ClaimsSteven Pinker

“I myself confess that I’ve been surprised at how the American conservatives and the Republican Party have flip-flopped on core beliefs”

Steven Pinker, author, interviewee 13 February 2018 Steven Pinker Interview: Life Has Become Better (Smashing Interviews) archived copy

Factual Other Political

American conservatives and the Republican Party have flip-flopped on core beliefs such as sympathy for Russia and dictatorships, Christian virtues, and free trade.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of 2018-02-13. The claim is that American conservatives and the Republican Party reversed position on core beliefs, including sympathy for Russia and dictatorships, the importance of Christian virtues, and free trade. True: survey data (Gallup, Pew, YouGov) and party platforms or leaders' statements show clear reversals on all three by early 2018 compared with earlier Republican positions (for example, rising Republican favourability toward Russia or Putin, evangelicals becoming much more accepting of personal immorality in leaders, and Republicans turning against free-trade agreements). Mostly true: two show clear reversals and the third shows a marked but not full shift. Mixed: roughly half show reversals. Mostly false: only modest shifts that fall short of a reversal, or a shift on just one issue. False: the data show stable Republican positions on these issues.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 7. Opinions on U.S. international involvement, free trade, ISIS and Syria, Russia and China Pew Research Center · 27 October 2016

    “Sentiment is much more negative than it was in May 2015 when 51% of Republican voters said free trade was a good thing for the U.S. and just 39% said it was a bad thing.”
  2. E2 Putin's Image Rises in U.S., Mostly Among Republicans Gallup · 21 February 2017

    “A major reason for the overall rise in Putin's favorable rating this year is Republicans' more positive views of the Russian leader, from 12% in 2015 to 32% today.”
  3. E3 Publics Worldwide Unfavorable Toward Putin, Russia Pew Research Center · 16 August 2017

    “In the past two years, Republican views have become significantly more positive, while Democratic views are little changed. Today, only 16% of Democrats have a favorable view of Russia, compared with 41% of Republicans.”
  4. E4 How Trump has changed white evangelicals' views about morality Good Authority (articles by David Campbell and Geoffrey Layman, University of Notre Dame) · 11 September 2024

    “But in an October 2016 poll by PRRI and the Brookings Institution — after the release of the infamous “Access Hollywood” tape — only 20 percent of evangelicals, answering the same question, said that private immorality meant someone could not behave ethically in public.”

Reasoning

The evidence shows Republican views of Putin and Russia becoming more favourable [E2][E3] and Republican views of free trade becoming much more negative after May 2015 [E1]. It does not give the later trade figures or any earlier baseline for the 2016 evangelical figure [E4], so it does not show the clear reversals the criteria require for this verdict.

Cite this claim

Steven Pinker, “American conservatives and the Republican Party have flip-flopped on core beliefs such as sympathy for Russia and dictatorships, Christian virtues, and free trade.” (said 13 February 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_c0789d44d31e, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c0789d44d31e

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Steven Pinker, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Steven Pinker

  1. Resolved true Factual 26 June 2024
    “GAVI: Vaccinating 1 Billion People (and counting)”

    GAVI has vaccinated 1 billion people.

  2. Mostly true Factual 13 June 2024
    “Racial & ethnic minorities show massive gains in health care coverage.”

    Racial and ethnic minorities in the US have had large gains in health care coverage.

  3. Resolved true Factual 13 June 2024
    “What is the world's best investment? - Neglected diseases (8 million lives saved, 32 million more savable soon).”

    Investment in neglected diseases has saved 8 million lives, with 32 million more savable soon.

  4. Resolved true Factual 30 March 2020
    “Harvard experts (that would be me, and an epidemiologist) weigh in on the fate of the handshake”

    Steven Pinker and an epidemiologist were featured as Harvard experts in a Harvard article on the fate of the handshake.

  5. Mostly true Factual 23 December 2019
    “Public health research & evidence-based harm reduction policies save lives: tens of 1000s a year, every year.”

    Public health research and evidence-based harm reduction policies save tens of thousands of lives every year.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.