ClaimsDemis Hassabis

“I would not be that surprised if it was a hundred-year timescale from here.”

Demis Hassabis, interviewee 23 July 2025 Transcript for Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games (#475) (Lex Fridman)

Prediction Other global risks

Humanity could reach a Type I Kardashev civilization on roughly a hundred-year timescale.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2125 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Demis Hassabis, “Humanity could reach a Type I Kardashev civilization on roughly a hundred-year timescale.” (said 23 July 2025). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_b59c8a39a559, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b59c8a39a559

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Demis Hassabis, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Demis Hassabis

  1. Resolved true Prediction 23 July 2025
    “I think fusion and solar are the two that I would bet on.”

    Asked whether it would be nuclear fusion, Demis Hassabis said he thinks fusion and solar are the two energy sources he would bet on.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 28 February 2024
    “I think the next versions of this over the next year, 18 months, we’ll maybe have some contextual understanding of the environment around you through a camera or a phone or some glasses.”

    Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.