ClaimsBill Ackman

“There have been 309 mass shootings in the US YTD, an average of 12 per week, nearly two per day.”

Bill Ackman, writing on X 5 July 2022 Post by @BillAckman on X, 2022-07-05 (X)

Factual Other

There had been 309 mass shootings in the US year-to-date as of 5 July 2022, about 12 per week.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Use the Gun Violence Archive's mass-shooting count for 2022 up to and including 5 July 2022, since this is the source the figure appears to come from. TRUE: the count is within ±3% of 309 (about 300–318), and the implied weekly average is roughly 11–13. MOSTLY TRUE: the count is within ±10% of 309. MOSTLY FALSE: the count is only matched by an unusual definition, or it differs from 309 by 10–25%. FALSE: the count differs from 309 by more than 25%. If a claim is judged against another tracker that uses a stricter definition (FBI, Mother Jones), that alone does not make it false, provided the GVA figure matches.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 Highland Park Fourth of July parade mass shooting was nation’s 309th this year New York Daily News · 4 July 2022

    “With the Highland Park shooting on the nation’s 246th birthday, the U.S. had marked its 309th mass shooting this year, according to a nonprofit that tracks gunfire incidents.”
  2. E2 Highland Park Fourth of July parade mass shooting was nation’s 309th this year New York Daily News · 4 July 2022

    “To date this year, there have been on average 11 mass shootings per week, the nonprofit Gun Violence Archive’s data show.”
  3. E3 There have been at least 314 mass shootings so far in 2022. There have only been 186 days. - The Boston Globe The Boston Globe · 5 July 2022

    “According to data from the Gun Violence Archive, there have been at least 314 mass shooting incidents in 2022, for an average of about 1.7 per day.”

Reasoning

The New York Daily News, citing the Gun Violence Archive, reported that the Highland Park shooting on 4 July 2022 was the 309th US mass shooting of the year (E1), at an average of about 11 per week (E2). The Boston Globe, also citing the Gun Violence Archive, put the 2022 count at 314 or more as of 5 July (E3). Both counts are within ±3% of 309, and the weekly average falls within the 11–13 range the criteria require.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “There had been 309 mass shootings in the US year-to-date as of 5 July 2022, about 12 per week.” (said 5 July 2022). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_ade135ff7332, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ade135ff7332

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Bill Ackman, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.