| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | About one-third of US debt is held by foreigners. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Satya Nadella confirmed that the first Vera Rubin rack is running on Microsoft Azure. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | Nov 2025 | Cloud GPUs are sold out, as of NVIDIA's third quarter fiscal 2026 results (Nov. 2025). Jensen Huang · Factual · Nov 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mixed | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 is significantly better than earlier models at healthcare-related queries. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | If the model being discussed has guardrails like ChatGPT's, they will teeter between being too weak (beaten by jailbreaks) and too strong (rejecting some perfectly reasonable requests). Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | The lack of understanding of how AI systems work is essentially unprecedented in the history of technology. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2025 | Despite further thruster anomalies, Starliner would have landed safely had the crew been aboard when it returned empty in 2024. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Dec 2024 | The war in Ethiopia affecting Yonas's region is over in the immediate sense. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 | Other |
| Mostly true | Peter Thiel | Factual | Apr 2024 | René Girard often said that Christ was the first political atheist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 19 Mar 2024 | Political donations from old Twitter were 99% to Democrats. Elon Musk · Factual · 19 Mar 2024 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | As of June 2023, the U.S. government was both alarmed about deepfakes and trying to outlaw blockchains. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects to use the Dojo computer operationally later in 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 31 Aug 2022 | Few superbubbles exist in history to study, and they share clear common features. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 31 Aug 2022 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | As of 2022 there are no clear guidelines for AI developers on how to avoid advancing race dynamics or do the right thing on safety. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Anthropic trains large-scale generative models and does safety research on those models. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | GiveWell | Promise | 28 May 2020 | In 2020 GiveWell will complete its review of the New Incentives RCT results and decide whether to direct additional funding to New Incentives. GiveWell · Promise · 28 May 2020 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 1 Jan 2018 | Andreessen Horowitz initially made no healthcare-related investments. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 3 Jun 2015 | Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 3 Jun 2015 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 12 Dec 2012 | Theory is born from practice more often than practice from theory, with technology more often preceding science. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 2001 | Amazon.com said it had been told that its American Customer Satisfaction Index score of 84 was the highest ever recorded for a service company in any industry. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2001 | Economics and markets |
“We started out; we didn’t do any healthcare related stuff here, investments here.”
Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder, interviewed 1 January 2018 The Tim Ferriss Show Transcripts: Marc Andreessen (#163) (Tim Ferriss blog)
Andreessen Horowitz initially made no healthcare-related investments.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge said mostly false; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of 2018-01-01. True: records show Andreessen Horowitz made no healthcare-related investments in its early period, starting from its 2009 founding, before it later moved into healthcare/bio (for example its first bio fund in 2015). Records could be a16z portfolio lists, fund announcements or dated deal reports. Mostly true: early healthcare investments were negligible, such as one or two marginal health-adjacent deals, so the claim of no healthcare focus at the start substantially holds. Mixed: the firm made several healthcare deals early on but had no healthcare practice or fund. Mostly false: the firm made clear, notable healthcare investments in its first years, though healthcare was a small share. False: healthcare investments were a significant part of a16z's activity from the start.
Evidence
- Why Marc Went From 'We'll Never Do Bio' to Betting on Bio Founders | Andreessen Horowitz Andreessen Horowitz (a16z Podcast transcript) · 23 August 2019 Own record
“So, in the early days of the firm, you famously said that you won't see a16z investing in bio and in healthcare. And that's obviously changed.”
- Why Marc Went From 'We'll Never Do Bio' to Betting on Bio Founders | Andreessen Horowitz Andreessen Horowitz (a16z Podcast transcript) · 23 August 2019 Own record
“What we started to see about six years ago around 2012, probably 2013, is a new kind of founder show up.”
- Andreessen Horowitz Gets A New GP, And A New Fund | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 18 November 2015
“It's the first sector-focused fund for Andreessen Horowitz, which is halfway through its main fund, a $1.5 billion vehicle that it announced in March of last year.”
- Andreessen Horowitz - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“Chokkattu, Julian (August 18, 2014). "uBiome Raises $4.5M From Angel Investors, Andreessen Horowitz To Crowdsource Microbiome Research". TechCrunch.”
- Why Marc Went From ‘We’ll Never Do Bio’ to Betting on Bio Founders | Andreessen Horowitz Andreessen Horowitz (a16z Podcast transcript) · 23 August 2019 Own record
“So, in the early days of the firm, you famously said that you won't see a16z investing in bio and in healthcare.”
- Andreessen Horowitz - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“In 2013, Andreessen Horowitz invested in Clinkle, Coinbase, Databricks, Lyft, Oculus VR, PagerDuty, Pixlee, Ripple, Soylent, Swiftype, and uBiome.”
- Andreessen Horowitz - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“It was founded in 2009 by Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz.”
- Andreessen Horowitz - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“In January 2022, Andreessen Horowitz raised $9 billion for its venture capital, growth-stage, and biotech-focused funds.”
- Mobile Health Startup Massive Health Gains $2.25 Million | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 2 February 2011
“just announced $2.25 million in funding from Andreessen Horowitz, Charles River Ventures, Felicis VC, Greylock Discovery Fund and Mohr Davidow Ventures as well as unnamed angel investors.”
- uBiome Raises $4.5M From Angel Investors, Andreessen Horowitz To Crowdsource Microbiome Research | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 18 August 2014
“uBiome raised $1.5 million from angel investors and $3 million from Andreessen Horowitz.”
- Andreessen Horowitz Starts $450M Tech-Heavy Bio Fund | Chief Healthcare Executive Chief Healthcare Executive · 20 December 2017
“The move follows the firm’s initial $200 million bio fund, which it created in 2015, in pursuit of projects that stood to disrupt medicine through machine and deep learning.”
- Andreessen Horowitz AI Wiki (aiwiki.ai) · 28 October 2026
“A $200 million first bio fund in 2015, followed by a $450 million second bio fund in 2017”
Reasoning
Independent reports show a16z made at least two health-related investments before its first sector fund: E9 reports it took part in a $2.25M round for the mobile health startup Massive Health in 2011, alongside several other investors, and E10 reports a $3M investment in the microbiome company uBiome in 2014. E3 and E11 show that a16z's first dedicated bio fund came in 2015, its first sector-focused fund. These early deals are few and health-adjacent rather than a healthcare practice, so the claim of no healthcare investing at the start largely holds, though not absolutely.
Cite this claim
Marc Andreessen, “Andreessen Horowitz initially made no healthcare-related investments.” (said 1 January 2018). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_d605771bd7b2, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d605771bd7b2
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.