GMO plans to post its entire set of forecasts to its website with some preliminary analysis of the results.

No deadline is given. True: GMO posted on its website the entire set of the seven-year forecasts referred to, together with some preliminary analysis of the results. Mostly false: only part of the forecasts was posted, or the forecasts were posted without any analysis. False: positive evidence that the full set was never posted, such as archived versions of GMO's website over the following years lacking it, or a GMO statement that the plan was dropped. A later GMO statement that it posted them counts only if the posted material itself contains the full set of forecasts.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 Are the GMO Predictions of Asset Style Returns Accurate Duke University Economics Department (Edward Tower) · 10 November 2008

   “Each month, GMO publishes on the web its predictions of the real rate of return for various asset styles over the next seven years.”

2. E2 JGLetter_StopPresses_4Q09.indd GMO (Quarterly Letter, January 2010, 'What a Decade!') · January 2010 Own record

   “Normalcy is what we assume in our 7-year forecasts and in our old 10-year forecasts.”

3. E3 Contents - GMO Advisor Perspectives · 23 July 2025

   “GMO has posted a new 7-Year Asset Class Forecast.”

The promise refers to posting the entire set of forecasts with some preliminary analysis of the results. E1 (2008) and E3 (2025) show GMO publishes current 7-year forecasts on its website, but neither shows that the full historical set was posted together with analysis. E2 only mentions the forecasts' assumptions. The evidence does not settle whether the specific promised posting occurred.