Balaji Srinivasan will publish a post on what he calls the crypto credential.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
What would count as true or false
Judged at end-2021. Delivered means a written post by Balaji Srinivasan (blog, newsletter, Substack, 1729 or similar essay, or a long thread presented as the post) whose main subject is the 'crypto credential' concept. TRUE: such a post was published by the deadline. MOSTLY TRUE: a post substantially on the concept was published on time under a slightly different name (e.g. 'crypto credentials'). MOSTLY FALSE: the concept appeared only in passing within other content, or the dedicated post appeared after the deadline. FALSE: positive evidence, such as his writing archives for the period, shows that no such post was published.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (8)
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E1 Content Archive balajis.com · 12 November 2020 Own record
“This year has an early essay on the Network State, which follows up on the 2015 talk of the same name.”
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E2 #506: The Episode of Everything: Balaji on Bitcoin and Ethereum, Media Self-Defense, Drone Warfare, Crypto Oracles, India as Dark Horse, The Pseudonymous Economy, Beautiful Trouble, Ramanujan, Life Extension, and More — The Tim Ferriss Show Transcript Happy Scribe (transcript of The Tim Ferriss Show) · 25 March 2021
“And I think the answer is something, and I've got a post coming on this, which I call the crypto credential, and the idea is every time you sell one of these problems”
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E3 Content Archive balajis.com · 12 November 2020 Own record
“This year has an early essay on the Network State, which follows up on the 2015 talk of the same name. It has a $100k prize at balajis.com/inflation which led to Truflation.”
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E4 #506: The Episode of Everything: Balaji on Bitcoin and Ethereum, Media Self-Defense, Drone Warfare, Crypto Oracles, India as Dark Horse, The Pseudonymous Economy, Beautiful Trouble, Ramanujan, Life Extension, and More — The Tim Ferriss Show Transcript HappyScribe (transcript of The Tim Ferriss Show) · 25 March 2021
“And I think the answer is something, and I've got a post coming on this, which I call the crypto credential, and the idea is every time you sell one of these problems”
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E5 Sitemap - 2021 - balajis.com balajis.com Own record
“List of posts from 2021 from balajis.com”
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E6 Sitemap - 2021 - balajis.com balajis.com Own record
“The 2021 Crypto Crystal Ball: Halftime Edition”
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E7 Decentralized Task Creation balajis.com · 31 March 2021 Own record
“To get there, we need at least two things: crypto addresses and decentralized task creation.”
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E8 Decentralized Task Creation balajis.com · 31 March 2021 Own record
“giving out a crypto address is more like giving out an email address (only the person with the private credentials can send out from it).”
Reasoning
The evidence confirms the promise of a post (E2, E4) and shows parts of his 2021 archive and post list (E1, E3, E5, E6) and a related post (E7, E8), but the quoted entries do not show the full 2021 list, so they do not establish that no crypto credential post was published by end-2021.
Cite this claim
Balaji Srinivasan, “Balaji Srinivasan will publish a post on what he calls the crypto credential.” (said 25 March 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_c7acb537da26, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c7acb537da26
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More promise claims by Balaji Srinivasan
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Mostly true
“This is going to be the first newsletter that pays you.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.