On seeing Donald Trump standing next to other Republican primary candidates, Taleb became certain Trump would win the primary stage regardless of what he said or did.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Reasoning
Taleb's own certainty is an inner state.
Cite this claim
Nassim Taleb, “On seeing Donald Trump standing next to other Republican primary candidates, Taleb became certain Trump would win the primary stage regardless of what he said or did.” (said 11 April 2017). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_ff382cdcdeb5, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ff382cdcdeb5
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Nassim Taleb
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Mostly true
“Jerusalem is not mentioned even once in the Pentateuch.”
The city of Jerusalem is not mentioned even once in the Pentateuch.
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Mixed
“Yes, Christianity glorifies the poor: but it took seventeen centuries from “the eye of the needle” in Matthew 19:24 to the conception of organized communism and various theories of social equality.”
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Mixed
“Christianity is the vehicle by which a separation of church and state was accomplished”
Christianity was the vehicle by which separation of church and state was accomplished.
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Mixed
“Europe is neither a continent, nor a language group, nor a race”
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Mostly false
“Almost as worrisome, upon Covid, some were openly calling for geronticide and letting “fat people” die.”
During Covid, some people openly called for geronticide and for letting 'fat people' die.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.