Two trillion seconds equals about 64,000 years.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
Test: 2 × 10^12 seconds is about 64,000 years. Compute it by dividing 2 × 10^12 by the seconds in a year (about 31.536 to 31.557 million). - True: the result is within 5% of 64,000. - Mostly true: the result is within 10% of 64,000. - Mostly false: the result is within 25% of 64,000. - False: the result is more than 25% away from 64,000, for example off by an order of magnitude.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 year | formula.expert formula.expert · 19 September 2026
“The year used here is the Julian year, exactly 365.25 days of 86,400 seconds, which is exactly 31,557,600 seconds.”
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E2 Pointless Large Number Stuff - 1.03. Sizes of the -illions Pointless Large Number Stuff (personal Google Sites page) · 1 January 2024
“A trillion seconds is about 32,000 years, meaning that a trillion seconds ago was still well before recorded history or even the onset of agriculture.”
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E3 How Many Seconds Are in a Year? Four Correct Answers - worldtimedata worldtimedata · 24 October 2026
“Common year: 365 × 86,400 = 31,536,000 seconds”
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E4 How Many Seconds Are in a Year? Four Correct Answers - worldtimedata worldtimedata · 24 October 2026
“Astronomers use a simpler standard: 365.25 days of exactly 86,400 seconds, the average year of the old Julian calendar with a leap year every four years without exception.”
Reasoning
E1 and E4 give a Julian year of 31,557,600 seconds, and E3 gives a common year of 31,536,000 seconds. Dividing 2 × 10^12 seconds by these gives about 63,380 to 63,420 years. That is within 1% of 64,000, well inside the 5% margin for "true". E2 independently says a trillion seconds is about 32,000 years, which agrees with this result.
Cite this claim
Michael Burry, “Two trillion seconds equals about 64,000 years.” (said 5 April 2011). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_b64ebd9baf51, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b64ebd9baf51
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
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