ClaimsSam Altman

“Most highly successful people have been really right about the future at least once at a time when people thought they were wrong.”

Sam Altman, blog author 24 January 2019 How To Be Successful (Sam Altman's blog)

Factual Field building and careers

Most highly successful people have been really right about the future at least once when people thought they were wrong.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

Vague generalisation that cannot be tested against records.

Cite this claim

Sam Altman, “Most highly successful people have been really right about the future at least once when people thought they were wrong.” (said 24 January 2019). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_cb6849572b91, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_cb6849572b91

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Sam Altman, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Sam Altman

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  2. Resolved true Factual 8 July 2020
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  3. Resolved true Factual 29 January 2019
    “YC is hosting a new conference.”

    Y Combinator is hosting a new conference (announced January 2019).

  4. Mostly false Factual 24 January 2019
    “In fact, work stamina seems to be one of the biggest predictors of long-term success.”

    Work stamina seems to be one of the biggest predictors of long-term success.

  5. Resolved true Factual 24 January 2019
    “I’ve observed thousands of founders and thought a lot about what it takes to make a huge amount of money or to create something important.”

    Sam Altman has observed thousands of founders and thought a lot about what it takes to make a huge amount of money or create something important.

All of them

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