ClaimsMichael Burry

“I am still working on that story and hope to post it in the next few weeks.”

Michael Burry, author replying in comments December 2025 Michael Lewis: Against the Rules Podcast (Cassandra Unchained)

Promise Their own work or organisation

Michael Burry said in early December 2025 that he was still working on "that story", which he described as "more like 2008" than he first thought, and hoped to post it in the next few weeks.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.

What would count as true or false

The deliverable is a published post or article by Michael Burry (on his Substack, X or another public channel) setting out his story or analysis of the depreciation issue in the AI era, for example depreciation schedules of AI chips and servers at hyperscalers. 'In the next few weeks' after 3 December 2025 is taken to mean by 31 January 2026. True: such a post was published on or before 31 January 2026. Mostly true: it was published in that window but as a first part of a series, or under a framing that clearly covers the topic. Mostly false: it was published after 31 January 2026, or only fragments (short social media posts) appeared by then. False: dated evidence shows no such post had been published by 31 January 2026, for example an archive of his Substack posts for that period or a later statement that it was still pending.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 Deep Quarry - The Useful Lives of GPUs— Key Considerations The National Law Review (Deep Quarry guest article) · 15 December 2025

    “Burry estimated that if major cloud providers shortened GPU lives from the four-to-six-year depreciation schedules currently used to something closer to the two-to-three-year hardware replacement cycle he believes reflects real-world economic life, the cumulative impact on reported earnings could exceed $176 billion for years 2026–2028.”
  2. E2 Michael Burry Just Exposed How Big Tech Is Inflating AI Profits 24/7 Wall St. · 27 November 2025

    “In his new Substack, “Cassandra Unchained,” Burry calls it “one of the more common frauds of the modern era,” not outright Enron-level fabrication, but aggressive life extensions that inflate current profits at the expense of future writedowns.”
  3. E3 Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives Michael Burry (Cassandra Unchained Substack) · 1 October 2026 Own record

    “Welcome to the second in the Hystory Rhymes series, where I use the past to illustrate the present and maybe even illuminate the future.”

Reasoning

E3, a Substack post on GPU depreciation dated 1 October 2026, calls itself the second in a series, but no evidence shows when the first instalment appeared or what it covered. E1 and E2 report Burry's views but are not posts by him in the window. The evidence therefore does not show whether a qualifying post appeared by 31 January 2026.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “Michael Burry said in early December 2025 that he was still working on "that story", which he described as "more like 2008" than he first thought, and hoped to post it in the next few weeks.” (said December 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b31f4ad0bf4a, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b31f4ad0bf4a

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Michael Burry, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More promise claims by Michael Burry

  1. Delivered on time Promise 2001
    “Also, the minimum initial investment in the Fund for future investors will be raised to $250,000 as of the July 1, 2001 investment date.”

    The Scion Value Fund's minimum initial investment for future investors will be raised to $250,000 as of the July 1, 2001 investment date.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.