ClaimsMichael Burry

“The stock tripled off its quarter-end lows by late October.”

Michael Burry, Scion fund manager, in fund letter 6 January 2002 Scion Funds annual letters compilation (investorkurs.no)

Factual Their own work or organisation

A stock held by the Fund tripled off its lows around the end of the quarter ending September 30, 2001, by late October 2001.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2002-01-06. First identify the stock from Scion's letter. Then compare its lowest price around the end of Q3 2001 (late September to the start of October 2001) with its price in late October 2001. TRUE: the late-October price is roughly three times the quarter-end low or more (a ratio of about 2.7x or higher). MOSTLY TRUE: the ratio is about 2.3x–2.7x, or a roughly threefold rise was reached a few trading days outside 'late October' within October–early November. MIXED: the stock rose sharply (about 1.8x–2.3x) but clearly did not triple. MOSTLY FALSE: the rise was modest (about 1.3x–1.8x), or the tripling happened only well after late October. FALSE: the stock did not rise meaningfully, or fell, over that period, or the Fund did not hold the stock.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (6)

  1. E1 Scion Capital Letters.pdf Scribd (uploaded copy of Scion Capital letters) Own record

    “The Fund continued to purchase this security during the first days of October, while the security remained downtrodden.”
  2. E2 Scion Capital Letters.pdf Scribd (hosted copy of Scion Capital letters) Own record

    “The stock tripled off its quarter-end lows by Jate October.”
  3. E3 Scion Capital Letters.pdf Scribd (hosted copy of Scion Capital letters) Own record

    “The Fund continued to purchase this security during the first days of October, while the security remained downtrodden.”
  4. E4 Scion Capital Letters.pdf Scribd (hosted copy of Scion Capital letters) Own record

    “Moreover, during early December, a competitor agreed to buy all of the stock of the company at a price that amounts to aeazly seven, times its ptice as of September 30", 2001”
  5. E5 Michael Burry: One Extraordinary Example Of Market Inefficiency The Acquirer's Multiple (Johnny Hopkins) · 5 December 2023

    “The Fund continued to purchase this security during the first days of October, while the security remained downtrodden.”
  6. E6 Michael Burry: One Extraordinary Example Of Market Inefficiency The Acquirer's Multiple (Johnny Hopkins) · 5 December 2023

    “Moreover, during early December, a competitor agreed to buy all of the stock of the company at a price that amounts to nearly seven times its price as of September 30th 2001.”

Reasoning

The only support for the claim is Scion's own investor letter. It says the stock tripled off its quarter-end lows by late October (E3) and that the Fund kept buying in early October (E2, E4), but it does not name the stock. E5 and E8 mention a December takeover price of nearly seven times the September 30 price, which is not a late-October market price. The Acquirer's Multiple items (E7, E8) only repeat the letter's text, and no evidence gives the stock's prices near the end of the quarter or in late October.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “A stock held by the Fund tripled off its lows around the end of the quarter ending September 30, 2001, by late October 2001.” (said 6 January 2002). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b185c068ae1a, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b185c068ae1a

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Michael Burry, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Michael Burry

  1. Mostly true Factual 27 October 2026
    “I have never said that LLMs would stop improving”

    Michael Burry has never said that LLMs would stop improving.

  2. Resolved true Factual 13 October 2026
    “Why I swapped common stock for the junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae”

    Michael Burry swapped common stock for junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

  3. Resolved true Factual 9 July 2026
    “I never said the A100s would stop functioning.”

    Michael Burry never said that A100 chips would stop functioning.

  4. Mixed Factual December 2025
    “I have generally stayed away from biomed and medtech.”

    Michael Burry has generally stayed away from investing in biomed and medtech.

  5. Mostly true Factual 19 November 2025
    “I am still running my money and active in markets.”

    Michael Burry is still managing his own money and is active in markets.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.