ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“And by the way, with the continued growth of Substack and with other new platforms that are emerging, I think it may be, I don’t know that everything just shifts back into public, but a tremendous amount of the verboten conversations can now shift back into public view.”

Marc Andreessen, podcast guest 26 January 2025 Transcript for Marc Andreessen: Trump, Power, Tech, AI, Immigration & Future of America (Lex Fridman) archived copy

Prediction Philosophy, ethics and society

Andreessen said he thinks it may be that, with the continued growth of Substack and other new platforms, a tremendous amount of previously forbidden conversations can now shift back into public view, though he did not know that everything would.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague prediction with no horizon and undefined terms.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “Andreessen said he thinks it may be that, with the continued growth of Substack and other new platforms, a tremendous amount of previously forbidden conversations can now shift back into public view, though he did not know that everything would.” (said 26 January 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_bd5f7a834ce6, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bd5f7a834ce6

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Marc Andreessen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “They’re going to do as much as they can through executive orders, and then they’re going to do legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.”

    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “It’s purely a question of choice, and I think the new administration’s going to do that.”

    Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 2 September 2023
    “Look, you're going to have Chinese AI.”

    There will be Chinese AI systems that embody Communist ideology.

  5. Mixed Prediction 12 June 2023
    “I'm pretty confident within, call it two years, that will be a solved problem”

    Andreessen said he was pretty confident that within roughly two years of June 2023, AI systems' limited persistent memory across sessions would be a solved problem.

All of them

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