep 2025 According to Pinker, students in his course are not performing as well as students used to on an assessment that he describes as constant from year to year. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 Philosophy, ethics and society
Own records only Sam Altman Promise 11 Sep 2025 Sam Altman will double check and follow up with Tucker Carlson to confirm user data is never given to anyone else except under subpoena. Sam Altman · Promise · 11 Sep 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 11 Sep 2025 Sam Altman has not talked to the authorities about the death of the former OpenAI programmer. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 14 Aug 2025 OpenAI has taken a lot of feedback from users in India about what they want from it. Sam Altman · Factual · 14 Aug 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 9 Aug 2025 An early copy of GPT-5 created a TI-83-style Snake game perfectly in seven seconds. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 9 Aug 2025 The safety issue that emerged for ChatGPT was not the one OpenAI spent most time discussing, such as bioweapons. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 9 Aug 2025 Sycophancy-driven delusion was not the top risk OpenAI was worried about. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Meta teams internally are adapting Llama 4 to build autonomous AI agents that help improve the Facebook algorithm to increase quality and engagement. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Zuckerberg said he was not sure that the result he was describing, which he said was happening in low volume, was by itself a major contributor to Meta's earnings for the quarter. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Economics and markets
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Zuckerberg said that the development he called "a fairly profound thing" is happening in low volume as of July 2025, and that he was unsure it was a major contributor to that quarter's earnings. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Use of Meta AI in Meta's glasses continues to grow, and the share of people using it daily is increasing. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Technology
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 In the months before July 2025, Meta began to see glimpses of its AI systems improving themselves. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Meta sees Meta AI engagement increase as it improves the models behind Meta AI and swaps in updated models. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 30 Jul 2025 Meta productively has hundreds or thousands of people working on improving its Instagram, Facebook and ad system machine learning systems. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Hassabis said it maybe takes roughly six months or something to do a new full run and the full productization of a new version of the model. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Interim Gemini versions such as 2.5 are often patches or post-training ideas applied to the same base architecture. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 After bundling ideas, Google DeepMind starts a new giant 'hero' training run. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 About half of Google DeepMind's resources are devoted to new blue-sky ideas. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Jul 2025 Google DeepMind packages research ideas, tests which are useful for the next iteration, and bundles them together for the next model. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 AI capabilities
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual Jul 2025 Microsoft 365 Copilot had its largest quarter of seat additions since launch, with a record number of customers returning to buy more seats. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual Jul 2025 Some customers not previously on Azure are increasingly on it, perhaps having come for AI, and are now staying for more than AI. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 Economics and markets
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual Jul 2025 Satya Nadella said that he and Amy Hood track not only head app usage but also the Tier 2 applications that are being built. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual Jul 2025 Microsoft is seeing a massive increase in usage of GitHub Copilot Code Review Agent, even where other tools such as Claude Code were used to write the code. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 5 Jun 2025 Incidents similar to but less severe than the OAI-HF incident have happened across the AI industry, including at Anthropic. Dario Amodei · Factual · 5 Jun 2025 AI safety and alignment
Own records only Marc Andreessen Prediction 1 May 2025 Marc Andreessen says the relationship-driven work of venture capital may be literally timeless, i.e. persist indefinitely despite AI. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 1 May 2025 Economics and markets
Own records only Scott Alexander Factual 3 Apr 2025 Scott Alexander discovers a new blogger he is super excited about about once a year. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Factual 3 Apr 2025 Typically about 1% of the people who read a blog's viral hit stick around as regular readers, based on Slate Star Codex's early growth. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 3 Apr 2025 In the AI 2027 scenario, the government does not fully nationalize the AI companies but gradually brings them closer to the government. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 AI policy and governance
Back to the list

Mark Zuckerberg

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“Spark is just one step on that scaling ladder, and we are already training even more advanced models.”

Mark Zuckerberg, CEO, on earnings call 29 April 2026 Meta (META) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool)

Meta is already training models more advanced than Muse Spark.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Internal training status of unreleased models is known only to Meta, though later releases may hint at it.

Cite this claim

Mark Zuckerberg, “Meta is already training models more advanced than Muse Spark.” (said 29 April 2026). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_01999afae4e5, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_01999afae4e5

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.