ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“The Twitter and Facebook networks are each bigger than France or Germany - combined.”

Balaji Srinivasan, author of essay on his site 11 November 2021 The Network State (balajis.com)

Factual Technology

The Twitter and Facebook networks are each bigger than France or Germany combined.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Read as: Twitter's user base and Facebook's user base are each larger than the combined populations of France and Germany (about 150 million in 2021). True: company filings or reports from around November 2021 show both Twitter (monetizable daily users or monthly active users) and Facebook (monthly active users) above that combined figure. Mostly true: both exceed it on a common user measure, but Twitter does so only on one reasonable measure. Mixed: one network exceeds the combined population and the other does not on any reasonable measure. Mostly false: neither exceeds it on standard metrics but both exceed one country's population. False: neither exceeds even the larger single country's population.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Facebook Reports Third Quarter 2021 Results Facebook, Inc. (via PR Newswire) · 25 October 2021

    “Facebook monthly active users (MAUs) – MAUs were 2.91 billion as of September 30, 2021, an increase of 6% year-over-year.”
  2. E2 Twitter Announces Third Quarter 2021 Results Twitter, Inc. (via PR Newswire) · 26 October 2021

    “Average monetizable DAU (mDAU) reached 211 million, up 13% year over year in Q3”
  3. E3 Twitter (TWTR) earnings Q3 2021 CNBC · 26 October 2021

    “Monetizable daily active users (mDAUs): 211 million vs. 211.9 million as expected by analysts polled by StreetAccount.”
  4. E4 Germany vs. France Index Mundi (citing CIA World Factbook)

    “Population | 79,903,481 (July 2021 est.) | 68,084,217 (July 2021 est.)”

Reasoning

Facebook's Q3 2021 results put monthly active users at 2.91 billion as of September 30, 2021 (E1). Twitter's Q3 2021 results put average monetizable daily active users at 211 million (E2, E3). The CIA World Factbook's July 2021 estimates give Germany about 79.9 million people and France about 68.1 million, roughly 148 million combined (E4). Both networks are well above that combined figure on the measures named in the criteria, so the claim resolves true.

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “The Twitter and Facebook networks are each bigger than France or Germany combined.” (said 11 November 2021). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_fc0daa386ec1, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_fc0daa386ec1

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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All of them

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