United Technologies trades at about 16 times Pershing Square's estimate of 2018 earnings, pro forma for the Rockwell Collins acquisition.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2018-05-17. True if Pershing Square's presentation or letter then stated that UTX traded at about 16 times its 2018 earnings estimate (pro forma for Rockwell Collins) and UTX's share price divided by that estimate was about 15.5–16.5x. Mostly true if the ratio was within about 15–17x or the pro forma basis is described slightly differently. Mixed if within about 14–18x. Mostly false if within about 13–19x. False otherwise, or if no such estimate was made.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Exhibit - SEC.gov United Technologies Corp. (filed with the SEC as Exhibit 99) · 24 July 2018
“Adjusted EPS of $7.10 to $7.25,* excluding Rockwell Collins, up from $6.95 to $7.15;”
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E2 Is United Technologies Firing on All Cylinders? 24/7 Wall St. · 24 January 2018
“Looking ahead to the 2018 full year, the company expects to see EPS in the range of $6.85 to $7.10 and sales in the range of $62.5 billion to $64.0 billion.”
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E3 Digrin – Dividend Portfolio Tracker Digrin
“| May 2018 | $120.15 | $124.82 |”
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E4 PSH 2018 Interim Financial Statements - Final without WAA Signature Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (interim financial report letter to shareholders) · 30 June 2018 Own record
“UTX’s stock price, which trades at only 16 to 17 times our estimate of this year’s earnings (pro-forma for the Rockwell Collins acquisition).”
Reasoning
The evidence never gives Pershing Square's 2018 earnings estimate for UTX pro forma for Rockwell Collins, so the ratio the criteria require cannot be calculated. Pershing's own later interim letter (E6) puts the multiple at '16 to 17 times' on that pro forma basis, but that is the subject repeating its own estimate. E1 and E3 give UTC's own company guidance, not Pershing's figure; E1 states that its guidance excludes Rockwell Collins. E5 gives only a May 2018 monthly price with no specific date, so the independent evidence cannot settle the ratio as of 2018-05-17.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “United Technologies trades at about 16 times Pershing Square's estimate of 2018 earnings, pro forma for the Rockwell Collins acquisition.” (said 17 May 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e13ab4f3e196, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e13ab4f3e196
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.