ClaimsWarren Buffett

“WE'VE GOT NEW CONSTITUENCIES THAT HAVE BECOME STRONGER LIKE ACTIVISTS AND SO ON.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman and CEO 21 July 2016 CNBC Transcript: Buffett speaks with Squawk Box (2016) (CNBC) archived copy

Factual Philosophy, ethics and society

New constituencies in corporate governance, such as activists, have become stronger over the years.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge said resolved true; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of July 2016. True: credible data or analysis (for example, counts of activist campaigns, assets under management at activist funds, board seats won, proxy-fight statistics) show that activist investors and similar new constituencies had grown clearly stronger in corporate governance in the years before 2016. Mostly true: activism grew overall, but with a minor caveat (for example, a plateau in the latest year). Mixed: the evidence is split on whether these groups' influence had grown. Mostly false: activists' influence was broadly flat, and only a narrow measure showed growth. False: the data show activist influence had declined over the period.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Sullivan & Cromwell Reviews and Analyzes 2016 U.S. Shareholder Activism CLS Blue Sky Blog (Columbia Law School), republishing a Sullivan & Cromwell review · 15 December 2016

    “From 2013 to mid-2015, the growth rate of AUM by activist hedge funds was significantly higher than the growth rate experienced by the hedge fund industry as a whole. Activist AUM grew on average 7% per quarter over this time period, whereas all other hedge funds grew at an average rate of less than 3% per quarter.”
  2. E2 The Wolf at the Door: The Impact of Hedge Fund Activism on Corporate Governance University of Melbourne Law School (slides by Prof. John C. Coffee Jr., Columbia Law School) · 4 August 2015

    “2014 saw a record 347 “activist” campaigns (FactSet Shark Watch)—up from 209 in 2009.”
  3. E3 Sullivan & Cromwell Reviews and Analyzes 2016 U.S. Shareholder Activism CLS Blue Sky Blog (Columbia Law School), republishing a Sullivan & Cromwell review · 15 December 2016

    “Over time, the trend has favored activists, with ISS recommending in support of management 49% of the time in 2013, but only 36% of the time in 2016.”
  4. E4 Sullivan & Cromwell Reviews and Analyzes 2016 U.S. Shareholder Activism CLS Blue Sky Blog (Columbia Law School), republishing a Sullivan & Cromwell review · 15 December 2016

    “Of the proxy contests that go all the way to a vote, management’s board candidates have been increasingly successful in defeating activist investors’ slates of directors.”

Reasoning

Coffee's 2015 slides report a record 347 activist campaigns in 2014, up from 209 in 2009 (E2). The Sullivan & Cromwell review says activist hedge fund assets under management grew about 7% per quarter from 2013 to mid-2015, against under 3% for other hedge funds (E1). It also says ISS backed management in proxy fights less often over time, falling from 49% in 2013 to 36% in 2016 (E3). The one caveat is that management's board candidates were increasingly beating activist slates in proxy contests that went all the way to a vote (E4), so overall growth in activist strength is clear but has a minor qualification.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “New constituencies in corporate governance, such as activists, have become stronger over the years.” (said 21 July 2016). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_bac2d12c9319, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bac2d12c9319

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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  3. Resolved true Factual 18 September 2026
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  5. Resolved true Factual 18 September 2026
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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.