ClaimsDemis Hassabis

“I think that’s potentially possible. I think it partly depends on what we, as a society, decide to use the first nascent AGI systems or proto-AGI systems for.”

Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind 28 February 2024 Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold (Dwarkesh Podcast)

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

Once AGI exists, it could speed up further AI research, depending on what society uses early AGI systems for.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Conditional prediction about AGI with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Demis Hassabis, “Once AGI exists, it could speed up further AI research, depending on what society uses early AGI systems for.” (said 28 February 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b914b2ca8725, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b914b2ca8725

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Demis Hassabis, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Demis Hassabis

  1. Resolved true Prediction 28 February 2024
    “I think the next versions of this over the next year, 18 months, we’ll maybe have some contextual understanding of the environment around you through a camera or a phone or some glasses.”

    Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 23 July 2025
    “I think fusion and solar are the two that I would bet on.”

    Asked whether it would be nuclear fusion, Demis Hassabis said he thinks fusion and solar are the two energy sources he would bet on.

All of them

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