ClaimsVinod Khosla

“Expert opinion I used in a presentation in 2017 to NBER on when we would have AGI:”

Vinod Khosla, on X 3 December 2023 Post by @vkhosla on X, 2023-12-03 (X)

Factual Their own work or organisation

In a 2017 presentation to NBER, Khosla used expert opinion on when AGI would arrive.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True: there is a record (NBER conference programme, slides, video or paper) of Khosla presenting at an NBER event in 2017, such as the NBER Economics of AI conference, and the presentation included expert-opinion estimates of when AGI or human-level AI would arrive (for example, survey results). Mostly true: the NBER presentation and its AGI expert-opinion content are confirmed but the year is off by one (2016 or 2018), or the event was co-hosted with NBER rather than run by it. Mixed: he presented at NBER around 2017, but the expert-opinion AGI material cannot be tied to that talk, or the reverse. Mostly false: the presentation was to a different body, not NBER, or was made well outside 2017. False: records show he made no such NBER presentation.

Set before the research began.

Reasoning

No evidence with a verified quote was found apart from the claim's own source, so the claim was not judged.

Cite this claim

Vinod Khosla, “In a 2017 presentation to NBER, Khosla used expert opinion on when AGI would arrive.” (said 3 December 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b73f7e7bd3ca, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b73f7e7bd3ca

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Vinod Khosla, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Vinod Khosla

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  2. Resolved true Factual 9 April 2024
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  5. Resolved true Factual 13 June 2019
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All of them

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