ClaimsPeter Thiel

“To my mind, the questions about whether people will live there (answer: enough will) are secondary to the questions about whether seasteading technology is imminent.”

Peter Thiel, essay author 13 April 2009 The Education of a Libertarian (Cato Unbound)

Prediction Other

Enough people will live on seasteads (settlements on the oceans).

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'Enough people' is undefined and there is no horizon.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “Enough people will live on seasteads (settlements on the oceans).” (said 13 April 2009). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e2c982ca6442, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e2c982ca6442

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Peter Thiel, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.